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Free pick for all my fans

2022-01-22

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期日2022-01-23 04:00

解读理由

Lens welcomes Marseille in the most interesting match of this round of the French Ligue 1. Both teams have a very good season and although Marseille is in third and Lens in the seventh position, the difference between the two teams is only 4 points. Lens started fantastically in 2022 and managed to win all three games in the new year and this season he is very strong at his stadium where he lost only one game to Strasbourg. Lens has a fantastic season, they are at the top according to many parameters, they are second in the league in shots on goal (106 shots), sixth in the league in xG (expected goals) and fifth in the created chances for a goal. Lens won the last game against St.Etienne away even though they didn't play well, Fofana scored again in the 90th minute to win (against Lille a few weeks ago he also scored for 2-2 in the 95th minute) so it can be said that Lens has had a lot of luck in the last three games. 


Today, Marseille is coming for a clash, a club that is investing a lot of money in the team and making a team that will surely fight for the title with PSG next season. Kolasinac was brought from Arsenal for free, Marseille also brought Cedric Bakambu, a great striker who played for Villarreal and when you consider that Payet, Milik, Cengiz Under and others are there, Marseille has a really strong team. Marseille have been playing well lately, they have not lost in the last 7 games (they have 5 wins) and they are coming to Lens with the strongest team. Cengiz Under is in great form, he scored in the last three games in a row and he will be the main threat to Lens's goalkeeper. Marseille play possession football, only PSG has more ball in their feet than them and the best defence in the league, they conceded only 16 goals. In just one of the last 10 games, Marseille has seen more than 2.5 goals so the under logical choice is here. I expect a very tough game today, both teams are in very good shape and I think the draw is the most realistic outcome here, although I would give a small advantage to Marseille because Lens has had a lot of luck in the last three games and maybe luck won't be on their side in today's game. Draw no bet on the guests is a good bet but I will go with safer bet and back Marseille not to lose today on this difficult away game.


My prediction;

Outcome: Marseille not to lose

Goals: under 2.5

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