Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
  • 1578

    方案

  • 6617

    粉丝

Does manager change help?

2022-01-22

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期六2022-01-22 21:00

解读理由

Levante ended their record-long streak of not winning matches since April last time v Mallorca, and it was about time as they have performance-wise been about the same midtable class team they always are. The win however did open a lot of mental locks, it was treated like winning the World cup, and Levante have very much the survival in their own hands now.

Levante did fire their coach already earlier, but their problems were not down to manager, it was more or less purely very bad luck in games, which led to weakened self-confidence and to another. A negative spin, which now is history!

The xG-data is never a reliable source to predict future but always worth checking out. In this case it says that Levante who are the bottom of the table with 11 points should actually have 25 points by now, and be somewhere at 10-15th which is also where they were expected to be.

Levante's problems on the pitch have been defensive mostly, as they do create chances and can score, no wonder as they have Morales, Bardhi, Roger and De Frutos who all are excellent attacking players with various set of strenghts.

Today Levante miss a few players, but none of them is huge miss. Campaña on paper the biggest name, but all easily replaceable.

Cadiz have been the weakest side this season in La Liga, mostly down to weak player material, and the only way to survive for them would be to win the right games and hope for the best, there is no sign of them getting into several wins in a row. However they have succesful in the cup so far, they are now in the last 8, and even now have a winnable fixture ahead there shortly, Valencia away in early February.

Cadiz kicked out Cervera as the coach, he was well liked, but so far this season Cadiz did not have the ball in any of their games, did not create anything and most of their points have been down to heroics of keeper Ledesma.

Funnily enough both of the wins of Cadiz this season have been on the road, at Bilbao and Vigo.

Cadiz are poor home and away, the change on the bench to another anti-football coach Gonzalez is not going to improve their performances, and this is another match where the key for them is how many shots Ledesma will save. Injury situation is acceptable, only Jonsson is some kind of a profile player who is out.

Levante will destroy them today however, 3-0 or so.


莱万特结束了他们自 4 月对阵马洛卡以来的连续不胜纪录,现在是时候重回回到中游球队正常的水准了。这场胜利确实打开了很多精神上的锁,就像赢得了世界杯一样,莱万特现在生死攸关。

莱万特早些时候确实解雇了他们的教练,但他们的问题并不在于教练,这或多或少纯粹是比赛中的运气不佳,这导致了自信心的削弱。现在已成为历史!

预期数据从来都不是预测的可靠来源,但总是值得一试。排名垫底的莱万特现在实际上应该有 25 分,并且位于第 10-15 位,这也是他们预期的位置。

莱万特在球场上的问题主要是防守,因为他们确实创造了机会并且可以进球,Morales、Bardhi、Roger 和 De Frutos 都是出色的进攻球员,拥有很大的优势。

今天莱万特缺少了一些球员,但没有一个是重要的球员。Campaña 是最关键的,但都有可以替换的人选。

加的斯是本赛季西甲最弱的球队,主要是由于球员实力不足,他们唯一方法就是赢下该赢的比赛,没有迹象表明他们会取得几场胜利。然而到目前为止,他们在杯赛中取得了成功,他们现在进入了八强,现在他们很快就会与瓦伦西亚在 2 月相遇。

加的斯选择塞尔维拉担任教练,他很受欢迎,但本赛季到目前为止,加的斯在他们的任何一场比赛中都没有拿出像样的表现,没有创造出太好的机会,他们的大部分积分都归功于门将莱德斯马的英勇表现。

有趣的是,本赛季加的斯的两场胜利都在客场,对阵毕尔巴鄂和塞尔塔。

加的斯主客场都比较弱,替补席上的另一位足球教练冈萨雷斯并不会改善他们的表现,这是另一场比赛,他们的关键是莱德斯马将做出多少关键扑救。伤病情况是可以接受的,只有琼森是缺席球员。

然而,我预测莱万特今天会以 3-0 左右的比分击败他们。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。