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足球分析师
葡萄牙人,全职从事体育行业多年,被誉为全世界掌握巴西足球信息最多的人。
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Best Saturday's bet!

2022-01-22

比赛分析

葡超

已完赛

星期日2022-01-23 04:30

解读理由

Sporting at -0.75 is something we cannot pass up.

Sporting is the reigning champion and is in a very balanced fight with Porto for the first place. They are 3 points behind and therefore can no longer lose points at the risk of things getting complicated. They are very strong at home with 8 wins and 1 draw and the draw was with Porto. The Portuguese league is very unbalanced and there is a big gap between the big 3 and the other teams. At home there is no chance of losing points and they are being very competent and not facilitating. R. Amorim, coach, changed everything at the club and they felt confident again and believes they can achieve everything they dream of.

Braga on the other hand is coming down. They did a great job in the last few years and managed to get closer to the big 3 and dream of the title. But lately they are running out of gas and no longer compete with the big 3. They are in limbo between the big 3 and the rest of the championship teams. But further and further away from the big 3 and closer to the others. This season they have had a lot of difficulties, I believe and they must be very bad defensively. I don't like D. Leite who commands the defensive line, I think he's very weak and he makes a lot of mistakes that give the opponent a goal.

These odds are due to what Braga was in recent years and not what it is now. Braga isn't playing well and doesn't have the same quality as last season, so this odd is wrongly placed. Here I see a very important factor, Braga likes to attack and is not limited to being closed in defense. But they always leave a lot of spaces and the defenders playing one on one. That's what Sporting wants, Sporting plays very vertically and in 10 seconds manages to reach the opposing area with big danger, without the opponents being able to position themselves defensively.

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