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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Make win with me or get your money back!

2022-01-22

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2022-01-22 23:00

解读理由

In my opinion Newcastle have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Newcastle don't have any new important absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. On the other hand Leeds have two new absences - key left defender Firpo and key defensive midfielder Forshaw are unavailable today. It's problematic situation for Marcelo Bielsa absence list is already really long and on that list are key players like Phillips, Bamford or Cooper.

Newcastle have solid streak in Premier League against Leeds. They didn't lost in 9 of last 12 Premier League matches against them. It's not a long trip for guests because is less than two hours drive by car from Newcastle to Leeds. In previous season Newcastle lost at this stadium 1:2, but they didn't lost in two consecutive matches at Elland Road since 1972! Newcastle recorded already 6 Premier League wins at Leeds stadium, only Liverpool have more.

Is very hard to trust for Leeds defensive formation - they conceded 21 goals in last 7 matches in all competitions. On the other hand Newcastle in last 18 Premier League matches failed to score only against strong teams like Chelsea, Leicester, Manchester City and Arsenal. Newcastle offensive super star Saint-Maximin is in great form, he scored in last two consecutive Premier League matches and he will be very hard to stop. As well he scored in first match of the season between both teams. Obviously, Newcastle as well have very poor defense (only Norwich conceded more goals than Leeds and Newcastle), but there was visible improvement at the back in their last two matches against United and Watford - they not conceded more than one goal in each game. Looks like freshly signed classy defender Kieran Trippier added some confidence and stability.

Newcastle really needs points in that game, they are still in relegation zone, but they not played that bad in current season. They dropped 21 points from the winning position (!), the highest number in whole league. They went unbeaten in last two matches and for sure they coming with good self-belief to achieve good results.

Situation in Leeds is not so nervous like 3/4 weeks ago. They recorded two wins in a row (against Burnley and West Ham) and now they are 9 points above relegation zone. Draw is not bad result for then at all. Leeds won last two matches, but they didn't won in their first three league matches of the year since 1973!

Both teams are on very similar level. Leeds squad is still very thin because of injuries and draw is very acceptable result for them. In those circumstances I see very good value on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,纽卡斯尔在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

纽卡斯尔没有任何新的重要的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。另一方面,利兹联队又有两名主力左后卫菲尔波和主力防守中场福肖缺席今天的比赛。贝尔萨的缺阵名单已经很长了,其中包括菲利普斯、班福德和库珀等关键球员。

纽卡斯尔在英超联赛中对阵利兹联的比赛中表现出色。在过去的12场英超联赛中,他们有9场没有输。对于客人来说,这不是一段很长的旅程,因为从纽卡斯尔到利兹不到两个小时的车程。在上个赛季纽卡斯尔在这个球场输了1比2,但他们自1972年以来就没有在埃兰路连续输过两场!纽卡斯尔已经在利兹球场取得了6场英超胜利,只有利物浦更多。

利兹的防守阵型很难让人相信——他们在过去的7场比赛中丢了21个球。另一方面,纽卡斯尔在过去的18场英超联赛中只在对阵切尔西、莱斯特、曼城和阿森纳等强队时才进球。纽卡斯尔的进攻超级明星圣马克西明状态很好,他连续两场英超比赛都有进球,他将很难被阻止。同时,他在两队本赛季的首场比赛中都有进球。显然,纽卡斯尔的防守也很差(只有诺维奇的失球比利兹和纽卡斯尔多),但在最近两场对曼联和沃特福德的比赛中,他们的后防线有了明显的改善——他们每场比赛失球不超过一个。看起来新签下的优秀后卫基兰·特里皮埃增添了一些自信和稳定性。

纽卡斯尔在那场比赛中确实需要得分,他们仍然在降级区,但他们在本赛季的表现并没有那么糟糕。他们从制胜位置上掉了21分,这是整个联盟得分最高的。他们在最近两场比赛中保持不败,当然他们带着良好的自信来取得好的结果。

利兹的情况不像3/4周前那么紧张了。他们取得了两连胜(对伯恩利和西汉姆),现在他们比降级区高出9分。平局对当时来说是个不错的结果。利兹联赢了上两场比赛,但他们自1973年以来的前三场联赛都没有赢过!

两支球队的水平非常相似。利兹的阵容因为伤病的原因仍然很薄弱,平局对他们来说是可以接受的结果。在这种情况下,我在客场看到了非常好的价值。

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