Sarmiento Junin VS Velez Sarsfield

Sarmiento Junin and Velez Sarsfield lock horns in this Liga Profesional Clausura Group B round 13 clash at Estadio Eva Peron in Junin very early Monday morning Beijing time. However, in reality, the hosts have played only 11 games in this competition so far this season. This is the highest tier of Argentinian football. The level of this league is pretty high by global standards - and second-best in South America. Typically for this league a low-scoring game is in the cards here. In fact, based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based model the goal expectancy here is even a bit smaller  - and the probability of a draw bigger - than the bookies seem to estimate. Most importantly, we serious, profit-hungry bettors have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! Indeed, we have won all five last picks betting on Liga profesional!

Velez Sarsfield have won only one of the last four games between the two teams. They last locked horns in April and Sarmiento Junin took a 1-0 win - albeit with a little bit of luck.. they were priced around 6.30 to win on the betting market. That was undoubtedly too high.. Sarmiento Junin are - once again - underrated by the bookies here. Indeed, with the expected lineups - taking the significant home advantage into account - the current odds of around 2.35 on the away win are definitely too low! Velez Sarsdield are expected to be without a total of eight players - Sarmiento Junin are missing three players - Gonzalez, Magnin and Renteria. I highlight that Sarmiento Junin play defensive, well-organised football. Their defensive structure is fine and in general they play well as a team. I stress that they are definitely a better team than the list players would suggest!

Sarfield are currently in 3rd place with 22 points in their pocket. They have scored 17 goals and have conceded nine goals. However, their number of expected goals against (xGA) is bigger. I expect them to drop down in the standings as the season progresses. In the Liga Profesional Apertura Group B regular season that came to an end in May they finished in 13th place - and had a terrible goal difference of -15. Sarmiento Junin took one more point - and had a score difference of -8. In their most recent match they lost to Rosario Central 1-2 at home - as favourites on the betting market. The visitors generated a lot in expected goals (xG) - 1.67-0.70 to be precise. Sarmiento Junin have won three of their last matches. In their last game they beat River Plate, one of the biggest teams in Argentina, 1-0 away from home, priced around 12.00 to win. It was a brilliant team effort. The hosts generated 0.23 more in xG though.

萨米恩托·朱宁VS维列兹·萨斯菲尔德

北京时间周一凌晨，萨米恩托·朱宁和贝莱斯·萨斯菲尔德将在西甲职业联赛B组第13轮比赛中在朱宁的伊娃·贝隆球场交锋。然而，事实上，本赛季到目前为止，东道主在这项赛事中只打了11场比赛。这是阿根廷足球的最高级别。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当高，在南美洲排名第二。对于这个联盟来说，一场低得分的比赛是很有可能的。事实上，根据我的复杂的、强有力的基于数据的模型，这里的进球预期甚至比博彩公司估计的还要小——平局的可能性更大。最重要的是，我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者在这里有一个非常有利可图的投注机会！事实上，我们已经赢了所有最近的五次意甲职业下注！

萨斯菲尔德在两队之间的最近四场比赛中只赢了一场。他们上一次交锋是在4月，萨米恩托·朱宁以1-0取胜——尽管有一点运气。在博彩市场上，他们的价格在6.30左右。这无疑太高了。萨米恩托-朱宁再一次被这里的博彩公司低估了。事实上，考虑到预期的阵容——考虑到主场优势——目前客场获胜的赔率约为2.35，这显然太低了！萨斯菲尔德预计将缺席8名球员，而朱宁将缺席3名球员——冈萨雷斯、马格宁和伦特里亚。我强调萨米恩托·朱宁踢的是防守，有组织的足球。他们的防守结构很好，总的来说，他们作为一个团队踢得很好。我要强调的是，他们绝对是一支比名单上的球员所建议的更好的球队！

萨菲尔德目前以22分排名第三。他们进了17球，丢了9球。然而，他们对（xGA）的预期进球数更大。我预计他们的排名会随着赛季的进展而下降。在5月结束的西甲职业联赛B组常规赛中，他们仅排在第13位，净胜球差为-15。萨米恩托·朱宁（sammiento Junin）又拿了一分，得分差为-8分。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场1-2输给了罗萨里奥中央队，尽管他们是博彩市场上最受欢迎的球队。客队产生了很多预期进球（xG）——准确地说是1.67-0.70。萨米恩托·朱宁在最近的比赛中赢了三场。在上一场比赛中，他们客场1-0击败了阿根廷最大的球队之一河床队（River Plate），获胜的价格在12英镑左右。这是一个出色的团队合作。但是主机在xG中多生成了0.23个。