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83% BUNDESLIGA WINS! 德甲 斯图加特VS海登海姆

2025-10-05

比赛分析

解读理由

Only 3 games to be played in the German Bundesliga on Sunday night, and one of them is going to be between Stuttgart and Heidenheim. After 5 games, Stuttgart has 3 wins and 2 losses, a total of 9 points and 6th place, while Heidenheim has 1 win and 4 losses, a total of 3 points and 17th place. In this game, I'm going with Stuttgart.

Stuttgart played in the Europa League this week and they lost to Basel 0:2. At the same time, it was an unlucky loss because Stuttgart missed a penalty in the 1st half and created 2.54 expected goals (1.14 in the 2nd half), while the opponents had 1.43. Before that, Stuttgart were on a 3 game winning streak. Stuttgart has been a strong home team this season, as they have won all 3 games, with scores of 1:0, 2:0, and 2:1. Overall, Stuttgart has created an xG of 6.9, xGA is at 5.7, with a difference of +1.2.

Last week, Heidenheim got its 1st win of the season, beating at home Augsburg 2:1. Before that, the team had 4 losses in a row. If we look only at road games, Heidenheim so far has lost both games, with scores of 0:2 and 1:2. Interesting that Heidenheim has conceded at least 2 goals in each match this season. After 5 games, Heidenheim has created an xG of 6.2, xGA is at 10.2, with a difference of -4.

Stuttgart will be without Deniz Undav, while for Heidenheim, Thomas Keller and Leart Paqarada are both set to miss out.

I'm predicting Stuttgart's win in this game. They are a better team, and they should be angry after Thursday's loss. Heidenheim can create some moments, but they struggle a lot on defense, so it will be hard for them to catch up to Stuttgart.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日晚上德甲只有三场比赛,其中一场将是斯图加特和海登海姆之间的比赛。5场比赛后,斯图加特3胜2负,积9分,排名第6,而海登海姆1胜4负,积3分,排名第17。在这场比赛中,我支持斯图加特。

斯图加特本周参加了欧联杯,但他们0:2输给了巴塞尔。与此同时,斯图加特在上半场错失了一个点球,创造了2.54个预期进球(下半场1.14个),而对手的预期进球为1.43个,这是一场不幸的失利。在此之前,斯图加特取得了3连胜。斯图加特本赛季是一支强大的主场球队,他们以1:0、2:0和2:1的比分赢得了所有3场比赛。总体而言,斯图加特的xG为6.9,xGA为5.7,两者相差1.2。

上周,海登海姆在主场2:1击败奥格斯堡,取得了本赛季的首胜。在那之前,这支球队连输4场。如果我们只看客场比赛,海登海姆目前输掉了两场比赛,比分分别是0:2和1:2。有趣的是,本赛季海登海姆每场比赛至少丢2球。5场比赛后,海登海姆创造了6.2的xG, 10.2的xGA,相差-4。

斯图加特将失去德尼兹·翁达夫,而对于海登海姆来说,托马斯·凯勒和利特·帕卡拉达都将缺席。

我预测这场比赛斯图加特会赢。他们是一支更好的球队,他们应该在周四的输球后感到愤怒。海登海姆可以创造一些机会,但是他们在防守上很挣扎,所以他们很难赶上斯图加特。

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