In my opinion Elche have good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Simply I don't trust for Espanyol at home with such low odds. They recorded 6 wins in 9 home matches in current season, but they had a lot of luck. They conceded 7 goals in those matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 15.65! It's enormous difference.

I saw Elche in last matches and they played on decent level despite the losses. They had narrow losses on away against Barcelona (2:3) and Valencia (1:2). In last round they had draw 0:0 against Granada at home , but for long periods of this game they played on higher level.

As well Espanyol squad situation before today's game is very uncertain. They have some some unnamed players which have been tested positive for COVID.

Espanyol don't have good streak against Elche in La Liga. They won only once in last 7 matches against them in league. Espanyol won only one of last 4 La Liga matches played on Monday, on the other hand Elche have very strong record at Monday La Liga matches as they didn't lost in 8 of last 9 La Liga matches at this day. In addition to that Elche manager Francisco Rodriguez played 5 La Liga matches against Espanyol in his managerial career and lost only once.

All in all, I believe Elche is very underrated in this match up. I see good value on away side.

在我看来，埃尔切有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

只是不相信西班牙人在主场的指数如此之低。他们在本赛季的9场主场比赛中取得了6场胜利，但他们运气不错。他们在这些比赛中丢了7个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢15.65！这是巨大的差异。

我看了埃尔切最近的比赛，尽管输了，他们还是打出了不错的水平。他们在客场对阵巴塞罗那（2:3）和瓦伦西亚（1:2）时遭遇微弱的失利。上轮他们主场0:0战平格拉纳达，但本场比赛很长一段时间他们都打出了更高的水平。

以及今天比赛前西班牙人队的情况非常不确定。他们有一些未透露姓名的球员，他们的新冠病毒检测呈阳性。

西班牙人在西甲对阵埃尔切的比赛中表现不佳。他们在最近7场联赛对阵他们的比赛中只赢了一次。西班牙人在周一举行的最后四场西甲比赛中只赢了一场另一方面，埃尔切在周一的西甲比赛中有着非常出色的战绩，因为他们在这一天的最后 9 场西甲比赛中有 8 场没有输球。除此之外，埃尔切的主教练弗朗西斯科罗德里格斯在他的执教生涯中与西班牙人打了 5 场西甲比赛，只输了一次。

总而言之，我认为埃尔切在这场比赛中被低估了。预测埃尔切不败。