Przem头像
外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
  • 773

    方案

  • 1278

    粉丝

How they will deal against former club?

2021-01-18

比赛分析

德乙

已完赛

星期二2021-01-19 03:30

解读理由

In my opinion Hamburg have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

I see huge difference in quality, potential and ambitions between both clubs. In previous season Hamburg somehow failed to get promotion into Bundesliga. Now their goal is very simple - promotion. They have all tools to do it - squad with high quality players, very nice stadium and big budget. They are on good way - second place after 15 rounds, but if they will win today they will be leader of the table after 16 rounds. On the other hand Osnabruck finished previous season on 13th place. At the moment they are on 11th place and this is their potential - I see them as a team from bottom half of the table.

This is special match for Hamburg coach Daniel Thioune. He was Osnabruck coach since 2017 until last summer. He helped club with progress from third level to Bundesliga 2. Now he is in Hamburg and for sure he wants to show up good against his former club. On the other hand he knows very well Osnabruck team and their weaknesses - this is big advantage. As well Hamburg key central midfielder Moritz Heyer came from Osnabruck to Hamburg last summer. In previous season when Osnabruck played on this stadium against Hamburg he scored a goal and received Man of the match award. For sure he was very important player for Osnabruck and now he have good motivation to play on good level. As well he knows weaknesses of his former teammates.

Osnabruck have very poor record on away against Hamburg - they lost 13 of last 18 such matches.

Hamburg is simply one class above Osnabruck. Their average ball possession in current season 56.8% and it's exactly 10% more than Osnabruck. They have 384 accurate passes per game, 80 more than Osnabruck. Hamburg already scored 14 goals more from open play. They created already 20 (!) big chances to score more than Osnabruck. Today Hamburg as well should be able to score goals without too many problems - Hamburg superb striker Terodde scored already 16 goals, so it's only 4 goals less than whole Osnabruck team. They have the best offensive power in league - they scored at least one goal in 14 of 15 matches, 10 times they scored more than one goal (4 of last 5) and 5 times more than 2 goals. Osnabruck is in poor form - they lost 4 of last 5 matches, they conceded at least one goal in all of these matches. In last round they lost at home 2:3 against poor Wurzburger from relegation zone. Osnabruck defense in that match looked awful. I see huge troubles for them today.

Hamburg should be able to score at least one goal (big possibility for more) and grab 3 points without too many problems at the end of the game.


我认为汉堡在今天的比赛中很有机会取得3分。

我看到两家球队之间在实力,潜力和野心方面都存在巨大差异。在上个赛季,汉堡未能晋级德甲。现在,他们的目标非常简单-升级。他们拥有完成这个目标的所有素质-高素质的球员,非常好的球场和庞大的预算。他们的状态很好-15轮之后获得第二名,但如果今天赢得胜利,他们将在16轮之后成为榜首。另一方面,奥斯纳布吕克(Osnabruck)在上个赛季排名第13位。目前他们排在第11位,这就是他们的潜力-我认为他们是一直中游球队。

这是汉堡教练丹尼尔·硫恩(Daniel Thioune)的特别比赛。自2017年起,他一直担任奥斯纳布鲁克的教练,直到去年夏天。他帮助俱乐部从三级联赛升到了德乙。现在他在汉堡,而且他肯定想在对阵他的前俱乐部时表现出色。另一方面,他非常了解奥斯纳布鲁克队及他们的弱点-这是一个很大的优势。去年夏天,汉堡的关键中场球员莫里茨·海耶(Moritz Heyer)也从奥斯纳布吕克(Osnabruck)来到了汉堡。在上一个赛季,奥斯纳布吕克(Osnabruck)在客场对阵汉堡的比赛中,他打进了一球,并获得了比赛的最佳球员。可以肯定的是,他是奥斯纳布吕克(Osnabruck)的重要球员,现在他有良好的动力去打好水准。他也知道他以前队友的弱点。

奥斯纳布吕克在对阵汉堡的比赛中表现不佳,在过去18场比赛中输了13场。

汉堡比奥斯纳布吕克的实力高一档。他们在本赛季的平均控球率为56.8%,比奥斯纳布吕克高出10%。他们每场比赛有384次准确传球,比奥斯纳布吕克多80次。汉堡在运动战已经打进14球。他们创造的危险进攻比Osnabruck更高的20次。本场汉堡也应该能够轻松攻入进球-汉堡出色的前锋特罗德(Terodde)已经进球16进球,仅比整个奥斯纳布吕克队少4个进球。他们在联盟中拥有最强的进攻能力-在15场比赛中有14场至少进了一个球,10场进球超过一个(过去5场中有4场),5场看进球超过2个。奥斯纳布吕克状态不佳-他们在最近5场比赛中输了4场,他们在所有这些比赛中至少丢进了一球。在上一轮中,他们以2:3输给了保级的维尔茨堡。奥斯纳布吕克在那场比赛中的防守看上去很差。我认为本场他们会有很多麻烦。

汉堡应该能够至少取得一个进球(有很大的可能性打进更多的进球),并最终收获三分。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。