Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba VS Velez Sarsfield

Godoy Cruz and Velez Sarsfield lock horns this Argentinian Liga Profesional (Clausura) Group B round 6 clash at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte in Mendoza early Tuesday morning Beijing time. Some teams have already played sis games. This is the highest-level of Argentinian football. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity. Indeed, we have won six of the last eight picks betting on this league! Velez currently occupy 6th place with a good eight points in their pocket. They have scored five goals and have conceded only three - which is the 2nd-lowest number in this group. With a win by a very big margin they could (mathematically) take first place in this group. I emphasize that their number of expected goals (xG) is bigger. However, they would need to be a little more creative and pass the ball more quickly near the opponent's goal to fight for a top-3 place in the group...

Godoy Cruz, on the other hand, have not won a single game in this group but have three points to their account. They are in 14th/15 place and have been disappointing as a whole. Their score difference is poor - 4:7 to be precise. They do have potential for a decent improvement but the bookies seemingly give this potential way too much emphasis. Indeed, the big bookies with the largest stake limits see the hosts as the favourites here - offering them odds of around 2.60 to send the visitors home empty-handed. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis, with the expected line-ups, this is incorrect. Indeed, Velez Sarsfield should be not clear but still solid favourites here. We will take the Velez Sarsfield +0.5 goals handicap option.

According to Transfermarkt.com, a well known-source, the visitors are the bigger team here - by s significant margin. Indeed, their squad has an estimated market value of some 51 million euros. The Godoy Cruz squad is valued at approximately 26 million. Both numbers are more or less correct. Let's also remember that Godoy Cruz have won only one of the last eight games between these two teams. They took this win in February, 2-0 away from home. However, they did not - by any means - deserve the win! Indeed, they generated only 0.22 in xG - Velez Sarsfield's number was 1.43! They recorded 12 more total shots than the visitors. Moreover, the visitors had only one shot on goal and zero big scoring chances. Velez Sarsfield's numbers were four and three respectively.

Godoy Cruz have not won any of their nine games which has surely affected their level of confidence.. Moreover, they have now lost four games in a row! In their last game they faced Atletico-MG, a Brazilian team, at home, losing 0-1 as favourites on the betting market. They did, however, generate 0.18 more in xG than the visitors in this Copa Sudamericana Playoffs 2nd leg. The match was played on 22nd of this month. Velez Sardfield have had two more days to rest and prepare for this game which surely benefits them.. Before losing to the Brazilians, Godoy Cruz faced River Plate away from home - losing 2-4. They were very imbalanced on the pitch and deserved to lose. The hosts recorded 23 total shots and many more shots on goal as well as big scoring chances - 7-2. They also generated 1.94 more in xG than the visitors. On the 15th of this month Godoy Cruz were lame - and once again overrated by the bookies - losing to Atletico-MG 1-2 away from home, failing to record a single big scoring chance and generating only 0.28 in xG. It was the 1st leg of the Copa Sudamericana Playoffs.

Let's not forget that Velez Sarsfield have lost only one of their last nine matches! They have now taken two consecutive wins. In their last game they were strong, defending very well as a team. It was a home game against Fortaleza, a dangerous Brazilian team in the Copa Libertadores Playoffs. The visitors generated only 0.25 in xG and had no big scoring chances. We can say that the 2-0 home win was somewhat justified. Before this they defeated Independiente 2-1 at home - as underdogs on the betting market. They recorded three more big scoring chances - 4-1 to be precise and 1.85 more in xG than the visitors. However, Independiente's K. Lomanaco was sent off in the 32nd minute..

GOOD LUCK!

戈多伊·克鲁兹·安东尼奥·托姆巴VS贝莱斯·萨斯菲尔德

北京时间周二凌晨，戈多伊·克鲁兹和贝莱斯·萨斯菲尔德将在阿根廷甲级联赛B组第6轮比赛中在门多萨的费利西亚诺·甘巴特球场展开对决。有些球队已经打了五场了。这是阿根廷足球的最高水平。足球爱好者和我们这些严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来衡量的中等质量水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。事实上，我们在过去的8次选秀中赢了6次。贝雷兹目前以8分的成绩排名第六。他们进了5个球，只丢了3个球，这是小组第二低的数字。如果以非常大的优势获胜，他们就可以（从数学上）成为小组第一。我强调他们的预期目标数量（xG）更大。然而，他们需要更有创造力，在对手的球门附近更快地传球，以争取小组前三的位置……

另一方面，戈多伊克鲁兹在这个小组中一场也没赢，但他们有3分。他们排在第14 /15位，整体表现令人失望。他们的比分差很小，准确地说是4:7。他们确实有潜力取得不错的进步，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。事实上，拥有最大赌注限制的大博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，他们提供了大约2.60的赔率，让游客空手而归。根据我基于数据的专家分析，根据预期的阵容，这是不正确的。事实上，萨斯菲尔德应该不明确，但仍然是坚定的热门。我们将选择萨斯菲尔德+0.5个进球障碍选项。

根据Transfermarkt.com（一个知名的消息来源）的数据，客队在这里是更大的队伍，而且差距很大。事实上，这支球队的市值估计在5100万欧元左右。戈多伊·克鲁兹队的身价约为2600万美元。这两个数字多少都是正确的。让我们也记住，戈多伊克鲁兹在这两支球队之间的最近八场比赛中只赢了一场。他们在2月取得了这场胜利，客场2-0。然而，无论如何，他们都配不上这场胜利！事实上，他们在xG中只产生了0.22，而Velez Sarsfield的数字是1.43！他们比客队多射门12次。此外，客队只有一次射门，没有进球机会。贝莱兹·萨斯菲尔德的号码分别是4和3。

戈多伊·克鲁兹九场比赛一场都没赢，这肯定影响了他们的信心。而且，他们现在已经连输四场了！在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对巴西的马竞- mg，在博彩市场上以0比1输掉了比赛。然而，在南美杯季后赛第二回合，他们的净胜率比客队高0.18。比赛于本月22日举行。萨菲尔德多了两天的休息时间，为这场比赛做准备，这对他们肯定有好处。在输给巴西人之前，戈多伊克鲁兹在客场面对河床队，以2比4输掉了比赛。他们在场上表现得很不平衡，输球是罪有应得。主队总共射门23次，射正的次数更多，也有进球的机会——7比2。他们在xG上的收入也比访客多1.94。本月15日，戈多伊克鲁兹表现不佳——又一次被博彩公司高估了——客场1-2不敌马竞，没有一个进球机会，全场只贡献0.28个进球。这是南美杯季后赛的第一回合。

别忘了萨斯菲尔德在过去的九场比赛中只输了一场！他们现在已经取得了两连胜。在上一场比赛中，他们很强大，作为一个团队防守很好。这是一场主场对阵福塔莱萨的比赛，这是一支在解放者杯季后赛中很危险的巴西球队。客队在xG中只创造了0.25个进球，并且没有大的得分机会。我们可以说主场2-0的胜利在某种程度上是合理的。在此之前，他们在主场以2-1击败了独立队——在博彩市场上是不被看好的球队。他们创造了三次更大的得分机会——准确地说是4比1，比客队多1.85。然而，独立队的K. Lomanaco在第32分钟被罚下。

好运！