83% WINS IN LA LIGA! 西甲 莱万特VS巴萨
2025-08-23
比赛分析
解读理由
It's the 2nd matchday of the Spanish La Liga! On Saturday, a game between Levante and Barcelona is going to happen. In this duel, I'm predicting Barcelona's win with at least a 2-goal margin.
Levante is back in the La Liga after a few years in the La Liga 2. In their opening game, Levante visited Alaves and lost 1:2. If we look from the data perspective, Levante should have lost as they had only 38% ball control, 1 big scoring chance against 2, 7 total shots against 15, and 0.87 expected goals against 1.29. If we look at the preseason, the team lost only 1 game, won 3, and drew 2. At the same time, only Auxerre was an opponent from the TOP5 league, and they managed to beat them.
Barcelona started the new campaign very strongly, running over Mallorca 3:0 on the road. Barcelona was leading 2:0 when Mallorca got 2 red cards in a stretch of 6 minutes, so at that point, the win was sealed. Barcelona had 74% ball control, 24 total shots against 4, 8 shots on target against 1, and 2.14 expected goals against 0.21. During the summer, Barcelona was on tour and had 4 big wins against Vissel Kobe (3:1), FC Seoul (7:3), Daegu FC (5:0), and Como (5:0).
Last season, Barcelona was a major force on he road, as they had more points away from home than at home. During 19 road games, Barcelona had 14 wins, a total of 50 goals scored, and 19 conceded. Well, I'm sure this game won't be close. Yes, it's the home opener for Levante, and everyone will be hyped, but they are facing Barcelona, which is one of the best teams in the world, and everyone should be playing even better after one more season under Hansi Flick.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
这是西甲联赛的第二个比赛日!周六,莱万特和巴塞罗那将有一场比赛。在这场决斗中,我预测巴塞罗那会以至少2球的优势获胜。
在西甲呆了几年之后,莱万特又回到了西甲。在首场比赛中,莱万特客场挑战阿拉维斯,以1:2落败。如果从数据的角度来看,莱万特应该输掉比赛,因为他们只有38%的控球率,1个进球机会,15次射门7次,1.29次预期进球0.87次。如果我们看看季前赛,球队只输了1场,赢了3场,平了2场。与此同时,只有欧塞尔是来自TOP5联赛的对手,他们成功地击败了他们。
巴塞罗那在新赛季的开局非常强势,在客场3:0击败了马洛卡。当马洛卡在6分钟内得到两张红牌时,巴塞罗那以2:0领先,所以在这一点上,胜利是确定的。巴萨的控球率为74%,对阵4的对手有24次射门,对阵1的对手有8次射正,对阵0.21的对手有2.14个预期进球。今年夏天,巴塞罗那队在与科比队(3:1)、首尔FC队(7:3)、大邱FC队(5:0)、科莫队(5:0)的比赛中取得了4场大胜。
上个赛季,巴塞罗那是客场的主力,因为他们在客场的得分比主场多。在19场客场比赛中,巴塞罗那取得了14场胜利,进了50个球,丢了19个球。我相信这场比赛不会势均力敌。是的,这是莱万特的主场揭幕战,每个人都会被炒作,但他们面对的是巴塞罗那,这是世界上最好的球队之一,每个人都应该在汉斯·弗里克的带领下再打一个赛季后表现得更好。
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