Recent 5 matches in this league:

VPS’s winless streak stretched to ten consecutive matches, as they had to settle for a goalless draw away against Gnistan. The Vaasa side went into the last round burdened by several suspensions, but managed to avoid defeat somewhat luckily in relation to the chances created, aided also by a few rather unusual refereeing decisions.

KTP’s situation at the bottom of the table worsened further, as one of their most favorable opportunities of the season to pick up points – away against IFK Mariehamn – ended in a deserved 0–3 defeat. The much-discussed goalkeeper situation took yet another turn when Oscar Linner, originally signed as the first-choice keeper, was dropped from the squad. The list of numerous KTP signings continues with the addition of experienced Joni Kauko. It is unlikely, however, that Kauko will feature on Friday, though the return of Atomu Tanaka from suspension improves the outlook slightly compared to the previous round.

Betting outlook. Both teams are in desperate need of a full three points to support their respective goals, but judging by current form, both VPS’s hopes of reaching the championship group and KTP’s fight for survival appear almost equally unlikely. VPS is unquestionably the stronger of the two sides, and their strengths in crosses and set pieces will pose a serious challenge for KTP, who defend their own box poorly. VPS’s expected return to winning ways comes with a probability of about 56 percent. Goals should also be expected in Hietalahti, with the match’s expected goal total around 3.10.

I can not really see why VPS would win this time either. KTP may be the last one in the table, but only just, and if they win here they will drag also VPS to the fierce relegation fight. Everyone - including me - expected more from KTP as the squad is good on paper. Now it is time to deliver.

Good luck!

最近5场联赛：

VPS的无胜连胜已经持续了十场，因为他们不得不在客场0比0战平了格尼斯坦。瓦萨队在最后一轮比赛中被禁赛了几次，但幸运的是，他们避免了失败，这与创造的机会有关，也得益于一些相当不寻常的裁判判罚。

KTP在积分榜上垫底的情况进一步恶化，因为他们本赛季最有利的拿分机会之一——客场对阵IFK玛丽汉姆——最终以0-3惨败而告终。当最初作为主力门将签约的奥斯卡·林纳（Oscar Linner）被排除在大名单之外时，备受讨论的门将情况又发生了变化。随着经验丰富的乔尼·考科的加入，KTP的签约名单继续增加。尽管田中富从停赛中恢复，与上一轮相比，前景略有改善，但考科不太可能在周五的比赛中出场。

赌博前景。两支球队都迫切需要整整三分来支持他们各自的目标，但从目前的状态来看，VPS进入冠军小组的希望和KTP为生存而战的希望几乎同样不可能。VPS无疑是双方中更强的一方，他们在传中和定位球方面的优势将对防守自己禁区的KTP构成严峻的挑战。VPS的预期回归获胜方式的概率约为56%。希塔拉赫蒂的进球也应该是意料之中的，比赛的预期进球总数在3.10左右。

我也不明白为什么VPS这次会赢。KTP可能是积分榜上的最后一个，但只是刚刚，如果他们在这里获胜，他们也会把VPS拖到激烈的保级战中。每个人——包括我——都对KTP有更高的期望，因为这支球队在纸面上很好。现在是付诸行动的时候了。

好运！