It's Champions League night! Today we are having 4 games, and one of them will be between Fenerbahce and Benfica. In the 1st leg game, I'm saying that Benfica won't lose. The winner of this duel will qualify for the Champions League.

The local championship started just last weekend for Fenerbahce, and they have played only 3 official games. In the previous Champions League qualification round, Fenerbahce beat Feyenoord. On the road, they lost 1:2 but managed to win 5:2 at home. While the home win was big, according to data, it was a close game - 46% ball control to Fenerbahce, 1.73 expected goals vs. 1.37, 14 total shots vs. 16, 8 shots on target vs. 8. In the Turkish league, Fenerbahce unexpectedly drew against Goztepe 0:0. Fenerbahce had a great chance to win the match but they missed the penalty in the 94th minute.

Benfica has already played 4 official games, and the record is great - 4 wins and no losses. In the previous qualification round, Benfica beat Nice, winning 2:0 at home and on the road. From a stats perspective, Benfica was much better in both games. Before those games, Benfica beat Sporting in the Supercup, and they have also won the only local championship game.

Interesting that Benfica and Fenerbahce met in a friendly game on July 26, and Benfica won 3:2. Benfica had 58% ball control, 8 more shots in total, and 3 more big scoring chances.

I'm going with Benfica's win or draw in this one. While Fenerbahce had a great performance against Feyenoord, Benfica is a much different opponent. Last year in the UEFA Europa League, Fenerbahce had wins only over Anderlecht and USG. Benfica advanced to the Champions League TOP16. While it's tough to play against Fenerbahce on the road, Benfica's roster has all the necessary qualities to get at least a draw here.

这是欧冠之夜！今天我们有4场比赛，其中一场是费内巴切和本菲卡之间的比赛。在第一回合比赛中，我说本菲卡不会输。这场对决的获胜者将有资格参加欧洲冠军联赛。

上周末，费内巴切刚刚开始了当地的联赛，他们只打了3场正式比赛。在之前的欧冠资格赛中，费内巴切击败了费耶诺德。在客场，他们以1:2落败，但在主场却以5:2取胜。虽然主场大胜，但数据显示，这是一场势均力敌的比赛——费内巴切控球率为46%，预期进球1.73比1.37，总射门14比16，射正8比8。在土耳其联赛中，费内巴切出人意料地以0:0战平戈兹特佩。费内巴切有很好的机会赢得比赛，但他们在第94分钟错失了点球。

本菲卡已经打了4场正式比赛，战绩非常好——4胜0负。在上一轮预选赛中，本菲卡在主场和客场均以2:0战胜尼斯。从数据的角度来看，本菲卡在两场比赛中都表现得更好。在这些比赛之前，本菲卡在超级杯中击败了里斯本竞技，他们也赢得了唯一的本地冠军赛。

有趣的是，本菲卡和费内巴切在7月26日的一场友谊赛中相遇，本菲卡3:2获胜。本菲卡有58%的控球率，总共多了8次射门，多了3次得分机会。

我猜本菲卡是赢是平。虽然费内巴切在对阵费耶诺德的比赛中表现出色，但本菲卡是一个完全不同的对手。去年的欧联杯，费内巴切只赢过安德莱赫特和USG。本菲卡挺进欧冠16强。虽然在客场与费内巴切交手很难，但本菲卡的阵容已经具备了所有必要的条件，至少可以在这里取得平局。