Egersunds IK VS Lillestrom

Egersund challenge Lillestrom in this OBOS-Ligaen round 18 battle at B&G Parke in Egersund) very early Thursday morning Beijing time. However, in reality all teams have played 16 games in this league so far this season. This is the second-highest level of Norwegian football. By European standards it's not of high level - for a second tier, I mean.. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a clash of good level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have another very interesting betting opportunity here! Lillestrom were relegated from the Eliteserien to this level for this season. They had a terrible season, taking only 24 points. Their score difference was the worst in the league - 33:63 to be precise. By the OBOS-Ligaen standards they do have a strong squad and have a good chance of being promoted (back) to the 1st tier. They top the standings with 38 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is much smaller! They have scored 35 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is "only" 28.77. They have conceded only nine goals but this is very misleading! Indeed, their number of expected goals against (xGA) is 17.89!

The bookies see Lillestrom as big favourites here, offering odds of only around 1.45 on the away win! Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis - with the expected line-ups, I must disagree! We will place a +1.5 goals handicap bet on the hosts. Taking into account the substantial home advantage I see Lillestrom have an only 57% chance of winning. Egersund are in 5th place with 21 points to their account. They have decent firepower having scored 27 goals in this league this season. They have allowed 28 goals but I emphasize that their number of expected goals against (xGA) is only 23.98. Yes, their midfielders should be more active in defending though if they want to stay in the top-6. I believe they are well capable of doing this.. In their last match they bets Odd 1-0 at home. They were not quite at their best but the win was not unjustified - based on the events on the pitch. Lillestrom have won seven of their last 10 games but have been lucky in quite a few of these matches.

GOOD LUCK!

埃格尔松VS利勒斯特罗姆

北京时间周四凌晨，Egersund在Egersund的B&G公园举行的ows - ligaen第18轮比赛中挑战利勒斯特罗姆。然而，事实上，本赛季到目前为止，所有球队都在这个联盟打了16场比赛。这是挪威足球的第二高水平。按照欧洲的标准，它不是高水平的——对于二线来说，我的意思是…足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。最重要的是，我们在这里有另一个非常有趣的赌博机会！利尔斯特罗姆本赛季从精英队降级到这个级别。他们度过了一个糟糕的赛季，只得到24分。他们的分差是联盟中最差的，准确地说是33:63。按照OBOS-Ligaen的标准，他们确实有一个强大的阵容，并且很有可能升（回）到一级联赛。他们以38分排名第一，但他们的预期积分（xPTS）要少得多！他们打进了35球，但他们的预期进球数（xG）“只有”28.77。他们只丢了9个球，但这是非常误导的！事实上，他们对xGA的预期进球数是17.89！

博彩公司认为利勒斯特罗姆是这里的大热门，客场获胜的赔率只有1.45左右！基于我强有力的基于数据的专家分析-与预期的阵容，我必须不同意！我们将在东道主身上下注+1.5个进球。考虑到巨大的主场优势，我认为利勒斯特罗姆队只有57%的获胜机会。埃格尔松德以21分排名第五。他们有不错的火力，本赛季在联赛中打进27球。他们丢了28个球，但我要强调的是，他们对xGA的预期进球数只有23.98个。是的，如果他们想保持前6名的话，他们的中场应该更积极地防守。我相信他们完全有能力做到这一点。在最后一场比赛中，他们在主场以1比0赌奇数。他们并没有达到最佳状态，但这场胜利也不是不公平的——基于球场上发生的事情。利尔斯特罗姆在最近10场比赛中赢了7场，但在其中的几场比赛中运气都不错。

好运！