PROFIT from Finland? $$$ 芬超 赫尔辛基VSAC奥卢
2025-07-20
比赛分析
解读理由
HJK Helsinki VS AC Oulu
AC Oulu challenge HJK in this Veikkausliiga battle at Bolt Arena very late Sunday evening Beijing time. KuPS have played 17 games, the rest of the team have played 16 or - 15 matches including HJK and AC Oulu. This is the first tier of Finland but the level of this league is, as many of my fans are probably aware of by now, somewhat poor by European standards.. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won eight of the last 11 betting on Veikkausliiga. Yes, HJK are the richest and most successful club in Finland but their last season was a mess - or should I say "circus". I have mentioned about that many times before so I will not go into it in detail in this preview but HJK finished in third place in 2025. This was a huge disappointment by their very high standards.. HJK have qualifying once for the UEFA Europa League and three times for the UEFA Conference League in the last four seasons. They last played on Thursday (Finland) time against Runavik, a semi-professional Faroese team, at home, winning 4-0 after 90 minutes of play. A 30 minutes extra time followed. HJK's Santeri Hostikka scored the 5-0 goal early in the extra time. It Conference League Qualification round 1 2nd leg clash. Runavik were averred an early red card and the sending off of course helped HJK's come back.. Runavik simply "parked" the bus - defending with all 11 men for the most of the 90 minutes. Even after the 5-4 on aggregate goal the could not do much offensively.. However, in the first leg Runavik were active, boosted by HJK's Ville Tikkanen being sent off in the 23rd minute. Yes, Runavik were better than expected but HJK were almost hilariously bad in the Faroe Islands! Indeed, they have been very erratic in recent weeks - unable to beat a single team who are equally good - not to mention better - than HJK themselves.. They have lost three of their last five games - including a 2-3 home defeat against Jaro on the 2nd of July. HJK were leading 2-0 in the second half but somehow lost, after being traded at 1.01-1.02 in live betting! HJK were priced below 1.30 to win the game. This loss - and the 0-4 defeat to Runavik prove that everything is not right with HJK.. On a good day the can be very strong but these kinds of performances have been rare in the last 1.5 years..
Let's remember that HJK are only in 4th place in the Veikkausliiga standings. They have grabbed 26 points - seven less than Inter who top the standings. HJK sacked Toni "Toke" Korkeakunnas after only five Veikkausliiga games in May - having won only one of the first five games. Yes, they immediately improved under the caretaker head coach, Miika Nuutinen. He is a promising but undeniably an inexperienced coach.. Aleksi Lalli, the reserve/youth team coach, was appointed as Nuutinen's assistant coach. He is even younger - and also a very promising coach. No, HJK have not fully convinced me even under Nuutinen. Probably mainly because of the 120 minutes on Thursday three of HJK's four best players - Pukki, Ring and Hostikka start on the bench.. This will probably affect the game more than bookies believe. HJK has a less wide squad than usual (at this time of the season). The current odds of around 1.55-1.60 on the home win - taking the fatigue and squad rotation factors into account - are too low. We will place a +1.5 goals handicap bet on the visitors. They are on 11th place and their season has been a disappointment as a whole. In terms of pure class I see the as the 9th-best team in this league. They have taken 12 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is significantly bigger. they have scored 21 goals and have conceded 32 goals. they should have the potential to improve in all areas of the game. Oulu's number of expected goals against (xGA) is "only" 25.45. Oulu have not lost any of their last four matches, winning 3/4. They have looked much more confident on the pitch than in the early season.. Despite the challenging season they - according to my reports - have a pretty good team spirit. In their last game they deservedly took all three points at home against KTP (3-2). Oulu generated 1.01 more in expected goals (xG) and also had more shots on goal, total shots and big scoring chances. Before this they took a point from the reigning champions, KuPS, through a 2-2 draw at home - as underdogs on the betting market. It was a pretty poor performance from both teams. the tempo of the game was low - even by the Veikkausliiga standards.. KuPS generated a little more in xG - but only 0.61..
GOOD LUCK!
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赫尔辛基HJK VS奥卢AC
北京时间周日晚,AC奥卢将在博尔特竞技场与hkjk进行一场维克考斯利加的战斗。库普斯踢了17场比赛,其他球员踢了16或15场比赛,包括香港和奥卢。这是芬兰的第一梯队,但这个联赛的水平,正如我的许多球迷现在可能已经意识到的那样,以欧洲的标准来看有点差。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛!最重要的是,我们有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在最近11次赌维库斯利加赢了8次。是的,HJK是芬兰最富有和最成功的俱乐部,但他们上个赛季一团糟——或者我应该说“马戏团”。我之前已经提到过很多次了,所以我不会在这个预览中详细介绍,但是沪江在2025年获得了第三名。以他们的高标准来看,这是一个巨大的失望。在过去的四个赛季中,hkk获得了一次欧联杯和三次欧洲联盟联赛的资格。他们上一场比赛是在周四(芬兰时间)主场对阵法罗半职业球队鲁那维克,比赛进行到90分钟后,他们以4比0获胜。接着是30分钟的加时。在加时赛一开始,海克队的Santeri Hostikka就打进了5-0的进球。联赛资格赛第1轮第2回合交锋。卢纳维克早早就被红牌罚下,这当然帮助了香港扳回一局。鲁那维克只是把车“停”了下来——在90分钟的大部分时间里,他和11个人一起防守。即使在5比4的总比分之后,他们在进攻端也做不到什么。然而,在第一回合比赛中,由于jk的维尔·蒂卡宁在第23分钟被红牌罚下,卢纳维克表现活跃。是的,Runavik比预期的要好,但是HJK在法罗群岛的表现简直糟糕透了!事实上,他们最近几周的表现非常不稳定,无法击败一支与他们同样优秀的球队,更不用说比他们更好了。他们在最近的五场比赛中输掉了三场,包括7月2日主场2-3输给哈罗的比赛。hkk在下半场以2-0领先,但不知怎么的,在1.01-1.02的交易中输了!为了赢得这场比赛,港股的定价低于1.30。这场失利,以及0-4输给卢纳维克,证明了香港的一切都不对。在一个好的日子里,他们可以非常强大,但在过去的一年半里,这种表现是罕见的。
让我们记住,hkk在韦克考斯利加的排名只排在第4位。他们拿到了26分,比排名第一的国米少7分。在5月份的维克考斯利亚联赛中,只有5场比赛之后,hkk解雇了托尼·“托克”·科尔基阿库纳斯——在前5场比赛中只赢了一场。是的,在临时主教练Miika Nuutinen的带领下,他们迅速取得了进步。他是个有前途但毫无疑问缺乏经验的教练。预备队/青年队教练阿列克西·拉利被任命为努蒂宁的助理教练。他更年轻,也是一个很有前途的教练。不,即使在nutinen的领导下,hkk也没有完全说服我。可能主要是因为在周四的120分钟里,沪江四名最好的球员中有三名——普基、林和霍斯蒂卡首发。这对比赛的影响可能比博彩公司认为的要大。(在这个赛季的这个时候)hkk的阵容比平时少。目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.55-1.60——考虑到疲劳和阵容轮换因素——太低了。我们将在客队身上下注+1.5个进球。他们排在第11位,整个赛季都令人失望。就纯粹的水平而言,我认为他们是这个联盟中排名第九的球队。他们拿到了12分,但是他们的期望分数(xPTS)要大得多。他们进了21个球,丢了32个球。他们应该在比赛的各个方面都有提高的潜力。奥卢对xGA的预期进球数“只有”25.45个。奥卢最近4场比赛没有输过一场,3胜4负。他们在球场上看起来比赛季初自信多了。尽管这个赛季充满了挑战,但根据我的报告,他们有很好的团队精神。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场3-2战胜了KTP,理所应当地拿到了全部三分。奥卢的预期进球数(xG)增加了1.01个,射门次数、总射门次数和进球机会也更多。在此之前,他们在主场以2比2战平了卫冕冠军库普斯队,从他们那里拿到了一分。两队的表现都很糟糕。比赛的节奏很低——即使以维克考斯利加的标准来看也是如此。在xG中生成的up稍微多一点,但只有0.61..
好运!
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