Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
  • 1578

    方案

  • 6617

    粉丝

An unusual pick here - a draw!

2025-07-13

比赛分析

解读理由

It's rather unusual to bet on a draw, but this match smells like a draw more than any other in a long time, and the odds are generous! GAIS have not lost in 7, Hammarby have won last 4.

in the picture below we have GAIS at home and Hammarby on the road. Notably, GAIS has a high number of low-scoring draws, and both wins are against weaker teams. Also, Hammarby has two low-scoring draws vs these better teams, 1-2-1.

So can we expect a 1-1 here with big odds? More below:


GAIS, currently sixth in the league under coach Fredrik Holmberg, has collected 22 points from 14 matches with a record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, and a goal difference of 18–11. Local rivals IFK Göteborg are level on points in seventh place. Malmö, in fifth with two more games played, are five points ahead. Elfsborg and AIK, tied for third and fourth, are just two points ahead of Malmö.

GAIS extended their unbeaten streak to seven matches but had to settle for a goalless draw at home against Malmö at Gamla Ullevi, following three straight wins. The expected goals (xG) slightly favored GAIS, approximately 1.2 to 0.9.

Team news - GAIS:

Midfielder Chovanie Amatkaryo and forward Lucas Hedlund will miss the upcoming game for GAIS.

Possible starting lineup for GAIS (4-3-3): Krasniqi; Wangberg, Ågren, Beckman, Wendin; Milovanovic, Holmen, Boudriga; Lundgren, Diabate, Niklasson.

Hammarby, led by Kim Hellberg, sits second in the league and trails leaders Mjällby by just one point. After 15 matches, Hammarby has collected 33 points with 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, and a goal difference of 26–9.

They earned their fourth consecutive victory with a 1–0 home win over Värnamo last Saturday. The expected goals favored Hammarby, approximately 1.2 to 0.4.

Midfielder Moise Kabore scored the match-winner in stoppage time. It was his second goal in six appearances for Hammarby, who have now recorded four consecutive clean sheets.

Team news - Hammarby:

Dennis Collander will be unavailable for Hammarby, while forwards Paulos Abraham and Wilson Lindberg are also doubtful.

Possible starting lineup for Hammarby (4-3-3): Hahn; Skoglund, Eriksson, Breze, Pinas; Karlsson, Tekie, Besara; Madjed, Erabi, Tounekti.

Recent meetings between GAIS and Hammarby have been extremely tight!



The last four matches between the two sides have all ended in draws, with the most recent two from last season finishing goalless. Another draw seems a likely outcome.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

赌一场平局是相当不寻常的,但这场比赛比以往任何一场都更像一场平局,而且赔率很大!GAIS在过去的7场比赛中没有输过,Hammarby在过去的4场比赛中获胜。

在下面的图片中,我们有GAIS在家里,Hammarby在路上。值得注意的是,GAIS有很多低比分平局,而且两场胜利都是对阵较弱的球队。此外,哈姆比在对阵这些更好的球队的比赛中有两场低比分平局,比分是1-2-1。

所以我们能期待1比1的大赔率吗?更多的以下:


在霍姆伯格的执教下,目前排名联赛第6位的GAIS在14场比赛中取得了5胜7平2负的成绩,获得了22分,净胜球为18胜11负。当地的竞争对手IFK Göteborg以同样的积分排名第七。Malmö,排在第五位,还有两场比赛,领先五分。Elfsborg和AIK并列第三和第四,仅领先Malmö两分。

GAIS将他们的不败纪录延长到了7场,但是在主场Gamla Ullevi球场与Malmö的比赛中,他们以0比0战平,此前他们取得了3连胜。预期目标(xG)稍微偏向于GAIS,大约在1.2到0.9之间。

团队新闻- GAIS:

中场阿马特卡里约和前锋赫德隆德将因GAIS缺席即将到来的比赛。

GAIS可能的首发阵容(4-3-3):克拉斯尼基;Wangberg, Ågren, Beckman, Wendin;米洛万诺维奇、霍尔曼、布德里加;朗格,迪亚贝特,尼克拉森。

在金·海尔伯格的带领下,哈马比在联盟中排名第二,仅落后领头羊Mjällby一分。在15场比赛中,哈马比取得了10胜3平2负、26比9的净胜球、33分的好成绩。

上周六,他们主场1-0战胜Värnamo,取得了四连胜。预期进球对哈马比有利,约为1.2比0.4。

中场球员卡博雷在补时阶段打进致胜一球。这是他为哈马比出场6次的第2粒进球,目前哈马比已经连续4次零封对手。

球队新闻- Hammarby:

丹尼斯-科兰德将无法出战哈马比,而前锋保罗-亚伯拉罕和威尔逊-林德伯格也不确定。

哈马比可能的首发阵容(4-3-3):哈恩;Skoglund, Eriksson, Breze, Pinas;卡尔森,泰基,贝萨拉;Madjed, Erabi, Tounekti。

GAIS和Hammarby最近的会议非常紧张!



两队最近的四场比赛都以平局告终,最近的两场比赛都是在上个赛季0 - 0结束的。另一场平局似乎是可能的结果。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。