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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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GREAT results in this league! $$$

2025-07-11

比赛分析

解读理由

Waterford United VS Cork City



Waterford and Cork lock horns in this Irish Premier League round 24 battle at Regional Sports Centre in Waterford very early Saturday morning Beijing time. However, in reality several have played 25 matches already.. Both Waterford and Cork have played 23 games in this league. The level of this league is very low by European standards, even worse than for example that of the Finnish Veikkausliiga.. However there are worse leagues in Europe, for example in Gibraltar, San Marino and Andorra. The best/most promising young Irish players usually leave Ireland at a relatively young age to build a career abroad, especially in England. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors can expect a match of ,much worse mediocre quality by this league's standards.. Most importantly we serios bettors have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here. We have won eight of the last 10 picks betting on this league. The hosts are the bigger team here in terms of players' estimated total market value, according to Transfermarkt.com. The Waterford squad is valued at 2.25 million euros but close to three million would be a more realistic number. Cork were promoted from the second tier to this level for this season. I want to highlight that the difference between the 1st and 2nd tiers is huge! Indeed, the Division 1 is (mainly) not a professional league.. Cork took 78 points last season, winning the Division 1 and won 22 of the 36 games. I expect Cork to be relegated back to 2nd tier for next season. They lack quality in all areas of the game to really credibly compete in the 1st tier. I do not see them having much room for improvement.. They are in last place with a pathetic 15 points to their account. They have scored 24 goals and have allowed 41 goals.


With the expected line-ups the Waterford win is the obvious professional bettor's choice here! Odds of around 2.05 are widely available at the time of posing this analysis. The hosts have a good, 56% chance, of taking all three points. I expect Waterford to be active right from the beginning - boosted by their fans. Waterford will be without Radkowski and Smith. As for the visitors Couto, Drinan, Keating, Lyons are out - Maguire and Murray are questionable. Waterford are currently in 8th place with 27 points. They are, in all honesty, not a great team.. Their number of xPTS is, however, 29.87 and have some room for improvement. Waterford have scored 24 goals and do unarguably lack some creativity and individual skill in offense - needed to do well at this level.. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 28.78. They have conceded 42 goals but their number of expected goals against (xGA) is "only" 38.03. Cork City have been in very poor form recently, failing to win any of their last 13 games. Moreover, they have lost four of their last six matches. In their most recent game they lost to Celtic, a Scottish team, 1-2 in a friendly game. Before this they took on Shelbourne, losing 1-3 away from home. Cork City generated only 0.33 in xG and had just two shots on goal and one big scoring chance. Shelbourne recorded six and five respectively. Waterford have not been in good form recently but have still won five of their last 12 matches. The opponent in all these 12 games has been better than Cork City. In their last game they travelled to Derry and lost 2-7 as very clear favourites underdogs according to the bookies. Derry are one of the best teams in this league. The final score is massively misleading. Indeed, Derry generated only 1.45 in xG. Waterford managed 0.87. Derry had only one more big chance - 2-1 to be precise. I believe this result affects the odds too much here.. S. Diallo scored the 3-0 goal in the 36th minute - the game was - as a result - effectively "over".. Before this they fought well, losing only 0-1 to Shamrock Rovers away from home. Shamrock are the best team in this league. Shamrock had only two big scoring chances. In round 20, on the 20th of June, Waterford proved that on a good day they can play well. Indeed, they beat Bohemians, currently in 3rd place in the standings, 2-1 at home. They recorded significantly more in xG and did not allow Bohemians a single big scoring chance - recording four themselves!



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

沃特福德联队VS科克城



北京时间周六凌晨,沃特福德和科克将在爱尔兰超级联赛第24轮在沃特福德地区体育中心展开激战。然而,实际上有几个已经打了25场比赛了。沃特福德和科克都在联赛中打了23场比赛。按照欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛的水平很低,甚至比芬兰的维克斯利加还要差。然而,在欧洲有更糟糕的联赛,例如直布罗陀、圣马力诺和安道尔。最好/最有前途的年轻爱尔兰球员通常在相对年轻的时候离开爱尔兰,在国外,特别是在英格兰建立自己的职业生涯。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场比赛,以这个联赛的标准来看,质量要差得多。最重要的是,我们这些严肃的投注者还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会。我们在过去的10次选秀中赢了8次。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的估计总市值而言,东道主的球队规模更大。沃特福德的总价为225万欧元,但接近300万欧元是更现实的数字。科克队本赛季从二级球队提升到一级球队。我想强调的是,一级和二级之间的差异是巨大的!的确,甲级联赛(主要)不是一个职业联赛。上赛季科克队拿到了78分,赢得了甲级联赛36场比赛中的22场。我预计下个赛季科克队会降级到第二梯队。他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏实力,无法在第一梯队中真正可信地竞争。我看不出他们有多少改进的余地。他们排在最后,只有可怜的15分。他们进了24球,丢了41球。


有了预期的阵容,沃特福德的胜利显然是职业投注者的选择!在提出这一分析时,大约2.05的赔率是广泛可用的。东道主有56%的机会包揽全部三分。我希望沃特福德从一开始就在他们球迷的鼓舞下积极起来。沃特福德将失去拉德科夫斯基和史密斯。至于客队,库托,德里南,基廷,里昂都不在阵中,马奎尔和穆雷也不确定。沃特福德目前以27分排名第8。老实说,他们不是一个伟大的团队。但是,它们的xpt数量为29.87,还有一些改进的空间。沃特福德已经进了24个球,毫无疑问,他们在进攻端缺乏一些创造力和个人技巧——这是在这个水平上取得好成绩所必需的。他们的预期进球数(xG)是28.78。他们丢了42个球,但他们对(xGA)的预期进球数“只有”38.03个。科克城最近状态很差,最近13场比赛一场都没赢。此外,他们在最近6场比赛中输掉了4场。在最近的一场友谊赛中,他们以1比2输给了苏格兰的凯尔特人队。在此之前,他们客场1-3输给了谢尔本。科克城队的射门率仅为0.33,仅有2次射正和1次重大进球机会。谢尔本分别得了6分和5分。沃特福德最近状态不佳,但在过去的12场比赛中赢了5场。这12场比赛的对手都比科克城强。在他们的上一场比赛中,他们前往德里,以2比7输掉了比赛,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是非常明显的热门失败者。德里是联盟中最好的球队之一。最终的分数具有很大的误导性。实际上,德里在xG中只生成了1.45。沃特福德获得0.87分。德里只有一次机会了——准确地说是2比1。我认为这个结果对这里的胜算影响太大了。迪亚洛在第36分钟打进了一个3-0的进球,结果这场比赛实际上“结束”了。在此之前,他们打得很好,客场只0-1输给了三叶草流浪者队。三叶草是这个联盟中最好的球队。三叶草只有两次大的得分机会。在6月20日的第20轮比赛中,沃特福德证明了他们在好的日子里也能踢得很好。事实上,他们在主场以2比1击败了目前排名第三的波希米亚人。他们在xG的记录明显更多,没有给波西米亚人一个重要的得分机会——他们自己记录了四个!



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