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BIG GAME! BIG ODDS! 四强赛 韩国VS中国

2025-07-07

比赛分析

解读理由

Let's start the East Asian Championship! In the 1st round game, South Korea will host China. In this game, I predict South Korea's win.

Just a month ago, South Korea finished its World Cup qualification. South Korea was a dominant force in the qualification as they were the best team in the group with 6 wins and 4 draws, a total of 20 goals scored and only 7 conceded. At home, South Korea had 2 wins and 3 draws, a total of 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. South Korea had draws against Jordan and Oman at home, but, if we are honest, they should have won. Against Jordan, South Korea created an xG of 1.76 against 0.28, while against Oman, they had 0.67 against 0.17.

China didn't qualify for the World Cup. China had 3 wins and 7 losses in 10 games, a total of 7 goals scored and 20 conceded. Especially bad South Korea was on the road, where they had 1 win and 4 losses in 5 games, a total of 2 goals scored and 12 conceded.

I'm confident about South Korea's win. Teams last met a year ago, when they were in the same group in one of the World Cup qualifier stages. South Korea was a dominant force in both teams. At home, they won 1:0 but had 80% ball control, 11 total shots against 3, 6 shots on target against 1. On the road, South Korea won 3:0, they had an xG of 1.70 against 0.14, 65% ball control, 18 total shots against 5, and 8 shots on target against 0.

Japan is also in this group, so South Korea won't get an easy path to the 1st place in the group. But, in order to compete for the 1st place, a win over China is a must. According to FIFA rankings, South Korea is the 23rd-best team in the world, while China is 94th. South Korea's team is valued at 98.6 million euros, while China's is worth 13.3 million.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

让我们开始东亚锦标赛吧!在第一轮比赛中,韩国队将主场迎战中国队。在这场比赛中,我预测韩国队会赢。

就在一个月前,韩国队刚刚结束了世界杯预选赛。韩国队在预选赛中占据主导地位,他们以6胜4平的成绩成为小组中最好的球队,共进20球,只丢7球。在主场,韩国队2胜3平,共进9球失4球。韩国队在主场战平了约旦和阿曼,但如果我们诚实的话,他们应该赢。在与约旦的比赛中,韩国队创造了1.76比0.28的xG,在与阿曼的比赛中,韩国队创造了0.67比0.17的xG。

中国队没能晋级世界杯。中国队10场比赛3胜7负,进7球失20球。尤其糟糕的是,韩国队在客场比赛中取得了5场1胜4负的战绩,进2球失12球。

我对韩国队的胜利充满信心。两队上一次相遇是在一年前,当时他们在世界杯预选赛的一个阶段同组。韩国队在两支球队中都占据了主导地位。在主场,他们以1:0获胜,但控球率为80%,对3的比赛中有11次射门,对1的比赛中有6次射正。在客场,韩国队以3:0取胜,他们的射门比为1.70比0.14,控球率为65%,总射门数为18比5,射门数为8比0。

日本也在这个小组,所以韩国队要想获得小组第一并不容易。但是,为了争夺第一名,战胜中国是必须的。根据国际足联的排名,韩国队排在世界第23位,中国队排在第94位。韩国队的身价为9860万欧元,中国队的身价为1330万欧元。

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