In my opinion Granada have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Granada currently have great streak against Elche as they didn't lost in 8 consecutive La Liga matches against them (6 wins and 5 clean sheets in the process). Granada didn't lost in La Liga against Elche since 1975. Granada went unbeaten in last 4 La Liga matches at this stadium. In addition to that Granada have very good streak against teams from Valencian Community-they didn't lost in 6 of last 7 away matches against such teams.

Both teams have squad problems before today's match, but Elche problems looks much more serious and that should have very bad impact on their performance today. 8 (!!!) players which played in last round match against Barcelona is unavailable today. On their list of absences You have the best Elche player in current season (according to the ratings) Mojica and four the best scorers Boye (5 goals), Benedetto (2 goals), Perez (2 goals) and Milla (2 goals). Elche in current season scored 18 goals (according to the expected goals scored model they should 16.7) and today they are without players who scored together 12 of their 18 goals.. On the other hand Granda have available almost all their top players. The best player in current season (according to the ratings) Luis Milla is available. Three the best scorers: Molina (7 goals), Suarez (3 goals) and Puertas (2 goals) are available. It's big difference in comparison to the Elche.

Granada coming for this match in much better form. They didn't lost in last 5 La Liga matches in a row. In last round they won at home against title defenders Atletico Madrid. Confidence for sure is on the highest possible level. Granada don't have problems with goalscoring as they scored more than one goal in 4 of last 5 matches. Elche won only once in last 5 matches, against poor Cadiz at home, but that was close game: expected goals scored for Elche 2.15, for Cadiz 1.88. In other matches where they failed to win they had expected goals scored number lower than their opponents. Elche conceded at least one goal in last 10 La Liga matches in a row (7 times more than one).

Elche won only 3 of 18 La Liga matches in current season and for me is hard to see them as a favorite against solid Granda especially with so depleted squad. Value for sure is on away side.

在我看来，格拉纳达有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

格拉纳达目前在对阵埃尔切的比赛中取得了不错的成绩，他们在连续 8 场西甲比赛中没有输球（其中 6 胜 5 零失球）。自 1975 年以来，格拉纳达就没有在西甲对阵埃尔切的比赛中输过。格拉纳达最近 4 场西甲比赛在这座球场保持不败。除此之外，格拉纳达在对阵瓦伦西亚社区球队的比赛中也取得了不错的成绩——他们在过去 7 场客场对阵巴伦西亚地区的球队中有 6 场没有输球。

两队在今天的比赛前都有阵容问题，但埃尔切的问题看起来要严重得多，这对他们今天的表现应该会产生非常不利的影响。8名球员上轮对阵巴塞罗那的球员今天无法上场。在他们的缺席名单上，有本赛季最好的埃尔切球员（根据评分）莫希卡和四名最佳射手博耶（5球）、贝内代托（2球）、佩雷斯（2球）和米拉（2球）。埃尔切在本赛季打进了 18 球（根据预期进球模型他们应该是 16.7），而今天他们会缺少全队打进 18 球中的 12 球的球员。另一方面，格拉纳达几乎拥有他们所有的首发球员。本赛季最佳球员（根据收视率）路易斯·米拉（Luis Milla）上场。三个最佳射手：莫利纳（7 球）、苏亚雷斯（3 球）和普尔塔斯（2 球）都没有问题。与埃尔切相比有很大的不同。

格拉纳达以更好的状态参加这场比赛。他们在最近的 5 场西甲比赛中没有输球。上轮他们在主场战胜了卫冕冠军马德里竞技队。信心很足。格拉纳达在进球方面没有问题，他们在过去 5 场比赛中有 4 场进球超过一球。埃尔切在过去的 5 场比赛中只赢了一次，在主场对阵表现不佳的加的斯，但那是一场势均力敌的比赛：埃尔切的预期进球数为 2.15，加的斯为 1.88。在他们未能获胜的其他比赛中他们的预期的进球数都低于对手。在过去的 10 场西甲比赛中，埃尔切都至少丢了一个球（比 1 次多 7 次）。

埃尔切在本赛季的 18 场西甲比赛中只赢了 3 场，很难将他们视为本场的赢球热门，尤其是在阵容如此枯竭的情况下。预测格拉纳达不败。