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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Best bet for today is from Championship! 周一英冠精选

2021-12-27

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期二2021-12-28 01:30

解读理由

In my opinion Bournemouth have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match (good possibility for 3). +0 AH looks like very nice bet here.

Bournemouth didn't lost in 4 of last 5 matches against QPR. They won 2:1 at home in first match of the season between both teams. They have good mental advantage.

Guests have huge advantage in 'rhythm'. QPR didn't played since their loss at 5th December because of virus problems. On the other hand Bournemouth played their last match 9 days ago. It's big difference.

Bournemouth plays very good season, they are on second place (only 2 points behind first Fulham). They are 8 points above QPR.

I don't see big difference between both teams in terms of quality of play with the ball. QPR have 387 accurate passes per game (80.7% accuracy), Bournemouth have 378 (80% accuracy). QPR have 56.1% average ball possession, Bournemouth have 55.8%.

I see Bournemouth advantage upfront. Okay - QPR have 5.2 shots on target per game, Bournemouth have 4.6, but they created much more big chances to score (40) in current season than QPR (25). In addition to that QPR today probably will play without their two best scorers Dykes and Chair (both with 6 goals on their accounts). Bournemouth don't have any important absences in their offensive line up.

Bournemouth don't have any important absences at the back and their defensive formation should make big difference today. Bournemouth have one of the best defense in whole league with only 20 goals conceded. QPR is in bottom half of the table in that department. In addition to that they have big squad problems - first goalkeeper Dieng is doubtful, same as defenders Adomah, Wallace and Kakay. In addition to that defenders Odubajo, McCallum and De Wijs are unavailable today.

In those circumstances I see very good value on away side.


在我看来,伯恩茅斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分(3 分的可能性很大)。客队不败看起来是个不错的选择。

伯恩茅斯在对阵 QPR 的最近 5 场比赛中有 4 场没有输球。双方本赛季首场比赛伯恩茅斯主场2:1取胜。他们有很好的心理优势。

客队在“节奏”上有着巨大的优势。由于病毒问题,QPR 在 12 月 5 日输球后就没有参加比赛。另一方面,伯恩茅斯在 9 天前进行了他们的最后一场比赛。这是很大的不同。

伯恩茅斯本赛季表现非常出色,他们排名第二(仅落后第一富勒姆 2 分),比 QPR 高 8 分。

我认为两支球队在实力方面没有太大区别。QPR每场有387次准确传球(80.7%的准确率),伯恩茅斯有378次(80%的准确率)。 QPR 平均控球率为 56.1%,伯恩茅斯为 55.8%。

我看到了伯恩茅斯的优势。伯恩茅斯场均射门 5.2 次,QPR有4.6次,但他们在本赛季创造了比QPR(25)更多的得分机会(40)。除此之外,今天的 QPR 可能会缺少他们的两个最佳射手 Dykes 和 Chair(他们都有 6 个进球)。伯恩茅斯在他们的进攻阵容中没有任何重要的缺席。

伯恩茅斯没有任何重要的后防球员缺席,他们的防守阵型今天应该不会有很大的不同。伯恩茅斯是整个联盟中防守最好的球队之一,只丢了 20 个球。QPR的防守排名只能排到中下游。除此之外,他们还有很大的阵容问题——第一门将迪昂出战存疑,与后卫阿多马、华莱士和卡凯同样如此。除此之外,后卫奥杜巴霍、麦卡勒姆和德维斯今天都无法上场。

在这种情况下,我看好伯恩茅斯不败。

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