Jaro VS Inter Turku

Jaro welcome visitors from the city of Turku for this Finnish Veikkausliiga clash at Jakobstads Centralplan late Sunday evening Beijing time. Both teams have played only eight games so far. For example KuPS have played 11 games already.. The rest of the teams have played nine or 10 matches.. Taking a look at the long-term statistics, Jaro have one of the most substantial home advantages in the first two tier of Finnish football. Jakobstad is a very small city, even by Finnish standards. In all honesty there is not much to do in this city - except football!  The locals are very proud of "their team". Last autumn in the Veikkausliiga Promotion 2nd leg there were several hundreds of loud supporters in Lahti, offering a gigantic boost to the players! I need to mention that the weather was poor and Lahti is some six hours (by bus) away from Jakobstad. I want to highlight that performance-wise Jaro have started the season better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have eight points in their pocket and have a score difference of 7:10. However, their number of expected goals (xG) per game is bigger -  1.21 to be precise. As expected, they have played defensive, well-organized. football. This is, in my expert opinion, a smart tactic as have been, and will be the underdogs in the majority of Veikkausliiga matches this season.. Jaro's style of play has worked well as they have conceded only 10 goals -  two less than Ilves (at the time of writing this analysis - or the same number of HJK, the biggest and most successful team in Finland.

 Inter, too, have performed well but have, as a result, become too hot on the betting market!  They have been praised in the Finnish football media quite a lot in the early season.. Especially the ultra-skilled, young Ivorian  attacking midfielder A. Kouame, 21, has been phenomenal and will most probably be sold to a much bigger club in the summer transfer window.. However, let's  forget that Inter did not even make it to the top-6 last season and are not among the top-3 teams on paper in Veikkausliiga.. Furthermore, probably very few professional bettors ranked them in the top-3 before the season kicked off. My point is that we should not overreact to their (mostly) fine performances.. They have scored 17 goals and have conceded six goals in Veikkausliiga. However, their number of xG per game is "only" 1.88. Inter's number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per match is significantly bigger than the actual number of 0.75 - 1.24 to be precise!  Inter, of course, have an edge over Jaro in all areas of the game but the current odds of around 1.55 on the away win are not justified at all.  Jaro +1.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here. I want to remind my fans that the pitch at Jakobstads Centralplan is (still) in poor condition which will hurt Inter's game more than the bookies probably realize.. Indeed, the number assists by both teams - and especially the number of completed assists - at Jakobstads Centralplan has been significantly smaller than on any artificial turf! At Inter's home "stadium", Veritas Stadion, the artificial turf is good by Finnish standards. The difference compared to Jakobstads Centralplan is huge!

Jaro have lost only one of their last six matches - and are undefeated int their last three matches. In their most recent game they swept past HIFK. Indeed, the final score in this Suomen Cup (Finnish Cup) clash at Jakobstads Centralplan was 5-0! The opponent was, of course, poor but the win was surely a big boost to the Jaro players..  Before this Jaro pushed Gnistan well at home - as underdogs, of course. It was a somewhat balanced game - and the final score was 1-1. Jaro had more ball possession but Gnistan recorded two more total shots - 13-11. Inter have won two of their last five games, and just one by a margin of more than one goal.. In their most recent  match they defeated SJK, a team with many important players out, 1-0 on the road as clear favorites on the betting market. Inter recorded only one big scoring chance but defended well, allowing SJK none.. It was a solid - but not "anything" performance from Inter.. SJK, too, had their chances, recording 11 total shots. Before this Inter were good at home, defeating Ilves 3-1. However, Ilves had many more total shots on Inter and recorded only one big scoring chance..  On the 10th of May Inter were disappointing, failing to beat MIFK in Mariehamn - despite being priced around 1.40 to win by the bookies! It was a 2-2 draw and MIFK could easily have even won the match..

GOOD LUCK!

哈罗VS国际图尔库

北京时间周日晚，在雅各布斯中央计划举行的芬兰橄榄球队与图尔库的比赛中，哈罗欢迎来自图尔库的游客。到目前为止，两队只打了8场比赛。例如，up已经玩了11款游戏。其余的球队都踢了9到10场比赛。从长期的数据来看，哈罗在芬兰足球的前两级联赛中拥有最强大的主场优势之一。即使按照芬兰的标准，雅各布斯塔德也是一个非常小的城市。说实话，在这个城市除了踢足球没什么可做的！当地人对“他们的团队”感到非常自豪。去年秋天，在维甲联赛第二回合的比赛中，拉赫蒂有数百名大声的支持者，为球员们提供了巨大的鼓舞！我需要提到的是，天气很差，拉赫蒂距离雅各布斯塔德大约有6个小时的车程。我想强调的是，在赛季开始的时候，他的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好。他们现在有8分，比分差距是7:10。然而，他们每场比赛的预期进球数（xG）更大——准确地说是1.21个。正如预期的那样，他们打了防守，组织得很好。足球。在我看来，这是一个聪明的战术，在本赛季的大部分比赛中，这将是一个劣势。哈罗的踢球风格发挥了很好的作用，他们只丢了10个球——比伊尔维斯少2个（在写这篇分析的时候）——也比芬兰最大、最成功的球队jk少2个。

国米也表现得很好，但结果是，在博彩市场上变得太热了！在赛季初，他们在芬兰足球媒体上得到了很多赞扬。尤其是21岁的科特迪瓦年轻攻击型中场a . Kouame，他的表现非常出色，很有可能在夏季转会窗口被卖到一家更大的俱乐部。然而，让我们忘记国米上赛季甚至没有进入前6名，而且在维考斯利加的纸面上也没有进入前三名。此外，在赛季开始前，可能很少有职业投注者将他们排在前三名。我的观点是，我们不应该对他们（大部分）出色的表现反应过度。他们在维克考斯利加进了17球，丢了6球。然而，他们的场均xG数“仅”为1.88。国际米兰每场比赛的预期失球数（xGA）比实际的0.75大得多——准确地说是1.24 ！当然，国米在比赛的各个方面都比哈罗有优势，但目前客场获胜的赔率约为1.55，这根本不合理。哈罗+1.5个进球显然是明智的选择。我想提醒我的球迷，jakobads Centralplan的球场（仍然）状况不佳，这对国米比赛的影响可能比博彩公司意识到的要大。的确，两支球队的助攻数量，尤其是完成助攻的数量，在jakobads Centralplan上比在任何人造草坪上都要少得多！在国米的主场——维里塔斯球场，人造草皮达到了芬兰的标准。与雅各布的中央计划相比，差异是巨大的！

在过去的六场比赛中，日本队只输了一场，并且在最近的三场比赛中保持不败。在最近的一场比赛中，他们横扫了HIFK。事实上，在这场苏门杯（芬兰杯）对阵雅各布中央计划的比赛中，最终比分是5比0！对手当然很穷，但这场胜利无疑对加罗队的队员们是一个很大的鼓舞。在此之前，贾罗在主场很好地击败了格尼斯坦——当然是作为弱者。这是一场比较平衡的比赛，最终比分是1比1。贾罗有更多的控球权，但格尼斯坦总共射门两次，13胜11负。国米在最近五场比赛中赢了两场，其中只有一场领先一球以上。在最近的一场比赛中，他们以1比0击败了SJK，这是一支有很多重要球员缺阵的球队，在投注市场上是明显的热门。国米只有一次进球机会，但防守很好，没有给SJK任何机会。这是一场稳定的比赛，但并不是国际米兰的“任何”表现。SJK也有机会，总共射门11次。在此之前，国米在主场表现出色，3-1击败了伊尔维斯。然而，伊尔维斯在国际米兰的射门次数更多，只创造了一次重要的得分机会。5月10日，国米的表现令人失望，未能在玛丽汉姆击败米兰——尽管博彩公司开出了1.40左右的赔率！结果是2比2战平，MIFK甚至可以轻松赢得比赛。

好运！