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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Big difference in raw class 双方实力存在差距

2021-01-17

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2021-01-17 22:00

解读理由

Sheffield United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Jose Mourinho's Tottenham started the season very well occupying top places on the English Premier League table. Their last season was nothing to get too excited about but the team had key players injured and also I believe it was clear all along that Jose, "The Special One" would need some time with the team to make them really execute his game plan and philosophy on the pitch, especially the word-class defense he is famous of. After the great start Tottenham have now dropped to place 6 now but it is very close in The Premier League and only a few points separate the top 6 teams. They have played pretty well throughout the season and according to my power ratings that illustrate the overall level of a team Tottenham are the 4th best team in the league after Liverpool, Manchester City Manchester United.

Sheffield United played a marvelous last season, their first one in the Premier League for a long time. This phenomenon is actually pretty common - a newly promoted team plays better than anyone would have expected the first season but the second season is a lot more challenging. A significant number of teams relegate after the second season - after a promising first season in the league Sheffield United played great as a team, executing their their manager's strategy carefully. However they were a bit lucky too and earned more points then they probably should have in terms of expected goals. They still do fight hard in every game and certainly have not given up despite sitting at the bottom of the table with only five points and one win. The host's worst problem has been very poor attacking play and they will without a doubt struggle to score here against a very solid Tottenham defense. Let's not forget that Sheffield United players are pretty limited in terms of individual skill and there are no stars in the team at all. I would have expected them to play a little better this season but we need to adjust the pre-season power ratings based on what we have seen happen on the pitch. The hosts are missing several players here which makes it even harder for them to challenge Tottenham who are superior in terms of pure class, especially offensively. At the moment I rate Sheffield as the worst team in the league. They have not been unlucky - their position on the table reflects the quality of the team.

Previous matches:

The hosts did beat Newcastle 1-0 in their last match. I watched the match of course and they were indeed playing pretty well. I'm positive many were surprised to see that kind of performance from them. However Newcastle are nothing special as a team and the win is probable affecting the odds offered by bookies here. One key thing in profitable betting is not to overemphasize the very latest results. Tottenham played a pretty balanced match versus Fulham, perhaps a 2-1 win would have been a justified result. I'm sure I was not the only one expecting a bit more from Tottenham. But again, that was just one match and Fulham, despite occupying 18th place on the table, are not a bad team. Tottenham can and will play a lot better!

Expect irritated Tottenham to defend very hard allowing hosts very few scoring chances and score one or two themselves. My estimation on Tottenham to win is about 70%

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

谢菲尔德联队对阵托特纳姆热刺

穆里尼奥率领的托特纳姆热刺队本赛季开局良好,占据了英超联赛榜首的位置。他们上赛季没有太兴奋但球队关键球员受伤,我也相信何塞一直很明显,“特殊的一个”将与团队需要一些时间,让他们真正执行他的比赛计划和哲学在球场上,特别是赢得防守他是著名的。在出色的开局后,托特纳姆现在降到了第6名,但在英超联赛中已经非常接近了,与排名前6的球队只相差几分。他们整个赛季都踢得很好,根据我对球队整体实力的评价,热刺在联赛中排名第四,仅次于利物浦、曼城、曼联。

谢菲尔德联队在上个赛季踢了一场精彩的比赛,这是他们很长一段时间以来第一次进入英超联赛。这种现象其实很普遍——一个新升职的球队在第一个赛季的表现比任何人预期的都好,但第二个赛季的挑战要大得多。相当多的球队在第二个赛季后降级——在联赛中充满希望的第一个赛季之后,谢菲尔德联队作为一支球队表现出色,谨慎地执行他们的经理策略。然而,他们也有点幸运,他们获得了更多的分数,在预期的进球方面,他们可能应该得到更多的分数。他们在每一场比赛中都很努力,当然也没有放弃,尽管他们以5分1胜的成绩排在积分榜末。主队最大的问题是进攻能力很差,毫无疑问,他们在面对托特纳姆的防守时很难得分。不要忘记谢菲尔德联队的球员在个人技能方面是非常有限的,而且队伍中根本没有明星球员。我本以为他们这个赛季会打得更好一些,但我们需要根据我们在球场上看到的情况来调整季前赛的实力评级。主队缺少了几名球员,这使得他们更难挑战托特纳姆热刺,后者在纯粹级别上更有优势,尤其是在进攻端。目前我认为谢菲尔德是联盟中最差的球队。他们并不是运气不好,他们在积分榜上的位置反映了球队的实力。

之前的比赛:

东道主在最后一场比赛中确实以1比0击败了纽卡斯尔。我当然看了比赛,他们确实打得很好。我敢肯定很多人看到他们这样的表现都很惊讶。然而,纽卡斯尔作为一支球队并没有什么特别的,这场胜利可能会影响到这里的博彩公司提供的赔率。在有利可图的赌博中,最关键的一点是不要过分强调最新的结果。托特纳姆和富勒姆打了一场势均力敌的比赛,也许2-1的胜利会是一个合理的结果。我相信我不是唯一一个对热刺有更多期待的人。但是,这仅仅是一场比赛,而富勒姆尽管在积分榜上占据第18位,也不是一支糟糕的球队。热刺能够并且将会打得更好!

期待被激怒的托特纳姆非常严密的防守,让东道主很少有进球机会,他们自己也能进一两个球。对热刺的胜率估计是70%

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