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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Top teams go head to head!

2021-12-25

比赛分析

土超

已完赛

星期日2021-12-26 00:00

解读理由

Trabzonspor vs Basasekhir

Trabzonspor host Basaksehir at Medical Park Stadium for this top clash in the the Turkish Super Lig. Indeed, the hosts are in first place in the standings with 45 points in the bank, nine points more than the second team in the standings - Konyaspor. The visitors are in the third place with 32 points. This is the 19th round of this relatively high-level football league.

Trabzonspor are the best team in this league in my opinion. They have the highest power rating that illustrates the teams' overall class. However, I have lowered their rating (on a scale 1-100) lately and the difference to Basasekhir Konyspor or even to Fenerbache is not that huge anymore. As a result of the clear nine points' lead and the undeniably good performances the hosts are over-valued in this match in the betting market. They situation has been - and probably will the same in many matches.. They have been lucky in quite a few matches and the lead they have could easily be a lor more narrow.. For example, on the 4th of December they beat Adana Demirspor 2-0 at home but the visitors had 18 scoring attempts whereas Trabzonspor only recorded five. The shots on target statistic was 4-3 in favor of the visitors. Ball possession% was pretty balanced but the visitors had a lot more dangerous attacks. The hosts were around 50% favorites in the betting market for this match so the performance was slightly disappointing indeed. Similarly, on the the 28th of November Karagumruk Trabzonspor defeated Karagumruk 2-0 away from home but the hosts - who are a pretty mediocre team and currently in the 10th place in the standings - had 64% ball possession, clearly more scoring attempts, attacks, dangerous attacks and completed passes.. The visitors on the other hand have been unlucky in many matches this season but are in stunningly good shape result-wise too having won eight and lost none of of the latest ten matches!

To sum up, yes, of course, the hosts are the favorites but visitors +0.5 goals handicap is the wise choice betting-wise with clearly over 50% chance of winning.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

特拉布zonspor在医疗公园体育场举办了这场土耳其超级联赛的顶级比赛。事实上,东道主以45分位居榜首,比排名第二的科尼亚斯珀队多出9分。客队以32分排名第三。这是这个相对高水平的足球联赛的第19轮。

在我看来,特拉布宗是联盟中最好的球队。他们拥有最高的能量评级,这说明了团队的整体级别。然而,我最近降低了他们的评级(1-100),与Basasekhir Konyspor甚至与Fenerbache的差异不再那么大了。由于九分的领先优势和无可否认的出色表现,东道主在这场比赛中的表现在博彩市场被高估了。他们的情况一直是这样,而且可能在很多比赛中都是这样。他们在相当多的比赛中都很幸运,他们的领先优势可能会更小。例如,12月4日,他们在主场2-0击败德米斯波尔,但客队有18次得分机会,而特拉布宗波尔只有5次。投篮命中统计是4比3,客队领先。控球很平衡,但是客队有很多危险的进攻。。东道主在这场比赛的赌注市场中有大约50%的热门,所以比赛的表现确实有点令人失望。同样,在11月28日的客场比赛中,Trabzonspor以2-0击败了Karagumruk,但东道主——一支相当平庸的球队,目前排名第十——拥有64%的控球权,明显有更多的得分尝试、进攻、危险攻击和完成传球。另一方面,客队在本赛季的许多比赛中都不走运,但他们在结果方面也表现得非常好,在最近的10场比赛中,他们赢了8场比赛,但一场都没有输!

总而言之,伊斯坦布+0.5是明智的选择——明智的打赌,明显超过50%的获胜机会。


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