I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the most possible line ups and latest odds movements. Leeds raised by 0.10 since morning today and I don't agree with this trend. I see excellent value on Leeds now.

Leeds coming for today's match with almost best possible squad, only important defensive midfielder Phillips is suspended. On the other hand Brighton have serious squad problems because their 4 key players are unavailable today - right midfielder Lamptey (1 goal and 1 assist in 11 matches), striker Welbeck (2 goals in 9 matches), central midfielder Lallana (1 assist in 14 matches) and striker Conolly (2 goals and 1 assist in 11 matches). This is big blow for the team and for sure will have bad impact on their performance today.

Brighton recorded only 1 win in last 18 matches in all competitions. For sure they not coming to Ellan Road full of confidence. Their defense is not hard to break - they conceded at least one goal in 16 of last 18 matches.

Leeds have huge advantage fitness-wise. In this year they played only 2 matches so far - on away against Tottenham and one week ago in cup against Crawley (second-choice players played). Marcelo Bielsa team have a lot of freshness and for sure they will play today exactly how they likes - a lot of running, high intensity.

On the other hand Brighton played 2 matches in last 6 days. 6 days ago they played in cup on away against lower league team Newport and they needed extra time and penalties to win. A lot of key players were involved. 3 days ago they played on away against City. Once again a lot of key players played in that game. For sure they will feel these matches in their legs and this is huge disadvantage against fresh Leeds.

Leeds should be able to win against tired and depleted Brighton. Great odds.

我一直等到最后一刻，因为我想看到最有可能的首发和最新的指数变动。利兹联从指数上涨了0.10，我不同意这个趋势。我觉得利兹队现在很有价值。

利兹联队带着最好的阵容来参加今天的比赛，只有重要的防守中场菲利普斯被停赛。另一方面布莱顿有严重的阵容问题,因为他们的4个关键球员今天不可用——右前卫兰普提(11场比赛1球1助攻),前锋维尔贝克在9场比赛(2球),中场拉拉纳(14场比赛1助攻)和前锋康诺利(11场比赛2球1助攻)。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击，肯定会对他们今天的表现产生不好的影响。

布莱顿在过去的18场比赛中只有一场胜利，球队信心不足。他们的防守并不难破——他们在最近18场比赛中有16场至少丢了一个球。

利兹联在球员体能方面有着巨大的优势。今年他们只打了2场比赛——客场对阵热刺和一周前的杯赛对阵克劳利(第二选择球员上场)。马塞洛·贝尔萨的球队精神面貌很好，他们今天的比赛肯定会以他们喜欢的方式进行——大量奔跑，高强度。

另一方面，布莱顿在过去6天里打了2场比赛。6天前，他们参加了客场对阵低级别联赛球队新港的比赛，他们需要加时赛和点球来获胜。很多关键球员都参与其中。三天前他们客场对阵曼城。在那场比赛中又有很多关键球员。可以肯定的是，他们将在这些比赛中感觉疲惫，这是利兹联的优势。

利兹联队应该能够战胜疲惫不堪的布莱顿队。