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塞尔维亚职业体育高手,精通欧洲足球,已有15年足球分析经验。
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Team news and prediction 意甲 亚特兰大VS罗马

2025-05-12

比赛分析

解读理由

Two teams battling for a precious top-four finish will meet in Bergamo on Monday, as Atalanta BC play host to Serie A's form side Roma.

While the hosts sit third and are masters of their own destiny, their Roman rivals have surged through the pack and are not giving up on Champions League qualification.

Still in some danger of letting a top-four place slip from their grasp, right at the very end of an arduous campaign, Atalanta comfortably claimed maximum points from last week's clash with rock-bottom Monza.


The Bergamaschi are now firm favourites to finish third behind title rivals Napoli and Inter Milan in a tight Champions League race, after a 4-0 win that saw Charles De Ketelaere finally end his long goal drought.

Expected to leave Bergamo in the next transfer window, Ademola Lookman was also on target as La Dea opened up a five-point gap to Juventus with just three games to go.

Though a dry spell in April cost them a shot at the Scudetto, Atalanta have scored 99 goals across all competitions so far, and they could reach triple figures for only the fifth time in their history - each previous instance has been within the past six years.

Europa League winners last season, it has been a golden era under Gian Piero Gasperini, but - like Lookman and others - the veteran coach has hinted he may depart, perhaps prompting a summer of change.

Before any comings and goings, the Nerazzurri must host Roma and Parma either side of a trip to Genoa, as they aim to finish with a flourish in front of their own fans.

Atalanta have sometimes struggled to deliver on home turf - failing to beat both Cagliari and Venezia of late - and they have claimed just eight points from nine league games in Bergamo this year.

So, Roma may fancy their chances of an increasingly rare win over La Dea: beaten 2-0 in December's reverse fixture, they have also lost four of their last five away games against Monday's hosts.


While Atalanta have waned in 2025, the Giallorossi have soared, going unbeaten for 16 games through the second half of the season and pushing their way into the race for a cherished top-four finish.

Their 12th and most recent win in that run came at home to Fiorentina, with top scorer Artem Dovbyk finding the net before Mile Svilar made a number of fine saves to deny the Viola.

Integral to Roma's revival, Svilar boasts a save rate of 77.5% and has recorded 15 clean sheets in Serie A this season; the last Giallorossi goalkeeper to post more shutouts in one campaign was none other than Alisson Becker, who racked up 17 seven years ago.

Aided by his calm presence between the posts, the capital club have won the most games by a 1-0 scoreline across Europe's top five leagues - and eight of those nine have come under interim coach Claudio Ranieri.

His team have picked up the most points since the turn of the year (43), also conceding the fewest goals (eight) and keeping 10 clean sheets.

Having steadied the ship and then sailed it straight up the standings, Ranieri's third and final spell at his boyhood club is set to end later this month, and he would love to sign off by sending Roma back into Europe.

The subject of much transfer market speculation, Lookman is doubtful for what could be his penultimate home game as an Atalanta player, due to an inflamed Achilles tendon.

Austrian defender Stefan Posch (thigh) is also facing a race against time, while Gianluca Scamacca, Juan Cuadrado, Sead Kolasinac and Giorgio Scalvini will not return until next season; Isak Hien must serve a suspension, so skipper Marten de Roon may deputise in defence.

With or without Lookman's support, Mateo Retegui should start up front. On course to be crowned Capocannoniere, the Italy striker has scored 24 Serie A goals this term and needs just one more to break Pippo Inzaghi's 1996-97 club record.

Meanwhile, Eldor Shomurodov and Artem Dovbyk have often been paired in Roma's attack since star man Paulo Dybala was ruled out for the rest of the season.

Captain Lorenzo Pellegrini has now joined Dybala on the sidelines, with a muscular injury set to finish his stop-start campaign prematurely.

Therefore, either Nicolo Pisilli or Tommaso Baldanzi could be promoted to Claudio Ranieri's starting XI - or Matias Soule would shift inside, allowing Alexis Saelemaekers to return on the right flank.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

两支争夺前四的球队将于周一在贝加莫相遇,亚特兰大BC将主场迎战意甲球队罗马。

虽然东道主排名第三,掌握着自己的命运,但他们的罗马对手已经从队伍中脱颖而出,并没有放弃欧冠资格。

亚特兰大仍然有可能从前四的位置上滑落,就在这个艰苦的赛季即将结束的时候,亚特兰大在上周与垫底的蒙扎的比赛中轻松拿到了最高分。


在一场4-0的胜利让查尔斯-德-凯特雷雷结束了他长期的进球荒之后,贝尔加马斯基现在已经成为在欧冠激烈竞争中排名第三的热门球队,落后于冠军对手那不勒斯和国际米兰。

预计在下一个转会窗口离开贝加莫的阿德莫拉·卢克曼也成为了目标,在只剩三场比赛的情况下,拉迪亚与尤文图斯拉开了5分的差距。

尽管四月的一段干旱期让他们失去了夺取联赛冠军的机会,但亚特兰大到目前为止已经在各项赛事中打进99球,他们历史上第五次打进三位数的进球——之前的每一次都是在过去的六年里。

上赛季的欧联杯冠军,在吉安·皮耶罗·加斯佩里尼的带领下,这是一个黄金时代,但是——像卢克曼和其他人一样——这位经验丰富的教练暗示他可能会离开,也许会促使夏天的变化。

在球员进进出出之前,蓝黑军团必须在热那亚客场迎战罗马和帕尔马,因为他们的目标是在自己的球迷面前以一场精彩的比赛结束比赛。

亚特兰大有时在主场表现不佳——最近没能击败卡利亚里和威尼斯——今年他们在贝加莫的9场联赛中只拿到8分。

因此,罗马可能会幻想他们在对阵拉迪亚的比赛中取得越来越罕见的胜利的机会:在去年12月的逆转比赛中以2比0被击败,他们最近五场客场对阵周一的东道主比赛中输掉了四场。


当亚特兰大在2025年衰落的时候,罗马人却一路飙升,在本赛季后半段保持了16场不败,并朝着他们梦寐以求的前四名迈进。

他们的第12场也是最近的一场胜利是在主场对佛罗伦萨的比赛中,第一射手多夫比克破门破门,之后斯维拉做出了几次精彩的扑救,阻挡了紫百合的进攻。

斯维拉是罗马复兴不可或缺的一员,他拥有77.5%的扑救率,本赛季在意甲有15次零封对手;上一位在一个赛季中打出更多绝杀球的罗马门将不是别人,正是阿利森·贝克尔,他在7年前创造了17个绝杀球。

由于他在门柱之间的冷静表现,首都俱乐部在欧洲五大联赛中以1-0的比分赢得了最多的比赛,其中9场比赛中有8场是在临时教练克劳迪奥·拉涅利的带领下取得的。

他的球队是今年以来得分最多的球队(43分),失球最少(8球),10次零封对手。

拉涅利已经稳住了这艘船,然后径直驶向了积分榜,他在他少年时代的俱乐部的第三次也是最后一次任期将于本月末结束,他很想以带领罗马重返欧洲赛场作为结束。

转会市场的猜测很多,由于跟腱发炎,卢克曼怀疑这可能是他作为亚特兰大球员的倒数第二个主场比赛。

奥地利后卫斯特凡·波什(大腿受伤)也面临着与时间的赛跑,而吉安卢卡·斯卡马卡、胡安·夸德拉多、塞德·科拉西纳茨和乔治·斯卡尔维尼要到下赛季才能复出;伊萨克·轩必须停赛,所以队长马丁·德·鲁恩可能会代替他防守。

不管有没有洛克曼的支持,马特奥·雷特吉都应该在前场首发。这位意大利前锋本赛季已经打进了24粒意甲进球,只要再进一个就能打破因扎吉在1996-97赛季创造的俱乐部纪录。

与此同时,由于明星球员保罗·迪巴拉将缺席本赛季剩余的比赛,埃尔多·绍穆罗多夫和阿尔特姆·多夫比克经常在罗马的进攻端搭档。

队长佩莱格里尼现在已经和迪巴拉一样在场边休息了,因为肌肉受伤,他将提前结束这个断断续续的赛季。

因此,皮西利和巴尔丹齐可能会被提升到拉涅利的首发11人名单中,或者苏莱会被调到内线,让塞勒梅克尔回到右路。

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