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80% WINS SERIE A! 意甲 威尼斯VS佛罗伦萨

2025-05-12

比赛分析

解读理由

On Monday evening, we are going to have two games in the Italian Serie A, and one of the matches is going to be between Venezia and Fiorentina. After 35 rounds, Venezia has 4 wins, 14 draws, 17 losses, a total of 26 points and 18th place, while Fiorentina has 17 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses, a total of 59 points and 9th place. In this game, I predict that Fiorentina won't lose.

While Venezia is trying to keep its place in the Serie A, after December 22, the team has won just once. If we look at the stats, some of the draws should have been losses because there were big xG differences. Venezia has performed somewhat good at home with 4 wins and 5 draws in 17 games, a total of 13 goals scored and 18 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 18, xGA is at 21.3, with a difference of -3.3.

Fiorentina was close to advancing to the Conference League final, but they lost in overtime to Real Betis. It's a tough loss, but now they have to focus on Serie A, where they are just 4 points away from the Champions League zone. With 3 games left in the season, everything is possible. In the last 7 Serie A games, Fiorentina has 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Fiorentina lost to Roma last week, but they had a little bit better xG, so a draw would have been a fairer outcome. On the road this season, Fiorentina has 6 wins and 4 draws in 17 games, a total of 24 goals scored and 19 conceded. The team has created an xG of 18.3 on the road, xGA is at 21, with a difference of -2.6.

I'm backing Fiorentina. Yes, the loss to Real Betis is sad, but the season continues, and now they need points in the Serie A. The teams met in August, the score was 0:0, but Fiorentina had a better xG. I see Fiorentina getting at least a point in this duel.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周一晚上,我们将在意甲有两场比赛,其中一场是在威尼斯和佛罗伦萨之间。35轮过后,威尼斯4胜14平17负,积26分排名第18,而佛罗伦萨17胜8平10负,积59分排名第9。在这场比赛中,我预测佛罗伦萨不会输。

虽然威尼斯正在努力保住意甲的位置,但在12月22日之后,球队只赢了一场。如果我们看一下统计数据,一些平局应该是输球,因为有很大的xG差异。威尼斯在主场的表现还算不错,17场比赛取得4胜5平,进13球失18球。该团队生成的xG为18,xGA为21.3,差值为-3.3。

佛罗伦萨队差一点就能进入联甲决赛,但他们在加时赛中输给了皇家贝蒂斯队。这是一场艰难的失利,但现在他们必须专注于意甲,他们距离欧冠区只有4分的差距。赛季还剩下3场比赛,一切皆有可能。在最近的7场意甲比赛中,佛罗伦萨取得了4胜2平1负的成绩。佛罗伦萨上周输给了罗马,但是他们的战术稍好一些,所以平局会是一个更公平的结果。在本赛季的客场比赛中,佛罗伦萨在17场比赛中取得了6胜4平的成绩,进球数为24球,失球数为19球。球队在客场创造的xG值为18.3,xGA值为21,两者相差-2.6。

我支持佛罗伦萨。是的,输给皇家贝蒂斯令人伤心,但赛季还在继续,现在他们需要在意甲积分。两队在8月份相遇,比分是0:0,但佛罗伦萨有更好的xG。我看佛罗伦萨在这场决斗中至少能得一分。

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