77% WINS LIGUE 1! 法甲 圣埃蒂安VS摩纳哥
2025-05-03
比赛分析
解读理由
Only 3 games in the French Ligue 1 are happening on Saturday, and one of them is between Saint-Etienne and Monaco. After 31 games, Saint-Etienne has 7 wins, 6 draws, 18 losses, a total of 27 points and 17th place, while Monaco has 16 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses, a total of 55 points and 4th place. In this game, I predict Monaco's win.
Saint-Etienne is trying not to get relegated, and every match is very important. Over the last 5 games, Saint-Etienne has 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. The only win over Lyon at home was impressive, because the opponents are in 5th place. If we look season-wise, Saint-Etienne has 6 wins and 3 draws in 15 home games, a total of 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 19.5 at home, xGA is at 25.8, with a difference of -6.3.
Monaco is only 1 point away from the Champions League zone, so they can't afford to lose points at the end of the season. In the last 8 games, Monaco has 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. If we look at draws, Monaco should have won every single game because they had a much better xG than their opponents. From the scores perspective, Monaco has struggled a little bit on the road as they have 5 wins and 4 draws in 15 games, a total of 22 goals scored and 20 conceded. The team has created an xG of 29.9 on the road, xGA is at 17, with a difference of 12.9.
Saint-Etienne will be without Dylan Batubinsika, Pierre Cornud, Augustine Boakye and Benjamin Bouchouari. As for Monaco, the team will miss Lamine Camara and Aleksandr Golovin.
I'm backing Monaco in this game. They are playing very well, but they have experienced some unlucky situations in recent weeks. Monaco should be able to beat Saint-Etienne, and they won the 1st meeting 1:0, but again, the xG difference was big.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
法甲联赛周六只有三场比赛,其中一场是圣艾蒂安对阵摩纳哥。31场比赛后,圣艾蒂安7胜6平18负,共积27分,排名第17,而摩纳哥16胜7平8负,共积55分,排名第4。在这场比赛中,我预测摩纳哥会赢。
圣艾蒂安正在努力避免降级,每场比赛都非常重要。在过去的5场比赛中,圣艾蒂安取得了1胜1平3负的成绩。唯一一场主场战胜里昂的比赛让人印象深刻,因为对手排名第五。如果我们从赛季的角度来看,圣埃蒂安在15场主场比赛中取得了6胜3平,进21球失27球。这支球队在主场的净胜球为19.5,净胜球为25.8,两者之差为-6.3。
摩纳哥离欧冠区只有1分的距离,所以他们不能在赛季结束时丢分。在最近的8场比赛中,摩纳哥取得了4胜3平1负的成绩。如果我们看一下平局,摩纳哥应该赢得每一场比赛,因为他们有比对手更好的xG。从比分的角度来看,摩纳哥在客场有些挣扎,他们在15场比赛中取得了5胜4平,总共进了22球丢了20球。球队在客场创造的xG值为29.9,xGA值为17,两者相差12.9。
圣艾蒂安将失去迪伦·巴图宾西卡、皮埃尔·科努德、奥古斯丁·博阿凯和本杰明·布舒瓦里。至于摩纳哥,球队将会失去卡马拉和戈洛文。
在这场比赛中我支持摩纳哥。他们踢得很好,但是最近几周他们遇到了一些不走运的情况。摩纳哥应该能够击败圣埃蒂安,他们在第一次相遇时以1:0获胜,但同样,xG差距很大。
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