Burton Albion VS Wigan Athletic

Burton welcome Wigan League One round 38 clash at Pirelli Stadium in Burton upon Trent very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played 44 games. This is the third-highest level of English football. League One is clearly the best third tier on the planet. Football fans and us serious bettors can expect a match of worse than quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have another very interesting betting opportunity! Indeed, we have 13 of the last 15 picks betting on this league - and 12/15 of the last picks in all competitions! Wigan, a team with a past even in the Premier League, were much better than Burton last season already. Indeed, they finished in 12th place. They took 16 points more than Burton, who ended up in 20th/24 place. I want to mention that according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Wigan are the bigger team here – by a clear margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 11 million euros. However, around 12.50 million would be a more realistic number.. The Burton squad is valued at an estimated approximately six million. This is, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.

A total of 46 rounds will be played. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. Burton are in 20th place with 46 points to their account. They have scored 47 goals and have allowed 62 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 66.67. Their defence has a pretty poor structure and also lacks individual skill. Silly defensive mistakes – for example too risky passes near their own goal have been pretty common. Crawley, in 21st place, have just one game remaining. Their score difference is 12 goals worse than that of Burton's. This means that realistically Burton are safe from relegation – and have no true – or perhaps very small - edge in motivation here.. Wigan's season has been a slight disappointment – they are in 16th place with 54 points in their pocket. Their goal difference is 38:40. Yes, their offense has unarguably lacked speed and creativity in many games – compared with the top-10 teams. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is bigger than 38. Against the leaky Burton defence they could score two or even more goals here. The bookies offer odds of only around 2.25 here. Even with the expected lineups, taking the mediocre home advantage into account, I expect a balanced clash. With the current odds the Wigan +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. 

Burton have taken one win and one draw in their last three games. In their most recent match they beat a very lowly team, Cambridge United, 2-1 at home as pretty clear favourites on the betting market. Cambridge have already been relegated. I was not impressed with Burton's performance. Indeed, Cambridge had a 57% ball possession and also recorded six more total shots and two more big scoring chances – 3-1 to be precise. Burton generated only 0.25 in xG – 0.34 less than the visitors. Before this they deservedly lost to Birmingham 1-2 at home, generating a very low 0.27 in xG. Wigan have not lost one of their last six games, winning 2/3 last matches. In their most recent game they faced Blackpool at home – it was a 1-1 draw. Wigan were the underdogs according to the bookies in this game. They were, in all honesty, a bit lame offensively but Blackpool also defended better than usual. Blackpool generated more in xG and came closer to winning than Wigan. Before this Wigan beat Rotherham 1-0 at home – after a fine defensive performance. They did not allow the visitors a single shot on goal – recording eight themselves. Wigan also generated significantly more in xG.

GOOD LUCK!

伯顿对阵维冈竞技

北京时间周三凌晨，伯顿将在特伦特河畔伯顿的倍耐力球场迎来维冈联赛第38轮的比赛。然而，实际上两支球队都打了44场比赛。这是英国足球的第三高水平。英甲联赛显然是这个星球上最好的第三梯队。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场低于联赛标准的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝有了另一个非常有趣的投注机会！事实上，我们最近15个选秀权中有13个在这个联盟下注，在所有比赛中，我们有12/15的选秀权在这个联盟下注！维冈，一支在英超也有历史的球队，上赛季已经比伯顿强多了。事实上，他们排在第12位。他们比伯顿多拿了16分，伯顿最终排在第20 /24位。我想说的是，根据Transfermarkt.com，一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，维冈是这里更大的球队——以明显的优势。事实上，他们的球员估计总市值约为1100万欧元。然而，大约1250万是更现实的数字。伯顿队的估价约为600万美元。以我的专家观点，这或多或少是正确的。

比赛共进行46轮。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等，则得分差将成为决胜局。伯顿队以46分排名第20。他们进了47球，丢了62球。然而，他们的预期进球数（xGA）是66.67。他们的防守结构很差，而且缺乏个人技术。愚蠢的防守失误——例如过于危险的传球靠近自己的球门是相当常见的。排在第21位的克劳利只剩下一场比赛了。他们的净胜球比伯顿少了12个。这意味着实际上伯顿是安全的从降级-并没有真正的-或者可能是非常小的-动力优势在这里。维冈这个赛季有点令人失望，他们以54分排在第16位。他们的净胜球是38:40。是的，与排名前十的球队相比，他们的进攻毫无疑问在许多比赛中缺乏速度和创造力。然而，他们的预期目标数（xG）大于38。面对伯顿漏洞百出的防线，他们可以进两个甚至更多的球。这里的博彩公司开出的赔率只有2.25左右。即使考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到平庸的主场优势，我预计会有一场平衡的冲突。以目前的赔率来看，维冈+0.5个进球的赔率显然是明智的选择。

伯顿在最近三场比赛中取得了一胜一平的成绩。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以2-1击败了一支非常低水平的球队剑桥联队，这支球队在博彩市场上很明显是夺冠热门。剑桥已经降级了。伯顿的表演没有给我留下深刻印象。事实上，剑桥队有57%的控球率，并且有6次射门和2次进球机会——准确地说是3比1。伯顿产生的xG只有0.25，比访客少0.34。在此之前，他们在主场1-2不敌伯明翰是理所应当的，全场得分0.27。维冈在过去的六场比赛中没有输过一场，赢了三分之二。在他们最近的一场主场对阵布莱克浦的比赛中，他们1-1战平。根据博彩公司的说法，维冈在这场比赛中处于下风。老实说，他们的进攻有点蹩脚，但布莱克浦的防守也比平时好。布莱克浦在上个赛季创造了更多的机会，比维冈更接近胜利。在此之前，维冈在主场1-0击败了罗瑟勒姆——在他们出色的防守表现之后。他们没有给客队一次射门机会，他们自己射门8次。维冈也产生了更多的xG。

好运！