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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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12/12 last WON in this league! $$$

2025-04-28

比赛分析

解读理由

Petrolul Ploiesti VS Farul Constanta



Petrolul welcome Farul Constanța for this Superliga Relegation Group round 6 clash at Stadionul Ilie Oană in Ploiesti very late Monday evening Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Romanian football. By European standards this league is of better than average level. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here. We have won a whopping 12 picks in a row betting on this league! Farul, the champions in the 2022-2023 season have undoubtedly been a disappointment this season.. I have updated my power rating accordingly – avoiding overreacting – as a professional bettor should, of course! No, Farul do not have as strong a squad as they did when winning the league but still have a lot of quality in the squad.. Indeed, they should be able to perform much better. They can improve in all areas of the game! In the regular season – which had 30 rounds of play - they finished in 10th place with 35 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was bigger.. Petrolul, on the other hand, finished in 9th place. In the regular season and the Relegation Group games combined Farul have scored 1.09 games per game but their number of expected goals (xG) per match is 1.52. Yes, Petrolul have defended better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have conceded 0.94 goals per game in the 30+5 games but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is significantly bigger – 1.43 to be precise. I want to emphasize that Petrolul have won only one of the last six games between these two teams.. They last locked horns in February and Farul took a 2-1 win, despite not being even close to their best.. They generated more in xG – albeit not by a wide margin.


The hosts will be without Akosah-Bempah, Dimitriu, Fabrico Baiano and Ticu. As for Farul Balasa, Casap, Cojocaru, Kivinda and Nedelcu are out. Petrolul do not have particularly loud fans. With the expected lineups, event taking the moderate home advantage into account, Farul deserve to be bigger favourites than the bookies seem to believe. Odds of around 2.55 are available on the away win. Will will take the Farul +0.5 goals handicap option. Farul have lost one of their last five games. In their last game they lost to Cluj, one of the biggest teams in Romania, 1-4 on the road in the Romanian Cup. Cluj were big favourites in this game on the betting market. The hosts performed even better than expected - Farul, on the other hand, were too imbalanced on the pitch for most of the 90 minutes. They were, in all honesty, not great but can play much better.. I will not overreact to this defeat. Before this Farul played Hermannstadt at home - it was a 1-1 draw. Farul recorded more total shots and shots on target but many of their attacks lacked speed and creativity and their number of xG was disappointing.. In round 3 of the Relegation Group Farul showed how strong they can be – crushing Sepsi. St. Gheorghe 4-1 on the road, as pretty clear underdogs. They recorded many more total shots, shots on goal as well as big scoring chances – 6-2 to be precise. The xG numbers were 3.04-1.45 in their favour!. Petrolul have won two of their last five games in this league. In their last match they beat Gloria Buzau 4-0 and definitely did deserve the three points. However, they were, of course, very clear favourites as the Buzau are a very poor team! The 4-0 score flatters Petrolul as they recorded only two big scoring chances and “only” 2.56 in xG. I need to mention that Buzau were even worse than usual in this game.. Before this Petrolul took a pretty lucky point from Hermannstadt on the road through a 1-1 draw.. Indeed the hosts recorded a staggering 18 more total shots than Petrolul – and also generated much more in xG!



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

petrol Ploiesti VS Farul Constanta



北京时间周一深夜,在普洛耶斯蒂的伊莱奥纳伊球场,石油队欢迎法鲁尔Constanța参加中超降级组第6轮的比赛。这是罗马尼亚足球的最高级别。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平高于平均水平。以联赛的标准来看,足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场相当平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。我们已经连续赢得了12次选秀权!法鲁尔,2022-2023赛季的冠军无疑是本赛季令人失望的…我已经相应地更新了我的能量等级——避免过度反应——当然,这是一个专业的投注者应该做的!不,法鲁的阵容不像他们赢得联赛冠军时那么强大了,但他们的阵容仍然很有实力。事实上,他们应该能够表现得更好。他们可以在游戏的所有领域提高!在30轮的常规赛中,他们以35分的成绩排在第10位。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)更大。另一方面,汽油排在第9位。在常规赛和保级组的比赛中,法鲁尔场均进球数为1.09,但场均预期进球数(xG)为1.52。是的,在季前赛的深入分析中,汽油队的防守比我预期的要好。在30+5场比赛中,他们场均丢0.94球,但他们的预期失球(xGA)要大得多,准确地说是1.43个。我想强调的是,在这两支球队最近的六场比赛中,石油只赢了一场。他们上一次交锋是在2月份,法鲁尔以2-1取胜,尽管他们还没有达到最佳状态。他们在xG上产生了更多——尽管差距不大。


东道主将没有本帕、迪米特里乌、巴亚诺和提库。至于巴拉斯萨,卡萨普、科约卡鲁、基文达和内德尔库都将出局。汽油没有特别大的风扇。考虑到预期的阵容,考虑到适度的主场优势,法鲁尔应该比博彩公司认为的更受欢迎。客场获胜的赔率约为2.55。威尔将选择法鲁尔+0.5个进球的障碍选项。法鲁队最近五场比赛输了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们在罗马尼亚杯的客场1-4输给了罗马尼亚最强大的球队之一克鲁日。克鲁日在这场比赛中是博彩市场上的大热门。东道主的表现甚至比预期的还要好——另一方面,法鲁尔在90分钟的大部分时间里都表现得太不平衡了。老实说,他们打得并不好,但可以打得更好。我不会对这次失败反应过度。在此之前,法鲁尔在主场和赫曼施塔特打了一场1-1的平局。法鲁尔的总射门次数和射正次数更多,但他们的进攻缺乏速度和创造力,他们的xG数量令人失望。在降级组的第三轮比赛中,法鲁尔击败了塞维利亚,证明了他们的实力。圣乔治客场4-1领先,显然处于劣势。他们的射门次数、射正次数以及得分机会都更多——准确地说是6比2。对他们有利的xG值是3.04-1.45。在最近的五场比赛中,汽油队赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们4-0击败了格洛丽亚·布祖,三分绝对是他们应得的。然而,他们是,当然,非常明显的热门,因为布扎乌是一支非常糟糕的球队!4-0的比分让汽油队感到高兴,因为他们只获得了两次重要的得分机会,而且在xG比赛中“只有”2.56分。我需要提到的是,Buzau在这场比赛中比平时更糟糕。在此之前,汽油队在客场1-1逼平赫曼施塔特的比赛中幸运地拿到了一分。事实上,东道主的射门总数比石油队多出了惊人的18次,而且在xG上也创造了更多的进球!



好运!

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