75% WINS IN SERIE A! 意甲 那不勒斯VS都灵
2025-04-27
比赛分析
解读理由
Only 5 rounds are left in the Italian Serie A, and one of the games on Sunday night will be between Napoli and Torino. After 33 games, Napoli has 21 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses, a total of 71 points and 2nd place, while Torino has 10 wins, 13 draws, 10 losses, a total of 43 points and 10th place. In this game, I predict Napoli's win.
Napoli is having a good streak with 4 wins and 3 draws in the last 7 games. On top of that, Napoli has won the last 3 home games. While they drew at home against Inter, Napoli should have won because they had a much better xG. During the last 7 games, 6 times Napoli had a better xG, showing they are ready for the last stretch of the season and getting back to the top of Italian football. At home, Napoli has 12 wins and 2 draws in 16 games, a total of 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. The team has created an xG of 27.1 at home, xGA is at 12.6, with a difference of 14.4.
Torino won the last game, despite having a worse xG rating. While Torino has 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 games, in most of the matches Torino didn't have a better xG than their opponent, showing they were a bit lucky to win or draw. On the road this season, Torino has 4 wins and 7 draws in 17 games, a total of 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. The team has created an xG of 15.5 on the road, xGA is at 23.4, with a difference of -7.8.
I'm backing Napoli in this one. They are playing well, and they are competing for the Serie A title. They and Inter both have 71 points, and Napoli just can't afford to lose any points. Napoli already won the 1st meeting in December, when they beat Torino 1:0 and also dominated xG-wise. With the title on the line, I see Napoli taking all 3 points again.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
意甲联赛只剩下5轮了,周日晚上的一场比赛将是那不勒斯和都灵之间的比赛。33场比赛后,那不勒斯21胜8平4负,积71分排名第2,而都灵10胜13平10负,积43分排名第10。在这场比赛中,我预测那不勒斯会赢。
那不勒斯在最近7场比赛中取得了4胜3平的好成绩。最重要的是,那不勒斯赢得了最近3场主场比赛。当他们在主场战平国米时,那不勒斯应该赢,因为他们有更好的阵容。在过去的7场比赛中,那不勒斯有6次有更好的xG,这表明他们已经为赛季的最后阶段做好了准备,并重新回到意大利足球的顶峰。在主场,那不勒斯在16场比赛中取得了12胜2平的成绩,进26球失11球。球队在主场创造的xG值为27.1,xGA值为12.6,两者相差14.4。
都灵赢得了最后一场比赛,尽管他们的xG评级更差。虽然都灵在最近的8场比赛中取得了4胜3平1负的成绩,但在大多数比赛中,都灵的xG并不比对手好,这表明他们赢或平都有点幸运。在本赛季的客场比赛中,都灵在17场比赛中取得了4胜7平的成绩,进22球失24球。球队在客场创造的xG值为15.5,xGA值为23.4,差值为-7.8。
这次我支持那不勒斯。他们踢得很好,他们正在争夺意甲冠军。他们和国际米兰都有71分,那不勒斯不能再丢分了。那不勒斯已经在12月的第一次交锋中获胜,当时他们1:0击败了都灵,并且在x - g方面也占据了优势。夺冠在即,我认为那不勒斯会再次拿到全部3分。
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