Crystal Palace VS Bournemouth AFC

Crystal Palace and Bournemouth lock horns in this English Premier League round.33 . battle at Selhurst Park in London late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is clearly the best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here. We have won four of the last five picks betting on this league – and have taken six consecutive winners in all competitions. Bournemouth currently occupy the 8th place in the standings. They have definitely been better than I – or probably any professional bettor - expected before the season started last August. The bookies have not reacted to Bournemouth's fine season strongly enough.. They have a fine 48 points to their account. They have netted the ball 52 times and have conceded 40 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is hugely bigger - 66.05 to be precise. No, on paper they do not have the best offensive players but their offensive structure is fine, Furthermore, Bournemouth's number of expected points (xPTS) is 58.75, The top-5 teams will earn a ticket for the iconic UEFA Champions League next season. Manchester City, currently in 5th place, have grabbed 55 points. A total of 38 rounds will be played. Indeed, Bournemouth still have a (very) slim chance of making it to the top-5. However, even the more realistic chance of qualifying for the UEFA Europa League or the UEFA Conference League next season is surely very motivating for this pretty small team in terms of financial resources by this league's standards – or success in the past. Mathematically Crystal Palace, currently in 12th place, still have something to play for in terms of European Cup competition next season but in reality they seem to heavily prioritize the FA Cup over the Premier League. In the FA Cup they have made it all the way to the semifinals! Palace have 43 points in their pocket and have a negative score difference - 41:45. Indeed, they cannot match Bournemouth in any area of the game.

With the expected lineups, taking the motivation factor – as well as the fact that Bournemouth have had two more days to rest and prepare for this game – the visitors deserve to be the favourites here – albeit not very clear, of course. The bookies see the hosts as narrow favourites so we will place a +0.5 goals handicap bet on the visitors – with a great chance of winning - once again. Palace have been terrible in their last two matches, In their last game, on Wednesday, they were crushed in Newcastle. Some of the Palace players did not seem to be quite 100% motivated which was easy to detect in duels and lazy, disorganized defending. Yes, the 5-0 win does flatter Newcastle but I really did not like what I saw from Crystal Palace.. Last Saturday, too, Palace allowed five goals – losing 2.5 to Man City away from home. Palace, however, started the game well, leading 2-0 after 21 minutes of play. However, they totally collapsed in the 2nd half. Some of the Palace players did not seem to be fully concentrated/100% motivated in the 2nd half, especially after M. Kovacic had scored the 3-2 goal.. Man City recorded a very big 21 total shots and a staggering 4.63 in xG! In round 31, on the 5th of this month, Crystal Palace defeated Brighton 2-1 at home – as favourites on the betting market. However, they did not deserve the three points. Indeed, Palace had no big scoring chances – Brighton managed two. Moreover, the visitors recorded many more total shots, shots on goal and corner kicks. Brighton also generated much more in xG – 1.23-0.53 to be precise. Bournemouth's record in their last 10 games is not very impressive – but they also had some poor luck in several games in March and April.. I want to highlight that the main rationale behind this pick is to oppose Palace – but the bookies do seem to undervalue Bournemouth to some extent. In their last game Bournemouth defeated a dangerous team, Fulham, 1-0 at home. They deserved the win, having generated 0.54 more in xG than the visitors. Before this Bournemouth faced West Ham in London and had to settle for a 2-2 draw. However, Bournemouth generated 1.64 more in xG - and also recorded more total shots, shots on target, big scoring chances and corner kicks.

GOOD LUCK!

水晶宫VS伯恩茅斯

水晶宫和伯恩茅斯在本轮英超联赛中交手。33。北京时间周六晚，一场打斗发生在伦敦塞尔赫斯特公园。这显然是这个星球上最好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待以这个联赛的标准来看，这里的质量略好于平均水平。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。我们在过去的五次联赛中赢了四次，并且在所有比赛中连续六次获胜。伯恩茅斯目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们的表现肯定比我——或者任何职业投注者——在去年8月赛季开始前所预期的要好。博彩公司对伯恩茅斯这个好赛季的反应还不够强烈。他们被罚了48分。他们有52次进球，丢了40个球。然而，他们的预期目标数量（xG）要大得多——准确地说是66.05。不，纸面上他们没有最好的进攻球员，但他们的进攻结构很好，此外，伯恩茅斯的预期积分（xPTS）是58.75，前5名的球队将获得下赛季标志性的欧洲冠军联赛的入场券。目前排名第五的曼城已经拿到了55分。总共将进行38轮比赛。事实上，伯恩茅斯仍然有（非常）微弱的机会进入前五。然而，即使是更现实的机会进入下赛季的欧联杯或欧洲联盟联赛，对于这支相当小的球队来说，以联赛的标准来衡量财政资源——或者过去的成功——肯定是非常有动力的。目前排名第12位的水晶宫在下赛季的欧洲杯比赛中仍然有一些东西可以发挥，但实际上他们似乎更重视足总杯而不是英超联赛。在足总杯上，他们一路杀入了半决赛！水晶宫目前积43分，比分为负41:45。事实上，他们在比赛的任何方面都无法与伯恩茅斯匹敌。

考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到动力因素，以及伯恩茅斯有两天多的休息和准备这场比赛的事实，客队理应成为最受欢迎的球队——当然，尽管还不是很清楚。博彩公司认为东道主的夺冠希望不大，所以我们将以+0.5个进球的赔率押注客队——再次获胜的可能性很大。水晶宫在最近的两场比赛中表现很糟糕，在周三的最后一场比赛中，他们被纽卡斯尔击败。一些皇宫队的球员似乎没有百分之百的积极性，这在决斗中很容易发现，防守也很懒，组织混乱。是的，5-0的胜利确实让纽卡斯尔高兴，但我真的不喜欢水晶宫的表现。上周六，水晶宫也丢了5球——客场输给了曼城2.5球。然而，水晶宫队开局不错，在21分钟后以2-0领先。然而，他们在下半场完全崩溃了。在下半场，宫队的一些球员似乎并没有完全集中精力，特别是在科瓦契奇打进3-2的进球之后。曼城总共射门21次，射门率达到了惊人的4.63 ！在本月5日的第31轮比赛中，水晶宫在主场2-1击败了布莱顿，成为博彩市场上的热门球队。然而，他们配不上这三分。事实上，水晶宫没有大的进球机会——布莱顿有两个进球机会。此外，客队的射门次数、射正次数和角球次数都更多。布莱顿也产生了更多的xG - 1.23-0.53准确地说。伯恩茅斯最近10场比赛的战绩并不令人印象深刻，但他们在3月和4月的几场比赛中运气也不太好。我想强调的是，这个选择背后的主要理由是对抗水晶宫，但博彩公司似乎在某种程度上低估了伯恩茅斯。在上一场比赛中，伯恩茅斯主场1-0击败了一支危险的球队富勒姆。他们当之无愧地赢得了这场胜利，在上一场比赛中他们比客队多创造了0.54个进球。在此之前，伯恩茅斯在伦敦面对西汉姆联，不得不接受2比2的平局。然而，伯恩茅斯的总射门次数、射正次数、进球机会和角球次数也比伯恩茅斯多1.64次。

好运！