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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will win in today's De Klassieker?! 荷甲焦点战解读

2021-12-19

比赛分析

荷甲

已完赛

星期日2021-12-19 21:30

解读理由

In my opinion Ajax have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

It's a very important match for the table. After 16 matches both teams with 36 points on their accounts (Ajax have better goals balance) and both are one point behind 1st in the table PSV.

Ajax have excellent record against Feyenoord as they won 16 of last 24 matches against them. Last match between both teams at this stadium been played in May-Ajax won 3:0. Feyenoord is without'real' home advantage-today's match going to be played without a crowd. Without any shadow of doubt this is disadvantage for hosts. In those circumstances is more like match on neutral ground. It's not long trip for guests-it's about one an hour drive by car from Amsterdam to Rotterdam.

Despite close situation in league table, I still see big difference between both clubs in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. Both teams are successful in European Cups, but Ajax on much higher level as they won their group in Champions League and recorded 6 wins in 6 matches. Feyenoord won group, but only in Conference League. Ajax is simply better team than Feyenoord in all departments according to the Eredivisie stats. They have more shots on target per game (7.7 against 7.2). They created much more big chances to score (51 against 36). They much better at the back - only 0.3 goals conceded per game (13 clean sheets in 17 matches), Feyenoord conceded 0.9 goals per game so far and have 5 clean sheets less than guests. Ajax as well is much better team with the ball - almost 100 accurate passes per game more and 8% higher average ball possession. They should be able to control middle zone.

Ajax have big advantage before today's match in fitness department. For Feyenoord this is 5th match in 14 days. 4 days ago they lost 1:2 in Cup against Twente on away after 120 minutes. 8 players which started in first squad in last league game against Groningen (1:1) played in Cup as well. Tiredness may be a factor. For Ajax this is 5th match, but in last 17 days. In Cup they recorded comfortable win against amateur team at home and coach Erik ten Hag gave a rest for many key players and now they are fresh and ready to play on the highest level. That should make big difference.

Ajax don't have problems with goalscoring-in last 4 games in all competitions they scored 14 goals, on the other hand Feyenoord conceded at least one goal in 4 of last 5 matches. Ajax scored more than one goal in last 7 consecutive matches against Feyenoord and they are able to do it again today.

Ajax lost last league match at home against AZ, but that was extremely underserved result. Ajax had 66% ball possession and 3.37 expected goals scored, AZ only 0.85. For sure they have huge motivation to bounce back on good track. In my opinion they have all required tools to make win against tired Feyenoord at their empty stadium today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,阿贾克斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中拿下3分。

这是一场非常重要的比赛。16场比赛后,两队都得到了36分(阿贾克斯有更好的进球平衡),两队在埃因霍温积分榜上都落后第一名一分。

阿贾克斯对费耶诺德有着出色的战绩,他们在过去24场比赛中赢了16场。两队在这个球场的最后一场比赛是在5月,阿贾克斯3:0获胜。费耶诺德没有“真正的”主场优势——今天的比赛将是一场没有观众的比赛。毫无疑问,这对宿主来说是不利的。在这种情况下,更像是中立的比赛。这对客人来说不是长途旅行——从阿姆斯特丹开车到鹿特丹大约需要一个小时。

尽管在积分榜上势均力敌,但我还是看到了两家俱乐部在质量、雄心和潜力方面的巨大差异。这两支球队都在欧洲杯上取得了成功,但阿贾克斯的水平要高得多,他们在冠军联赛中赢得了小组冠军,6场比赛取得了6胜。费耶诺德赢了小组,但只赢了联盟。根据Eredivisie的数据,阿贾克斯在各个部门都比费耶诺德强。他们每场都有更多的命中目标的机会(7.7比7.2)。他们创造了更多的进球机会(51对36)。他们在后场的表现要好得多——场均仅失0.3个球(17场比赛13场无失球),费耶诺德到目前为止场均失0.9个球,比客队少5场无失球。阿贾克斯在控球方面也做得更好——每场比赛大约多100次准确的传球,平均控球率高出8%。他们应该能够控制中场。

在今天的比赛之前,阿贾克斯在健身方面有很大的优势。对于费耶诺德来说,这是14天内的第五场比赛。4天前,他们在杯赛120分钟后1:2输给了客场的特温特。在上一场联赛对阵格罗宁根的比赛中,有8名主力球员(1:1)也参加了杯赛。疲劳可能是一个因素。对于阿贾克斯来说,这是第五场比赛,但是在过去的17天里。在世界杯上,他们在主场轻松战胜了业余球队,教练埃里克·滕·哈格让许多关键球员休息,现在他们已经恢复了活力,准备好参加最高水平的比赛。这应该会有很大的不同。

阿贾克斯在进球方面没有问题——在最近4场比赛中,他们攻入14球,而费耶诺德在最近5场比赛中有4场至少失球。阿贾克斯在过去连续7场对费耶诺德的比赛中进了不止一个球,今天他们又能做到了。

阿贾克斯输掉了上一场主场对阵阿斯利索的比赛,但这是一个非常糟糕的结果。阿贾克斯有66%的控球率和3.37个预期进球,阿斯利康只有0.85。当然,他们有巨大的动力在良好的轨道上反弹。在我看来,他们今天在空荡荡的球场上都需要一些工具来战胜疲惫的费耶诺德。

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