In all honesty, I am nearly shocked by how high the odds are for BVB to win in this game.

Yes the team has been relatively unstable and at times poor under the new manager Rose, however, they have the X-factor player Haaland, who is now at full fitness and is carrying Dortmund forward on his shoulders.

Perhaps, the generous offer on BVB has a lot to do with the long absence list, which features the likes of regular central defenders Akanji and Hummels. The latter is out with a cold, according to kicker.de, and should be replaced at CB position by Witsel.

The last worthy mentioning absentee is Englishman Jude Bellingham, but he’s been generally underperforming over the last weeks and it should be of no effect on visitors.

What’s essential for them is the frontline - Reus, Haaland are there; reviving Brandt will provide help in transition. Dortmund were unable to defend anyway, with Hummels/Akanji or without them.

Hertha is a relegation material team this season. To their huge luck, there are somehow even worse teams in the competition - Greuther Furth and Arminia - so the Berlin club might eventually avoid troubles or, in the worst case scenario, be involved in relegation playoffs.

Hertha’s had an ok “run” with 3 games unbeaten, but then returned to their normal routes with the 0-4 hammering away to Mainz. The advantage their opponent had in that game was astronomical: 21 shots (11 on target) against 7 shots (1 on target) / 68 dangerous attacks against 12 from Hertha. To give you more context, these stats data was achieved even with the 1-0 goal coming quite early in the 19’. Hertha literally could not lift their heads up.

I expect 0 improvement from the Berlin side over such a short period (last game on December 14) and to struggle in similar fashion against a much more serious opponent than Mainz.

You can get -0.75 / -1 handicap on the market today. The -1.5 given by BJ has little to do with reality, but I decided the pick is worth posting in any case.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

是的，在新主帅罗斯的带领下，球队一直相对不稳定，有时也很糟糕，然而，他们有x因素球员哈兰德，他现在已经完全康复，他正肩负着多特蒙德前进。

也许，对BVB慷慨的报价与长长的缺阵名单有很大关系，名单上有常规中后卫阿坎吉和哈梅尔斯。根据kicker.de的说法，后者因感冒而离开，应该由Witsel代替他在CB位置上。

最后一个值得一提的缺席的是英国人裘德·贝灵汉，但他在过去几周表现不佳，应该对游客没有影响。

对他们来说最重要的是前线——Reus, Haaland在那里;勃兰特的复兴将为过渡提供帮助。多特蒙德无论如何都无法防守，不管有没有哈梅尔和阿坎吉。

赫塔是本赛季降级的材料。幸运的是，在比赛中还有更糟糕的球队——格鲁瑟·弗斯和阿米尼亚——所以柏林俱乐部最终可能会避免麻烦，或者，在最坏的情况下，被卷入降级季后赛。

赫塔有一个不错的“运行”，3场不败，但然后回到他们的正常路线，以0-4击败美因茨。他们的对手在那场比赛中的优势是天文数字:21次射门(11次正射)对7次射门(1次正射)，68次危险的进攻，赫塔12次。为了给你更多的背景信息，这些数据是在19分钟很早就1-0进球的情况下取得的。赫塔简直抬不起来他们的头。

我预计柏林队在如此短的时间内(最后一场比赛是12月14日)不会有任何进步，他们会以同样的方式面对比美因茨更厉害的对手。