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BIG GAME! GREAT ODDS! 国王杯 皇马VS皇家社会

2025-04-01

比赛分析

解读理由

Tonight we are going to have a Spanish Copa Del Rey game and it's going to be between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad. After the 1st game, Real Madrid is leading 1:0 and I predict that Real will win this match as well.

More than a month ago, both teams met in the 1st semifinal game. Real Madrid scored already in the 19th minute. Interesting that Real didn't play as dominantly as they always do, but the team still managed to get a victory and the lead. Now, Real Sociedad has to win the regular time by at least one goal to get the match into overtime.

After the break, Real Madrid hosted Leganes and won 3:2. It was 2:2 until the 76th minute when Real Madrid scored the game-winning goal. The team was trailing at halftime, and Real had some big problems on defense. While Leganes had only ball control of 29%, they created an xG of 2.87 while Real had 2.91. In my opinion, it's fair to say that Real players will be more focused tonight because they can't allow themselves to have 2 bad games in a row. Madrid is the best home team this season with 12 wins and 1 draw in 14 games, a total of 36 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 34.5 at home, xGA is at 14.1, with a difference of 20.4.

Real Sociedad hosted Real Valladolid and won 2:1 despite both teams having identical xG's. Sociedad is a solid home team, but they struggle on the road, as they have 4 wins and 3 draws in 14 games, a total of 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. The team has created an xG of 12.2 on the road, xGA is at 16.8, with a difference of -4.6.

I'm backing Real in this game. Not advancing to the final would be an embarrassment for Real, especially at their home pitch. Real has won both meetings this season, scored a total of 3 goals, and not conceded a single one. I see Real dominating this match, especially because Sociedad has to score, so they will risk something, which should create opportunities for Real.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

今晚我们将有一场西班牙国王杯的比赛,比赛将在皇家马德里和皇家社会之间进行。第一场比赛结束后,皇马1:0领先,我预测皇马也会赢得这场比赛。

一个多月前,两队在第一场半决赛中相遇。皇家马德里在第19分钟就进球了。有趣的是,皇马并没有像往常一样占据统治地位,但球队仍然取得了胜利并取得了领先。现在,皇家社会必须在常规时间赢得至少一球才能将比赛进入加时赛。

中场休息后,皇马主场迎战莱加内斯,并以3:2取胜。直到第76分钟,皇家马德里队打进了制胜一球,比分一直保持在2:2。球队在半场落后,皇马在防守上有一些大问题。虽然莱加内斯的控球率只有29%,但他们创造了2.87的xG,而皇马为2.91。在我看来,可以公平地说,真正的球员今晚会更加专注,因为他们不能让自己连续两场比赛都很糟糕。马德里是本赛季最好的主队,在14场比赛中取得12胜1平,共进36球失14球。球队在主场的平均场均得分为34.5,平均场均得分为14.1,两者相差20.4。

皇家社会主场迎战巴利亚多利德,最终2:1获胜,尽管两支球队的x - g相同。社会是一支坚实的主队,但他们在客场表现不佳,他们在14场比赛中取得了4胜3平,进10球丢16球。球队在客场创造的xG值为12.2,xGA值为16.8,两者相差-4.6。

在这场比赛中我支持皇马。不能进入决赛对皇马来说将是一件尴尬的事,尤其是在他们的主场。皇马本赛季两次交锋均取得胜利,共进3球,一球未失。我认为皇马会在这场比赛中占据统治地位,特别是因为Sociedad必须进球,所以他们会冒一些风险,这应该会给皇马创造机会。

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