In my opinion Arsenal have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Arsenal have great streak against Leeds as they won 8 of last 10 matches against them and never lost. Both teams played each other already in this season and Arsenal won 2:0 at home in EFL Cup. Arsenal won 4 of last 6 matches at this stadium. In addition to that guests won 10 of last 13 away matches against teams from Yorkshire.

Arsenal coming for this game with very strong line up and they don't have any new absences. On the other hand Leeds have huge squad problems. They have 3 new absences after last match: key winger James is injured, same as important right defender Shackleton, key left defender Junior Firpo is suspended. In addition to that they are still without key central midfielder Phillips, key central defender Cooper, key central defender Struijk, key offensive midfielder Rodrigo and key striker Bamford. Key defender Koch is doubtful. Bielsa have only available 10 senior players for this match.

Leeds defensive formation is totally out of shape. They conceded more than one goal in last 3 matches in a row (12 goals in total). They coming for this game after awful away loss 0:7 against Manchester City. Morale in team must be on very low level. I can't imagine clean sheet for Leeds, especially with so depleted defensive formation. Only two teams in whole league conceded more goals than Leeds. Arsenal should be able to make a lot of damages today. They have 5.0 shots on target per game, only three teams in whole league have more. They scored more than one goal in 4 of last 5 matches and they have all required tools to continue good streak today. In last match against strong West Ham they had 21 shots and finished match with 2.78 expected goals scored. Cooperation between Saka and Smith Rowe looks great. They already assisted each other 6 times, it's best results from the youngsters in Premier League since cooperation between Rooney and Ronaldo. Striker Lacazette didn't scored against West Ham, but he looked good. He is in form and Leeds today will have big problems to stop Arsenal offensive formation.

In last 6 matches Leeds scored 6 goals, but two of them from penalty kicks and two scorers (James and Bamford) are unavailable today. Bamford is Leeds the best striker. In last 55 Premier League matches Leeds scored 1.6 goals per game when Bamford played, but only 0.9 without him. It's huge difference. Without him they failed to win in 73% matches. Arsenal defensive formation is in great form - they kept clean sheet in last two matches in a row. They coming here full of confidence - Arsenal kept clean sheet already 8 times in 17 matches - only City and Liverpool have more. Arsenal didn't conceded more than one goal in last 13 away matches against Leeds at Elland Road and without any shadow of doubt they are able to continue this streak.

I believe Arsenal is able to score more than one goal here, but I don't see more than one goal for Leeds. In those circumstances I see great value on in-form away side against depleted, out-of-form Leeds.

在我看来，阿森纳有很好的机会在今天的比赛中拿到 3 分。

阿森纳在对阵利兹联的比赛中取得了很好的成绩，他们在过去的 10 场比赛中赢了 8 场并且从未输过。两支球队本赛季已经交手，阿森纳在足总杯杯主场以 2:0 获胜。阿森纳在这个球场赢得了过去6场比赛中的4场。除此之外，客队在过去 13 场客场对阵约克郡球队的比赛中赢了 10 场。

阿森纳会派上非常强大的阵容来参加这场比赛，他们没有任何新增的缺席。另一方面，利兹联存在巨大的阵容问题。上一场比赛后他们有3名新的缺席：关键边锋詹姆斯受伤，重要的右后卫沙克尔顿同样如此，关键的左后卫菲尔波被停赛。除此之外，他们还没有关键的中场菲利普斯、关键的中后卫库珀、关键的中后卫斯特鲁伊克、关键的进攻型中场罗德里戈和关键的前锋班福德。关键后卫科赫出战存疑。贝尔萨因此只有 10 名主力球员。

利兹联的防守很差。他们在最近的 3 场比赛中连续失球超过 1 个（总共 12 个失球）。他们在客场0:7输给曼城。球队士气一定很低。我无法想象利兹联本场零封阿森纳，尤其是在防守人员如此枯竭的情况下。全英超只有两支球队失球数超过利兹联。阿森纳今天应该能够造成很大威胁。他们每场比赛有5.0次射正，整个英超只有三支球队有更多的数据。他们在过去 5 场比赛中的 4 场比赛中打进了 1 个以上的进球。上一场对阵强大的西汉姆联，他们有21次射门，以2.78个预期进球结束比赛。Saka 和 Smith Rowe 之间的配合看起来很棒。他们已经互助攻6次了，这是自鲁尼和C罗搭档以来，英超小球员最好的成绩。前锋拉卡泽特对阵西汉姆联没有进球，但他看起来状态不错。今天的利兹联队在阻止阿森纳进攻阵型方面遇到了很大的问题。

在过去的 6 场比赛中，利兹联打进了 6 个进球，但其中两个是点球，还有两名得分手（詹姆斯和班福德）今天无法上场。班福德是利兹联队最好的前锋。在过去的 55 场英超联赛中，当班福德上场时，利兹联场均攻入 1.6 个进球，但没有他时只有 0.9 个。这是巨大的差异。没有他利兹联在 73% 的比赛中无法获胜。阿森纳的防守阵型很好——他们连续两场比赛保持零封。他们满怀信心地来到这场比赛——阿森纳在 17 场比赛中已经 8 次保持零封——只有曼城和利物浦拥有更多的零封。在过去的 13 场客场对阵利兹联的比赛中，阿森纳都没有丢超过一个球，毫无疑问，他们能够继续保持这一连胜纪录。

我相信阿森纳能够打进一个以上的进球，但我认为利兹联的进球不会超过一个。所以我看好阿森纳客场取胜。