PROFIT from Germany? $$$ 德甲 法兰克福VS斯图加特
2025-03-29
比赛分析
解读理由
Eintracht Frankfurt VS VfB Stuttgart
Frankfurt welcome Stuttgart for this German Bundesliga round 27 clash at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt very early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the 3rd-best league on the planet – after the English Premier League and the Spanish La Liga. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of much better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to increase the winning streak of three picks – at the time of writing this analysis. The teams last locked horns in November 2024 and Frankfurt took fine 3-2 away win – priced around 4.50 to win by the bookies. The hosts did record more total shots though.. Yes, Stuttgart finished in 2nd place last season, grabbing a fine ... points. However, many of their players played clearly above their normal level. I want to highlight that they were very lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Frankfurt performed quite well this last season - finishing in 6th place. This season they have played well in the UEFA Europa League – and will next face Tottenham in the Playoffs in April. In the last round of Playoffs they crushed Ajax, the best team in the Dutch Eredivisie, 6-1 on aggregate. At home they cruised to a 4-1 win in front of very loud fans – who are among the most passionate and loyal in Germany. They generated 2.01 in expected goals (xG) more than Ajax in this game – the 2nd leg.
I want to highlight that his season Stuttgart have been much worse than last season, as I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. The bookies have failed to realize how much their level has dropped from last season They are in 10th place with 37 points. They have a score difference of 30:24. However, their number of xPTS is somewhat bigger. Yes, they have potential for a decent improvement but it seems that the bookies give this potential way too much emphasis. Indeed, most of the biggest bookies – with the largest stake limits - see this game as a coin toss – offering both teams odds of around 2.65 to win.. I strongly disagree! At home – with the expected lineups – Frankfurt are definitely the favourites here! We will place a bet on them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. They have lost only three home games in this league. Frankfurt are in 4th place with 45 points in their pocket. They have scored an impressive 54 goals and have allowed 40 goals. Frankfurt are in an intense battle for a top-4 place that would earn them a spot in the UEFA Champions League next season. Stuttgart have not won any of their last five games – losing 3/5. Furthermore, they have won only two of their last 10 matches – losing 6/10. In their last game they faced Leverkusen at home and lost 3-4. The visitors recorded five more total shots in this very entertaining game. However, Stuttgart, too, could have taken something from this game. Before this Stuttgart faced a poor team, Holstein Kiel, on the road as very clear favourites but it was a disappointing 2-2 draw. The hosts recorded 12 more total shots and generated 0.87 more in xG than Stuttgart. However, the visitors' L.. Stergious was sent off in the 52nd minute when the score was 2-1. Stuttgart did not impress me even before the red card.. Frankfurt have won three of their last four competitive matches. In their most recent competitive game they defeated Bochum 3-1 on the road as slim favourites on the betting market. Frankfurt generated 1.14 more in xG than Bochum.
GOOD LUCK!
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法兰克福VS斯图加特
北京时间周日凌晨,德甲联赛第27轮,法兰克福将在法兰克福德意志银行公园迎接斯图加特。这是世界上第三好的联赛,仅次于英超和西甲。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联盟的标准要好得多的比赛。最重要的是,在撰写本文时,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会来增加三次选择的连胜纪录。两队上一次交锋是在2024年11月,法兰克福以3比2的比分取得了客场胜利,博彩公司的胜率约为4.50。不过东道主的总射门次数确实更多。是的,斯图加特上赛季排名第二,拿到了罚款……点。然而,他们的许多球员表现明显高于正常水平。我想强调的是,他们在期望值(xPTS)方面非常幸运。法兰克福在上个赛季表现得相当不错,最终排名第六。本赛季他们在欧联杯中表现出色,接下来将在四月份的季后赛面对热刺。在上一轮季后赛中,他们以总比分6比1击败了荷甲最强的球队阿贾克斯。在主场,他们在喧闹的球迷面前以4比1大胜,这些球迷是德国最热情、最忠诚的球迷之一。在第二回合的比赛中,他们比阿贾克斯多产生了2.01个预期进球(xG)。
我想强调的是,这个赛季斯图加特的表现比上赛季差得多,正如我在季前赛的深入分析中所预料的那样。博彩公司没有意识到他们的水平比上赛季下降了多少,他们以37分排在第10位。他们的比分差是30:24。但是,它们的xpt数量要大一些。是的,他们有潜力取得不错的进步,但似乎博彩公司过于强调这种潜力了。事实上,大多数最大的博彩公司——拥有最大的赌注限制——将这场比赛视为抛硬币——为两队提供2.65左右的获胜赔率。我强烈反对!在主场,凭借预期的阵容,法兰克福绝对是最受欢迎的!我们将在他们身上下注+0.5个目标障碍选项。他们在这个联赛中只输了三场主场比赛。法兰克福以45分排名第四。他们进了令人印象深刻的54球,丢了40球。法兰克福正在激烈争夺前四的位置,这将为他们赢得下赛季欧洲冠军联赛的席位。斯图加特在最近5场比赛中没有赢过一场,输掉了3/5。此外,他们在最近10场比赛中只赢了2场,10场6负。上一场他们主场面对勒沃库森,以3比4输掉了比赛。客队在这场非常有趣的比赛中又进了五球。然而,斯图加特也可以从这场比赛中有所收获。在此之前,斯图加特在客场面对的是一支实力不强的球队,荷尔斯泰因基尔,这支球队显然是夺冠热门,但结果是令人失望的2-2平局。东道主的射门总数比斯图加特多12次,进球比斯图加特多0.87次。然而,游客的L…斯特吉奥斯在第52分钟被罚下,当时比分是2-1。即使在红牌之前,斯图加特也没有给我留下深刻的印象。法兰克福在最近四场正式比赛中赢了三场。在他们最近的一场正式比赛中,他们在客场3-1击败波鸿队,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。法兰克福在2009年的收入比波鸿高出1.14%。
好运!
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