5/6 last WON in this league! $$$
2025-03-29
比赛分析
解读理由
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden VS De Graafschap
Cambuur host De Graafschap in this Eerste Divisie round 32 clash at Kooi Stadion in Leeuwarden very early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Dutch football and the level of this league is relatively good by European standards – for a second tier, I mean. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of good quality by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity. Indeed, we have won five of the last six picks betting on this league – at the time of posting this analysis. According to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, the visitors are the bigger team here – albeit by an extremely thin margin – 9.00 vs. 9.03 million euros. However, with the expected lineups, in front of their fans, Cambuur are definitely the favourites here. Even so, their odds have dropped significantly from the starting odds and the current odds of around 1.60 on the home win are definitely too low. We will take the De Graafschap +1.5 goals handicap option. The stakes are high here.. A total of 38 rounds will be played. The top-2 teams will be promoted directly to Eredivisie for next season. The teams who finish in 3rd-8th place will play in the Promotion Playoffs. Den Bosch in 9th place have grabbed 46 points and Den Haag, in 2nd place have taken “only” 58 points. Cambuur, currently in 5th place, have 55 points in their pocket. They have a score difference of 49:31. Their number of expected goals (xGA) per game is 1.87. The hosts number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per match is 1.25. De Graafschap are in 6th place with 53 points to their account. They have netted the ball 60 times – which is the second-highest number in this league. They have conceded 41 goals. Their number of xG per match is 1.76 and xGA is 1.38.
Let's keep in mind that the visitors have not lost not lost any of their last five games – winning 4/5! In their last match they faced Maastricht at home but had to settle for a goalless draw. However, they had close to 70% ball possession and also recorded 11 more goal attempts, two more shots on target and seven more corner kicks than the visitors. However, most of their attacks were a bit slow and lacked creativity. However, I must mention that the visitors defended much better than usual. Neither team managed any big scoring chances. The xG numbers were 0.86-0.37. Before this De Graafschap defeated Oss 2-0 away from home – recording many more goal attempts (16-8) and shots on goal – 7-2 to be precise. In round 29 De Graafschap beat Excelsior, currently in 3rd place, 2-1 – despite not being at their best. Both teams had two big scoring chances. Cambuur have won three of their last six games. In their last match they were abysmal – losing to FC Volendam 1-4 on the road. Cambuur were strangely imbalanced on the pitch for most of the 90 minutes. The hosts had six big scoring chances – Cambuur managed only one. The hosts also had many more shots inside the penalty box, shots on target and goal attempts. The xG numbers were 3.34-0.63!
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden诉De Graafschap
北京时间周六凌晨,坎布尔主场迎战德格拉夫夏普,他们将在联赛第32轮在吕沃登的库伊球场进行比赛。这是荷兰足球的第二梯队,按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平相对较好——我的意思是,对于第二梯队来说。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高质量比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个赚钱的机会。事实上,在过去的6次选秀中,我们已经赢了5次——在发表这篇分析的时候。根据知名且受人尊敬的消息来源Transfermarkt.com的数据,客队在这里是更大的球队——尽管差距非常小——900欧元对903万欧元。然而,在期待的阵容下,在他们的球迷面前,坎布尔绝对是最受欢迎的。即便如此,他们的赔率已经从开始的赔率大幅下降,目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.60,这显然太低了。我们将采用De Graafschap +1.5个进球障碍选项。这里的风险很高。总共将进行38轮比赛。前两名的球队将在下赛季直接升入荷甲联赛。排在第3 -8名的球队将参加升级附加赛。排名第9的登博斯拿到了46分,排名第二的海牙“只”拿到了58分。坎布尔目前排名第五,他们已经拿到了55分。他们的比分差是49:31。他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xGA)是1.87。东道主每场比赛的预期进球数(xGA)为1.25。格拉夫恰普以53分排名第六。他们有60次进球,这是联盟第二高的数字。他们丢了41个球。他们每场比赛的xG数是1.76,xGA是1.38。
让我们记住客队在过去的五场比赛中没有输过一场,4胜5负!在上一场比赛中,他们在主场面对马斯特里赫特,但只得以0比0打平。然而,他们的控球率接近70%,并且比客队多出了11次射门、2次射正和7次角球。然而,他们的大多数进攻都有点慢,缺乏创造力。然而,我必须提到的是,客队的防守比平时好得多。两队都没有获得任何得分机会。xG值为0.86 ~ 0.37。在此之前,格拉夫夏普在客场2-0击败奥斯,他的进球次数(16-8)和射门次数更多,准确地说,是7-2。在第29轮,德格拉夫沙普击败了目前排名第三的Excelsior,尽管他们并没有处于最佳状态。两支球队都有两次很好的得分机会。坎布雷队在最近六场比赛中赢了三场。在上一场比赛中,他们表现糟糕——客场1-4输给了弗伦丹队。坎布尔在90分钟的大部分时间里都表现得很不平衡。东道主有6次进球机会,坎布尔只抓住了1次。主队在禁区内的射门、射正和射门次数也更多。xG值为3.34-0.63!
好运!
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