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86% BUNDESLIGA WINS! 德甲 斯图加特VS勒沃库森

2025-03-16

比赛分析

解读理由

Only 3 German Bundesliga games will be on Saturday night, and the last one will be between Stuttgart and Leverkusen. After 25 games, Stuttgart has 10 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses, a total of 37 points and 8th place, while Leverkusen has 15 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses, a total of 53 points and 2nd place. In this game, I predict that Leverkusen won't lose.

Stuttgart hasn't been in the best shape as they have 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 4 games, and only in 1 game they had a better xG rating. If we look further, Stuttgart beat Dortmund 2:1, but they lost big the xG battle (0.34 and 1.36), and before this game, they lost to Gladbach at home and Mainz on the road. If we count all tournaments, Stuttgart has 1 home win and 4 losses in the last 4 matches, and the only win was in the cup game when they had a narrow 1:0 victory over Augsburg. In the Bundesliga, Stuttgart has 6 wins and 2 draws in 13 home games, a total of 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 26.4 at home, xGA is at 16.9, with a difference of 6.5.

Leverkusen also lost the 2nd-leg Champions League game to Bayern, so their season in that tournament is over. Between these games, Leverkusen also lost in the Bundesliga home game against Bremen - 0:2. The most interesting part is that Leverkusen had a better xG rating than Bremen. Before this stretch, Leverkusen had 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 Bundesliga games. On the road, Leverkusen has been one of the best teams with 7 wins and 5 draws in 12 games, a total of 26 goals scored and 13 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 19.8 on the road, xGA is at 11.5, with a difference of 8.3.

I'm backing Leverkusen in this game. They will be very motivated after losing Bayern and not getting 3 points against Bremen. Stuttgart isn't playing very well right now, and they are also struggling at home, and Bayer should be able to get at least 1 point. When the teams met in November, the score was 0:0, but Bayer created an xG of 2.36, while Stuttgart had only 0.28.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上只有3场德甲比赛,最后一场将是斯图加特和勒沃库森之间的比赛。25场比赛后,斯图加特10胜7平8负,积37分排名第8,勒沃库森15胜8平2负,积53分排名第2。在这场比赛中,我预测勒沃库森不会输。

斯图加特最近4场比赛2平2负,状态不是很好,只有1场比赛他们的xG值比他们高。虽然斯图加特2:1战胜了多特蒙德,但在xG大战(0.34比1.36)中输得很惨,而且在本场比赛之前,他们在主场和客场分别输给了格拉德巴赫和美因茨。如果我们算上所有的赛事,斯图加特在最近的4场比赛中主场1胜4负,唯一的胜利是在杯赛中,他们以1:0险胜奥格斯堡。在德甲联赛中,斯图加特在13场主场比赛中取得了6胜2平的成绩,进27球失20球。这支球队在主场的净胜球为26.4,净胜球为16.9,两者相差6.5。

勒沃库森也在欧冠第二回合的比赛中输给了拜仁,所以他们的欧冠赛季结束了。在这两场比赛之间,勒沃库森还在德甲主场0:2输给了不来梅。最有趣的是勒沃库森的xG值比不莱梅高。在此之前,勒沃库森在5场德甲比赛中取得3胜2平。在客场,勒沃库森在12场比赛中取得了7胜5平的成绩,进26球失13球,是最好的球队之一。球队在客场的xG值为19.8,xGA值为11.5,两者相差8.3。

这场比赛我支持勒沃库森。在输掉拜仁和不莱梅没有拿到3分之后,他们会非常有动力。斯图加特现在打得不太好,他们在主场也很挣扎,拜耳应该至少能拿到1分。当两队在11月相遇时,比分是0:0,但拜耳创造了2.36的xG,而斯图加特只有0.28。

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