Currently, there are many indications that the Bundesliga will have a debutant competing in the Champions League next season. The two candidates for that place are today's rivals, Mainz and Freiburg. Both teams are in excellent shape and have not lost in the last 5 matches, and we are sure to have an exciting match. Mainz is in somewhat better shape, having won 4 in a row. What is certainly worthy of praise is that they won as many as 3 games away from home. If the victory against Heidenheim, which is fighting for survival, was expected, the victories against Mönchengladbach and Leipzig are certainly a good indication that Mainz is playing fantastically. Mainz's favorite status can primarily be explained by the fact that coach Bo Henriksen's team has been extremely consistent, especially at home, for weeks. In the last 7 games at home, they have a record of 6 wins and 1 draw with a fantastic goal difference of 13 goals scored and only 2 goals conceded. Mainz's recipe for success is based on many pillars. On the one hand, the third-placed team is capable of bringing brutal intensity to the pitch. Based on various statistics, Mainz possesses the third-best pressing in the league. On the other hand, this also means they have conceded the second-fewest number of goals. Goalkeeper Robin Zentner, who is now even being touted as a candidate for the German national team, for example, kept a clean sheet in their last four Bundesliga home games. Overall, Mainz have conceded just ten goals at home – the best record among all 18 top-flight teams! The situation is similar with their current rival, who has not conceded a goal in the last 6 games, which is impressive in a league like the Bundesliga. A somewhat worrying fact is that they didn't even manage to score a goal in the last 2 matches, and it must be said that they were outplayed in those matches and can be satisfied with the 2 points won. Two-thirds of all victories this season have come at home, 8 out of 12 Away from home, however, they have only managed four wins. It must be noted that Freiburg primarily collects points against clubs ranked below them in the standings. They have suffered a string of defeats against the Bundesliga's top teams, among which Mainz undoubtedly belongs. This is one of the reasons why I give a slight advantage to the home team.

目前，有很多迹象表明德甲将在下赛季首次参加欧冠比赛。这个地方的两个候选人是今天的竞争对手，美因茨和弗莱堡。两队状态都很好，最近5场比赛都没有输过球，我们肯定会有一场激动人心的比赛。美因茨的情况要好一些，已经取得了4连胜。值得赞扬的是，他们在客场赢了3场比赛。如果说战胜正在为生存而战的海登海姆是意料之中的话，那么战胜Mönchengladbach和莱比锡无疑是美因茨发挥出色的一个很好的迹象。美因茨最受欢迎的地位主要可以解释为教练博·亨里克森（Bo Henriksen）的球队几周来表现非常稳定，尤其是在主场。在最近的7场主场比赛中，他们取得了6胜1平的战绩，打进13球，只丢了2球。美因茨的成功秘诀基于许多支柱。一方面，排名第三的球队能够在球场上带来残酷的强度。根据各种统计数据，美因茨拥有联盟第三强的压制能力。另一方面，这也意味着他们丢了第二少的球。例如，守门员罗宾·曾特纳（Robin Zentner），他现在甚至被吹捧为德国国家队的候选人，在最近的四场德甲主场比赛中保持了零封。总的来说，美因茨在主场只丢了10个球，这是所有18支顶级联赛球队中最好的记录！目前的情况与他们的对手相似，他们在最近6场比赛中没有失球，这在德甲这样的联赛中是令人印象深刻的。一个有点令人担忧的事实是，他们在最近的两场比赛中甚至没有进球，必须说他们在那些比赛中被击败了，可以对赢得的2分感到满意。本赛季三分之二的胜利是在主场取得的，12场比赛中有8场是在客场取得的，但是他们只取得了4场胜利。必须指出的是，弗赖堡主要是在对阵排名低于他们的俱乐部时获得积分。他们在对阵德甲顶级球队时遭遇了一连串的失败，美因茨无疑是其中之一。这就是我认为主队略胜一筹的原因之一。