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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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The most logical choice for this match

2025-03-13

比赛分析

解读理由

This is the second competitive meeting. Frankfurt’s 2-1 first-leg win flipped a prior friendly H2H (Ajax won 2-1 in 2020). Ajax have lost just one of 24 home games vs. German sides (to Dortmund in 2012).


Eintracht Frankfurt: The Eagles have suffered three straight Bundesliga losses, including a 4-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen, a 4-0 loss to Bayern Munich, and a 2-1 loss to Union Berlin at home on March 9. Compared to their European form, they have given up 11 goals in three games. They have only allowed one goal all season (1-1 against Rigas FS) while winning three of their four home games in the Europa League (2-0 against Slavia Prague, 1-0 against Ferencvaros, and 2-0 against Midtjylland). Despite having 45% possession, the first-leg triumph demonstrated tenacity with 1.60 xG from 17 shots. Hugo Ekitike's finishing difficulties are highlighted with his failed penalty against Union.


Eintracht Frankfurt: Dino Toppmöller’s side play a 3-4-2-1, balancing possession (51% average in EL home games) with direct attacking. Ekitike (6 Bundesliga goals) and Elye Wahi lead the line, supported by Mario Götze’s creativity (2 assists vs. Ajax). Midfielders Larsson and Skhiri (both scored in Amsterdam) add dynamism, but a leaky defense—11 goals conceded in three games—raises red flags. Nnamdi Collins’ suspension weakens their backline, and injuries to Arthur Theate and Robin Koch may force Tuta and Nathaniel Brown into action.


Ajax: The Dutch powerhouses are dominating the Eredivisie after winning ten straight league games, including a 1-0 triumph on March 9 at PEC Zwolle thanks to a penalty kick from Kenneth Taylor. With four losses in eight league-phase games and a slim 3-2 playoff victory against Union Saint-Gilloise, they haven't been as convincing in Europe. Apart from that, they are 2-1-2 in the ACL this season, defeating Qarabag (3-0) and Besiktas (4-0), but falling short against Lyon (2-0), Lazio (3-0), and Union SG (1-0). There is hope because of their four-game winning streak away from home in all competitions (all clean sheets).


Ajax: Pressing (9.5 passes per defensive action in EL) and attacking flair are key components of Francesco Farioli's 4-3-3. Steven Berghuis adds guile, but Kenneth Taylor (5 EL goals) and Brian Brobbey (if fit) are crucial. Although Remko Pasveer's injury and Jordan Henderson's suspension are setbacks, their four-game away clean-sheet streak demonstrates defensive tenacity.


Ajax's attacking prowess and recent road tenacity will determine their chances of winning. They can compete on the road, as seen by their 10-game winning streak in the Eredivisie and their four straight away shutouts (all in competition); their victories over Qarabag (3-0) and Besiktas (4-0) demonstrate their ability to dominate weaker teams. They have the firepower to score thanks to Taylor's recent form (5 EL goals) and Brobbey's possible comeback, while Frankfurt's defence has recently collapsed (11 goals given up in 3 games). Frankfurt still leads 1-1 (3-3 aggregate, away goals), but Ajax survives extra time. A goal might force a draw.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这是第二次比赛。法兰克福首回合2-1的胜利颠覆了之前的友谊赛H2H(阿贾克斯在2020年以2-1获胜)。阿贾克斯在主场对阵德国球队的24场比赛中只输过一场(2012年对阵多特蒙德)。


法兰克福:老鹰队在德甲联赛中遭遇了三连败,包括3月9日主场1 - 4负于勒沃库森,0 - 4负于拜仁慕尼黑,2-1负于柏林联盟。与他们在欧洲赛场的表现相比,他们在三场比赛中丢了11个球。他们整个赛季只丢了一个球(1-1对阵里加),在欧联杯的4场主场比赛中赢了3场(2-0对阵布拉格斯拉维亚,1-0对阵费伦瓦罗斯,2-0对阵米特日兰)。尽管拥有45%的控球率,但首回合的胜利显示出了顽强的韧劲,17次射门命中率高达1.60。乌戈·埃基蒂克的射门困难在他对曼联的点球失败中得到了突出体现。


法兰克福:迪诺Toppmöller的球队采用3-4-1 -1阵型,平衡控球率(主场比赛平均51%)和直接进攻。埃基蒂克(6个德甲进球)和埃尔耶·瓦希领衔锋线,马里奥Götze的创造力(对阿贾克斯的2次助攻)为其提供了支持。中场拉尔森和斯基里(两人都在阿姆斯特丹进球)增添了活力,但防守漏洞——三场比赛丢11球——令人担忧。纳姆迪·柯林斯的停赛削弱了后防线,阿瑟·西特和罗宾·科赫的受伤可能会迫使图塔和纳撒尼尔·布朗采取行动。


阿贾克斯:荷兰强队在联赛中取得了十连胜,其中包括3月9日在兹沃勒的比赛中凭借肯尼斯·泰勒的点球1-0大胜。在联赛阶段的八场比赛中,他们输了四场,在季后赛中以3比2的微弱优势战胜了圣吉卢兹联盟,他们在欧洲赛场上的表现并不令人信服。另外,在本赛季的中超联赛中,他们以3胜0负的成绩战胜了卡拉巴格和贝西克塔斯,取得了2胜2负的成绩,但在对阵里昂(2胜0负)、拉齐奥(3胜0负)、联合SG(1胜0负)的比赛中却落后于对手。因为他们在所有比赛中客场取得了四连胜(零封对手),所以有希望。


阿贾克斯:压迫(每次防守传球9.5次)和进攻天赋是法里奥利4-3-3阵型的关键组成部分。史蒂芬·伯格休斯加入了诡计,但肯尼斯·泰勒(5个EL进球)和布莱恩·布罗比(如果合适的话)至关重要。虽然雷姆科·帕斯维尔的受伤和乔丹·亨德森的停赛都是挫折,但他们的四场客场零封表现出了防守的坚韧。


阿贾克斯的进攻能力和最近的客场韧性将决定他们获胜的机会。他们可以在客场比赛,就像他们在荷甲联赛的10连胜和4连胜一样(都是在比赛中);他们战胜卡拉巴格(3-0)和贝西克塔斯(4-0)证明了他们有能力压制弱队。由于泰勒最近的状态(5个EL进球)和布罗比可能的复出,他们有火力得分,而法兰克福的后防线最近崩溃了(3场比赛丢了11个球)。法兰克福仍然1-1领先(总比分3-3,客场进球),但阿贾克斯在加时赛中幸存下来。一个进球可能会导致平局。

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