Bayern put on a show in the first leg on March 5, 2025, taking advantage of Leverkusen's defensive errors. Bayern led 3-0 thanks to goals from Harry Kane (one from a penalty) and Jamal Musiala. Nordi Mukiele of Leverkusen was sent off late, thus he won't play tonight (Bayern Munich 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen - WhoScored). This season, both teams have historically been evenly matched—two Bundesliga draws (0-0 and 1-1) and a 1-0 DFB-Pokal victory for Leverkusen—but Bayern's crushing first-leg victory changed the course of events. Leverkusen hasn't lost at home in the Champions League since 2022, but it would take a tremendous effort to overcome a three-goal lead against Bayern.

The men of Xabi Alonso are stuck in a rut. Their domestic cup ambitions were dashed on March 8, 2025, when they lost 2-0 at home to Werder Bremen after losing 3-1 to Holstein Kiel in the DFB-Pokal midweek. They have been strong at home in the Champions League (4 wins from 4), scoring 10 goals and giving up 2 goals, but their league-phase losses to Liverpool (4-0) and Atletico Madrid (1-0) revealed weaknesses on the road. Florian Wirtz's injury, which will keep him out tonight, is a huge setback because his six UCL goals and inventiveness are priceless. The squad is further weakened by the doubts surrounding Granit Xhaka and Edmond Tapsoba.

On March 8, 2025, Vincent Kompany's Bayern faltered with a 3-2 home loss to Bochum; nonetheless, their UCL campaign has been strong, with five victories, three league-phase defeats, and a playoff victory against Celtic. They had lost three of their last five away games in Europe (Barcelona, Feyenoord, and Atletico), but their 3-0 first-leg victory demonstrated their brutality. Harry Kane, who has scored 13 UCL goals this season, is in incredible form, and Bayern's squad depth is still strong even with Manuel Neuer's calf injury (Jonas Urbig filled in nicely).

Leverkusen had a six-game winning streak against Bayern under Alonso (3 wins, 3 draws) prior to the first leg, which included a 1-0 DFB-Pokal victory at the Allianz Arena in December 2024. They have won two and drawn one of their last three games versus Bayern at the BayArena. The dynamic is altered by the 3-0 deficit, though, as Leverkusen is forced to attack, creating openings for Michael Olise, Musiala, and Kane, three of Bayern's best counterattackers. In Munich, Wirtz and Jeremie Frimpong were stymied by Bayern's man-marking. Without Wirtz, Leverkusen's attack is primarily dependent on Patrik Schick, who has been erratic (2 goals in 8 UCL games).

Leverkusen avoiding a loss tonight is a difficult task, in my opinion. Leverkusen's injury problems and poor play, along with Bayern's 3-0 lead, greatly favour Munich in this match. Leverkusen would need four goals to force extra time, something they haven't done against Bayern in recent memory, and an early goal from Bayern may end the match. Although they have a 3-game winning streak at home versus Bayern and a 4-0-0 record in the UCL this season, Bayern's skill should be evident. I think Bayern will win 2-1, with Leverkusen scoring but losing.

在2025年3月5日的首回合比赛中，拜仁利用勒沃库森防守失误的机会上演了一出好戏。拜仁凭借哈里·凯恩（点球进球）和贾马尔·穆西亚拉的进球3-0领先。勒沃库森的穆基尔被罚下，因此他今晚不能上场（拜仁慕尼黑3-0勒沃库森-谁进球）。本赛季，这两支球队在历史上一直势均力敌——德甲两场平局（0-0和1-1），勒沃库森1-0大胜勒沃库森，但拜仁首回合的压倒性胜利改变了事态的发展。勒沃库森自2022年以来还没有在欧冠主场输过球，但要想逆转对拜仁的3球领先优势，需要付出巨大的努力。

哈维·阿隆索的手下陷入了一种陈规。2025年3月8日，他们在主场0 - 2不敌云达不莱梅，周中在德甲联赛中1 - 3不敌荷尔斯泰因基尔。他们在欧冠主场表现强劲（4胜4负），进10球丢2球，但在联赛阶段输给利物浦（4比0）和马竞（1比0），暴露了客场的弱点。弗洛里安·维尔茨的受伤将使他缺席今晚的比赛，这是一个巨大的挫折，因为他在伦敦联赛的6个进球和创造力是无价的。对扎卡和塔普索巴的怀疑进一步削弱了球队的实力。

2025年3月8日，孔帕尼的拜仁在主场3-2不敌波鸿；尽管如此，他们的欧冠之旅一直很强劲，五场胜利，三场联赛失利，还有一场季后赛对凯尔特人的胜利。他们在最近的5场欧洲客场比赛中输掉了3场（巴塞罗那、费耶诺德和马竞），但他们首回合3-0的胜利证明了他们的残酷。本赛季在欧冠联赛中打进13球的哈里·凯恩状态极佳，即使诺伊尔小腿受伤（乌尔比格的替补很好），拜仁的阵容深度仍然很强。

勒沃库森在阿隆索的带领下，在首回合对阵拜仁之前取得了6连胜（3胜3平），其中包括2024年12月在安联球场以1比0战胜德国队的比赛。他们最近三场在拜仁球场的比赛中取得两胜一平。然而，3-0的落后改变了比赛的动态，勒沃库森被迫进攻，为迈克尔·奥利斯、穆西亚拉和凯恩这三名拜仁最好的反击者创造了机会。在慕尼黑，维尔茨和弗林蓬被拜仁的盯人战术所阻碍。没有了维尔茨，勒沃库森的进攻主要依靠帕特里克·希克，他一直表现不稳定（8场欧冠比赛打进2球）。

在我看来，勒沃库森今晚避免输球是一项艰巨的任务。勒沃库森的伤病问题和糟糕的表现，加上拜仁3-0的领先优势，在这场比赛中对慕尼黑非常有利。勒沃库森需要4个进球才能进入加时赛，这是他们在最近的记忆中对拜仁没有做到的，拜仁的一个进球可能会结束比赛。虽然他们在主场对拜仁取得了3连胜，并且在本赛季的欧冠联赛中取得了4胜0负的战绩，但拜仁的技术应该是显而易见的。我认为拜仁会2-1获胜，勒沃库森会进球但会输球。