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CHAMPIONS LEAGUE! 100% LAST 3 DAYS!

2025-03-11

比赛分析

解读理由

On Tuesday night, half of the UEFA Champions League TOP16 2nd-leg games will be played, and one of the games will be between Leverkusen and Bayern. After the 1st match, Bayern is leading 3:0 and I predict that Bayern won't lose this game.

Last week, Bayern dominated and won 3:0. The 1st two goals were scored before Bayer got a red card. Overall, Bayern dominated the ball control (65% vs. 35%), they had way better xG rating (2.68 vs. 0.33), they had 5 times more big scoring chances (5 vs. 1) and they had a major advantage in total shots - 17 vs 3..

Over the weekend, both teams played in the German Bundesliga. Bayern was leading 2:1 when they got a red card, and in the 2nd half, they blew the lead against Bochum, losing 2:3 in the end. Leverkusen had a home game against Bremen but they couldn't score a single goal, losing 0:2 in the end. Bayern is still leading the German Bundesliga. Leverkusen had a great chance to get the deficit, but they blew it.

The teams already met once in Leverkusen this season. The hosts dominated the ball control and had more scoring chances and total shots, but the game ended 0:0. Leverkusen will try to bounce back, they should be attacking a lot, but Bayern has a very good counter attack, and they should be able to convert some opportunities.

It would be more precise to compare Bundesliga home and away stats because Leverkusen and Bayern have played against the same opponents, while the situation in the Champions League is different. At home, Leverkusen has 8 wins and 3 draws in 12 games, a total of 29 goals scored and 17 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 26.9, xGA is at 13.5, with a difference of 13.4. Bayern has 8 wins and 3 draws in 12 road games, a total of 31 goals scored and 11 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 24.1 on the road, xGA is at 9.2 with a difference of 14.9.

Leverkusen's defender Nordi Mukiele is suspended, while Jeanuel Belocian. Robert Andrich is doubtful, but the biggest missing is the star forward Florian Wirtz, who injured his ankle over the weekend. As for Bayern, the team will be without Manuel Neuer, who injured himself last week.

I'm backing Bayern in this game. They were much better a week ago, and now Leverkusen is without Wirtz, who has scored the goals for the team in the Champions League. Bayern has all the qualities not to lose this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周二晚上,欧洲冠军联赛16强的次回合比赛将进行一半,其中一场比赛将在勒沃库森和拜仁之间进行。第一场比赛后,拜仁以3:0领先,我预测拜仁不会输掉这场比赛。

上周,拜仁以3:0获胜。前两个进球是在拜耳领到红牌之前打进的。总的来说,拜仁在控球方面占据了优势(65%对35%),他们有更好的射门率(2.68对0.33),他们有5倍多的得分机会(5比1),他们在总射门上有很大的优势——17比3。

周末,两支球队都参加了德甲联赛。拜仁在拿到红牌时以2:1领先,在下半场对波鸿的比赛中,他们失去了领先优势,最终以2:3输球。勒沃库森主场对阵不莱梅,但他们一个球也没进,最后以0:2输掉了比赛。拜仁仍然是德甲联赛的领头羊。勒沃库森本来有很好的机会扳回比分,但是他们搞砸了。

两队本赛季已经在勒沃库森交手过一次。主队控制了球权,有更多的得分机会和总射门次数,但比赛以0:0结束。勒沃库森将会努力反弹,他们应该会有很多进攻,但是拜仁有很好的反击,他们应该能够转化一些机会。

比较德甲的主场和客场数据会更准确,因为勒沃库森和拜仁面对的是同样的对手,而欧冠的情况则不同。在主场,勒沃库森在12场比赛中取得了8胜3平的成绩,进29球失17球。球队的xG值为26.9,xGA值为13.5,两者相差13.4。拜仁在12场客场比赛中取得了8胜3平的成绩,进31球失11球。球队在客场的xG值为24.1,xGA值为9.2,两者相差14.9。

勒沃库森的后卫穆基尔将停赛,而贝洛西安将停赛。罗伯特·安德里希的伤情尚不确定,但最大的缺阵是明星前锋弗洛里安·维尔茨,他在周末脚踝受伤。至于拜仁,球队将失去上周受伤的诺伊尔。

在这场比赛中我支持拜仁。一周前他们比现在强多了,现在勒沃库森没有了维尔茨,他在欧冠联赛中为球队进球。拜仁完全有能力不输掉这场比赛。

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