A GREAT game to bet on! $$$ 澳超 西部联VS惠灵顿
2025-03-08
比赛分析
解读理由
Western United FC VS Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix challenge Western United in this A-league round 22 battle at Iron bark Fields Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is the first tier of Australian football. As a whole this league is not of very high quality by global standards. However, by Asia-Pacific standards it is quite good.. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another fine chance of extending the hot streak of six consecutive winners! No, there is no doubt about the fact that Western United are the favourites here. However, there is nothing in this game that would justify the current odds of around 1.45-1.50 on the home win! The Wellington Phoenix +1.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! They currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings and have 32 points to their account. They have netted the ball 36 times and have allowed 27 goals in this league so far this season. However, their number of expected goals (xG) per game is only 1.59. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per match is 1.54. Wellington Phoenix, have, in all honesty, not been great this season. They have 19 points in their pocket and are in 11th place. They lack some offensive power – especially individual skill – and have scored only 17 goals in this league. However, their number of xG is 20.21. However, their defence is pretty well structured and the (very) silly individual mistakes are not that common.. Indeed, they have, in fact, conceded one goal less than the hosts! They should have potential for decent improvement..
Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Wellington Phoenix are the bigger team here – not by a clear margin though! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of over seven million euros. This, in my expert opinion, is more or less correct.. The Western United squad is valued at only 5.50 million – which is a low number by this league's standards. Western United have not won any of the last four games between these two teams! The teams last locked horns in October 2024 and it was at Sky Stadium. Rather interestingly, Wellington were priced around 2.10 to win by the bookmakers. Indeed, they have over-reacted to Wellington's lame season and Western United much better than expected result! It was a 1-1 draw but Wellington generated 0.42 more in xG. Western United recorded one one shot on goal in this match. About a year ago, in round 16, Wellington beat Western United 2-0 at home. The xG numbers were 1.66-0.31. Western United have won two of their last five games. In their most recent match, they defeated Central Coast Mariners, currently in 10th place, 3-1 away from home. However, the hosts had more goal attempts and six more shots off goal.. However, Western United generated 1.29 more than the hosts in xG.. Western United were priced around 1.95 to win by the bookies. In round 20 Western United beat Adelaide United 3-0 at home but the visitors, too, had their chances. Indeed, Adelaide managed nine goal attempts and 0.71 in xG. Western United did deserve to win by the final score does flatter them quite a bit.. In round 19 Western United were not terrible but lost to Auckland FC 2-0 at home. The visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal and 0.42 in xG than the hosts.. Wellington Phoenix have won only one of their last six games but have also lost just one of their last eight games by a margin of more than one goal. In their most recent match Wellington pushed a strong team, Melbourne City - currently in 2nd place – well but lost 0-1 in the end. Melbourne played very well and generated 0.72 more in xG than the hosts. They defended simply "too well" as a team - from Wellington's point of view, I mean. The hosts recorded five goal attempts in the end. Wellington took their last win in round 15 when they defeated Macarthur 2-1 away from home. The visitors were clear underdogs in this match. In round 20 Wellington lost to Auckland 1-5 on the road as very clear underdogs, of course. The hosts deserved to win but the final score is still very misleading and probably affect the odds too much against in Saturday's match.. Indeed, the xG numbers were 2.34-1.27..
GOOD LUCK!
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西部联队VS威灵顿菲尼克斯
北京时间周六下午,惠灵顿凤凰队将在铁树皮球场与西部联队进行a联赛第22轮的比赛。这是澳大利亚足球的第一梯队。总的来说,按照全球标准来看,这个联赛的质量并不高。然而,以亚太地区的标准来看,这已经相当不错了。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的球迷还有一个很好的机会来延续六连胜!不,毫无疑问,西联是这里最受欢迎的球队。然而,在这场比赛中,没有什么可以证明目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.45-1.50 !惠灵顿凤凰队+1.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注!他们目前在积分榜上排名第三,积分榜上有32分。本赛季到目前为止,他们在联赛中取得了36次进球,27个失球。然而,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xG)只有1.59个。他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xGA)是1.54。老实说,惠灵顿凤凰队本赛季表现不佳。他们现在有19分,排在第11位。他们缺乏进攻能力,尤其是个人技术,在这个联赛中只进了17个球。然而,他们的xG数量是20.21。然而,他们的防守结构很好,(非常)愚蠢的个人错误并不常见。事实上,他们比东道主少丢了一个球!他们应该有改善的潜力。
让我们记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,惠灵顿凤凰城是这里更大的球队-虽然不是明显的差距!事实上,他们的球员估计总市值超过700万欧元。在我看来,这或多或少是正确的。西联的球队价值只有550万英镑——按照这个联盟的标准,这是一个很低的数字。西联在这两支球队之间的最近四场比赛中没有赢过一场!两队上一次交锋是在2024年10月,地点是天空体育场。有趣的是,博彩公司给惠灵顿开出的胜率约为2.10英镑。事实上,他们对惠灵顿的糟糕赛季和西联的好成绩反应过度了!虽然平局为1比1,但惠灵顿在上一场比赛中多创造了0.42个进球。西联在这场比赛中只射正了一个球。大约一年前,在第16轮比赛中,惠灵顿主场2-0击败了西部联队。xG值为1.66 ~ 0.31。西联最近五场比赛赢了两场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场3-1击败了目前排名第十的中央海岸水手队。然而,东道主有更多的射门尝试和6次射偏。然而,西联在xG比东道主多创造了1.29个进球。博彩公司将西部联队的胜率定在1.95左右。在第20轮比赛中,西部联队主场3-0击败阿德莱德联队,但客队也有机会。事实上,阿德莱德队有9次射门,射门0.71次。西联确实应该获胜,最后的比分确实让他们很高兴。第19轮,西部联队表现不差,但在主场0 - 2不敌奥克兰FC。客队的进球次数、射偏次数和射门次数都比主队多。惠灵顿菲尼克斯队在过去的六场比赛中只赢了一场,但在过去的八场比赛中也只输了一场,落后一球以上。在他们最近的一场比赛中,惠灵顿击败了目前排名第二的强队墨尔本城,但最终以0比1输掉了比赛。墨尔本踢得很好,比东道主多出0.72个进球。作为一支球队,他们防守得“太好了”——我的意思是,从惠灵顿的角度来看。东道主最终有5次进球尝试。威灵顿在第15轮客场2-1击败麦克阿瑟取得了他们的最后一场胜利。客队在这场比赛中明显处于劣势。在第20轮比赛中,惠灵顿以1-5的比分输给了奥克兰,他们显然处于劣势。东道主理应获胜,但最终比分仍然很容易误导人,可能会对周六比赛的赔率造成太大影响。实际上,xG值是2.34-1.27。
好运!
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