100% PREMIER LEAGUE! 英超 水晶宫VS伊普斯
2025-03-08
比赛分析
解读理由
On Saturday night, we are having 6 games in the English Premier League, and one of them is going to be between Crystal Palace and Ipswich. After 27 games, Crystal Palace has 9 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses, a total of 27 points and 12th place, while Ipswich has 3 wins, 8 draws, 16 losses, a total of 17 points and 18th place. In this game, I predict Crystal Palace will win.
Crystal Palace has now won 3 games in a row, including 2 Premier League games. One of them was at home against Aston Villa, which Crystal Palace won 4:1. Overall, Crystal Palace has won 5 of the last 7 Premier League games. Crystal Palace had 2 losses at home. Against Everton (1:2), Crystal Palace had a much better xG (1.72 vs. 0.96), and xG's were similar in the loss against Brentford (1:2, 1.08 vs. 1.26). At home, Crystal Palace has 3 wins and 5 draws in 16 games, a total of 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 22.4 at home, xGA is at 16.7, with a difference of 5.7.
Ipswich is a big mess, and it looks like they will be relegated. On Monday, the team lost in the penalties to Nottingham in the FA Cup game after being up 1:0. In the Premier League, Ipswich has 1 draw and 6 losses in the last 7 games. Ipswich was lucky enough not to lose on the road against Aston Villa despite getting a red card and having a big xG disadvantage: 0.37 vs. 2.42. On the road this season, Ipswich has 2 wins and 4 draws in 13 games, a total of 16 goals scored and 27 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 11.5 on the road, xGA is at 28.6, with a difference of -17.2.
Crystal Palace striker Jean-Philippe Mateta has joined Chadi Riad (knee), Cheick Doucoure (knee) and Joel Ward (calf) in the treatment room, while Will Hughes is beginning a two-match suspension after receiving his 10th booking of the season last week. As for Ipswich, they will be without Sammie Szmodics, Axel Tuanzebe, Chiedozie Ogbene, Wes Burns, Conor Chaplin, Arijanet Muric, Omari Hutchinson and Julio Enciso.
I'm going with Crystal Palace. Despite not having their striker, Crystal Palace is a much better team and they are red-hot lately. The TOP6 is 10 points away and that isn't so far away, given the fact that 11 more games are left. Crystal Palace won the 1st meeting and should be better in this one as well.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
周六晚上,我们在英超有6场比赛,其中一场是水晶宫和伊普斯维奇之间的比赛。经过27场比赛,水晶宫9胜9平9负,共积27分,排名第12,而伊普斯维奇3胜8平16负,共积17分,排名第18。在这场比赛中,我预测水晶宫会赢。
水晶宫目前已经取得了3连胜,其中包括2场英超比赛。其中一场是在主场对阵阿斯顿维拉,水晶宫以4:1取胜。总的来说,水晶宫在过去的7场英超比赛中赢了5场。水晶宫在主场输了2场。在对阵埃弗顿(1:2)的比赛中,水晶宫的xG值要好得多(1.72比0.96),在对阵布伦特福德的比赛中,xG值也差不多(1:2,1.08比1.26)。在主场,水晶宫16场比赛3胜5平,共进16球失22球。球队在主场的xG值为22.4,xGA值为16.7,两者相差5.7。
伊普斯维奇队一团糟,看起来他们要降级了。在周一的足总杯比赛中,球队在1比0领先的情况下在点球大战中输给了诺丁汉。在英超联赛中,伊普斯维奇最近7场比赛1平6负。伊普斯维奇很幸运,没有在客场对阵阿斯顿维拉的比赛中输球,尽管他们得到了一张红牌,并且xG劣势很大:0.37比2.42。在本赛季的客场比赛中,伊普斯维奇在13场比赛中取得了2胜4平的成绩,进16球失27球。球队在客场产生的xG值为11.5,xGA值为28.6,两者相差为-17.2。
水晶宫前锋马塔已经和里亚德(膝伤)、杜库雷(膝伤)和沃德(小腿受伤)一起进入了治疗室,而威尔·休斯在上周领到本赛季第10张黄牌后将被禁赛两场。至于伊普斯维奇,他们将失去萨米·斯莫迪奇斯、阿克塞尔·图恩泽贝、杰多齐·奥格本尼、韦斯·伯恩斯、康纳·卓别林、阿里珍妮特·穆里奇、奥马里·哈钦森和胡里奥·恩西索。
我选水晶宫。尽管没有他们的前锋,水晶宫是一支更好的球队,他们最近很火。距离前6名还有10分的差距,考虑到还有11场比赛要打,这并不遥远。水晶宫赢了第一场比赛,这次也应该做得更好。
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