Super match - big value! 欧冠 拜仁VS勒沃库森
2025-03-05
比赛分析
解读理由
In the Champions League Round of 16 first leg, Der Klassiker will see Bayern Munich and Leverkusen face off at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday at 22:00. The second leg will take place at BayArena six days later.
Both teams are so good and in decent form that I do not want to oppose either one, fortunately, with these odds available there is no need to! Both teams have lost once this season in the Bundesliga. Once!
Vincent Kompany’s Bundesliga-leading Bayern Munich defeated Stuttgart 3-1 at MHPArena last Friday in their UCL dress rehearsal, maintaining an eight-point lead over second-placed Leverkusen. The expected goals (xG) favored Bayern roughly by 2.3 - 0.7. All in all, there is not much wrong with their form if we take a quick look at their latest Bundesliga matches:

6 wins out of 7, the one odd result being 0-0 away at Leverkusen when they were badly beaten on the pitch and were lucky to come up with a point.
Team news - BM:
Joshua Kimmich is ruled out for Die Roten due to a thigh injury. Other potential absentees include goalkeeper Daniel Peretz, who is dealing with health issues but wouldn’t have started anyway, as well as defenders Sasha Boey and Aleksandar Pavlovic, both recovering from illness.
BM possible starting XI (4-2-3-1):
Neuer; Laimer, Kim, Upamecano, Davies; Palhinha, Goretzka; Olise, Musiala, Coman; Kane.
Xabi Alonso’s second-placed Bundesliga side and last season’s domestic double winners, Leverkusen, crushed third-placed Frankfurt 4-1 at Deutsche Bank Park last Saturday in their own UCL warm-up. The expected goals (xG) favored Die Werkself by 2.4-1.0 roughly.

Leverkusen are not only without a loss in these latest 6 matches, but their last loss in the Bundesliga dates back to August when they lost to Leipzig 2-3. A match where they created 26 shots and won all stats hands down, except the goals. The previous encounter away in Munchen ended in a 1-1 draw in September, and this time it was Leverkusen's turn to be happy with the point.
Team news - Leverkusen:
Leverkusen will be without defenders Jeanuel Belocian and forwards Martin Terrier and Alejo Sarco for the first leg. The availability of defender Edmond Tapsoba, who missed the UCL dress rehearsal due to a muscle injury, is still uncertain.
possible starting XI (3-4-3):
Hradecky; Mukiele, Tah, Hincapié; Frimpong, Aleix Garcia, Xhaka, Grimaldo; Tella, Schick, Wirtz.
Both previous Der Klassiker meetings this season ended in draws, so it should not be too far-fetched. While Bayern is difficult to beat at the Allianz Arena, Leverkusen eliminated them from the DFB Pokal in February, thanks to a goal from Tella.
Good luck!
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
在欧冠16强首回合比赛中,德克拉西克将于周三22:00在安联球场看到拜仁慕尼黑和勒沃库森的对决。第二回合比赛将于六天后在BayArena举行。
这两支球队都是如此优秀和体面的状态,我不想反对任何一个,幸运的是,有这些可能性,没有必要!这两支球队本赛季在德甲联赛中都输了一次。一次!
上周五,在欧冠联赛的彩排中,德甲领头羊拜仁慕尼黑在mhparea球场以3-1击败斯图加特,保持了对排名第二的勒沃库森8分的领先优势。预期进球数(xG)对拜仁的优势大致为2.3比0.7。总而言之,如果我们快速看一下他们最近的德甲比赛,他们的状态并没有太多问题:
7场比赛赢了6场,唯一奇怪的结果是客场0-0击败勒沃库森,当时他们在球场上被打得很惨,幸运地拿到了一分。
团队新闻- BM:
由于大腿受伤,乔舒亚·基米希将缺席皇马的比赛。其他可能缺席的球员包括门将丹尼尔·佩雷兹,他正在处理健康问题,但无论如何都不会首发,还有后卫萨沙·博伊和亚历山大·巴甫洛维奇,他们都在养病。
可能的首发阵容(4-2-3-1):
诺伊尔;莱默,金,乌帕梅卡诺,戴维斯;Palhinha Goretzka;奥利斯,穆西亚拉,科曼;凯恩。
上周六,哈维·阿隆索率领的德甲第二名球队、上赛季的国内双冠王勒沃库森在德意志银行公园球场进行的欧冠热身赛中以4比1击败了第三名法兰克福。预期目标(xG)大致以2.4-1.0的优势支持Die Werkself。
勒沃库森不仅在最近的6场比赛中没有输过球,而且他们在德甲的上一次失利还要追溯到8月份,当时他们以2比3输给了莱比锡。在这场比赛中,他们创造了26次射门机会,除了进球之外,他们轻而易举地赢得了所有数据。上一场比赛是在9月份客场对阵慕尼黑,双方1-1战平,这次轮到勒沃库森为拿到积分而高兴。
球队新闻-勒沃库森:
勒沃库森将在首回合失去后卫贝洛西安、前锋特里耶和萨科。后卫埃德蒙·塔普索巴由于肌肉受伤错过了伦敦联赛的彩排,他能否上场仍不确定。
首发阵容(3-4-3):
Hradecky;Mukiele, Tah, hincapi<e:1>;弗里姆蓬、亚历克斯·加西亚、扎卡、格里马尔多;特拉,希克,沃兹。
本赛季之前的两次交锋都以平局告终,所以这应该不会太牵强。虽然拜仁很难在安联球场被击败,但勒沃库森在2月份凭借特拉的进球将他们从德国联邦联赛中淘汰出局。
好运!
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