In my opinion Millwall have a bigger chances than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

South London derby. Both teams stadiums are very close to each other. Since 2010 nine matches between both teams in all competitions and Crystal Palace never recorded win with more than one goal difference. In addition to that, both teams are in good relegation - played couple friendlies against each other. Really I don't see big win for Crystal Palace.

Obviously, Crystal Palace is big favorite of this game, but in those circumstances all pressure is on their shoulders. In current Premier League campaign they are playing much better on the road because their game style is more suited for counter attacks. At home Crystal Palace recorded only 3 wins and failed to win 11 times. Only 16 goals scored in 14 home Premier League matches.

On the other hand, Millwall is really hard nut to crack at the back. They are top6 in Championship in 3 departments: goals conceded per game, clean sheets and expected goals conceded. They recorded only one loss in last 8 matches in all competitions and only one time conceded more than one goal during that run. Team came here full of confidence after their last round 1:0 win on the road against Derby.

I expecting very tight match and +1.5 HC on the away side looks like great option to play.

在我看来米尔沃尔有一个更大的机会比博彩公司想要给我们建议基于他们的赔率。

南伦敦德比。两支球队的体育场离得很近。自2010年以来，两队在各项赛事中共进行了9场比赛，水晶宫从未取得过净胜球超过1球的胜利。除此之外，两支球队都有不错的保级战绩——两场友谊赛彼此交锋。真的，我不认为水晶宫会赢。

显然，水晶宫是这场比赛的大热门，但在这种情况下，所有的压力都在他们的肩上。在目前的英超联赛中，他们在客场踢得更好，因为他们的比赛风格更适合反击。在主场，水晶宫只取得了3场胜利，11场失利。在14场英超主场比赛中只进了16球。

另一方面，米尔沃尔在后防线上确实很难对付。他们在三个方面都是英冠前六：场均失球、零失球和预期失球。在各项赛事的近8场比赛中，他们只输了一场，而且只有一次失球超过一球。在上一轮客场1:0战胜德比后，球队满怀信心来到这里。

我期待非常激烈的比赛，客场+1.5的HC看起来是个不错的选择。