8/10 last picks WON! $$$ 荷兰杯 埃因霍温VS前进之鹰
2025-02-26
比赛分析
解读理由
PSV Eindhoven VS Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven welcome G.A Eagles for this KNVB semi-final clash at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven very early Thursday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in the Eredivisie, the first level of Dutch football. The level of this league is, as a whole, high by European standards but it is still clearly worse than that of the top-4 leagues. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a game of very good quality by this competition's standards here.. PSV, the reigning champions of the Netherlands, have played very well in the Eredivisie this season. They are currently in 2nd place in the standings with 52 points to their account, at home they have won 9/12 home games in Eredivisie – losing zero matches. They have scored a stunning 71 goals in 23 Eredivisie matches but their number of expected goals (xG) is smaller. Even so, they have huge offensive power with several fast and smart players in midfield and offense. I expect them to score at least twice here and even four goals would not be a big surprise. They have conceded 26 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xG) is only 22.34. G.A Eagles are not - by any means a bad team but we will take the PSV -1.5 goals handicap option here with a big chance of winning. The visitors are in 7th place with 35 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller though. G.A Eagles' score difference is 40:36 but their number of expected goals (xG) is 37.12 and xGA is 43.34. They cannot match PSV in any area of the game – not even close. Indeed, they have lost the 16 last head-to-head games to PSV. The teams last locked horns in round 4 in September 2024 and PSV won 3-0 at home.-They recorded a fine 19 goal attempts and also had many more shots on goal – 8-2. Furthermore, G.A Eagles have failed to score a single goal in the last four games against PSV!
Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, PSV are the bigger team here – by a staggering margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of close to 350 million euros. This, in my expert opinion, is more or less correct. The G.A Eagles squad is valued at only around 20 million – which is slightly too low though.. PSV play in the iconic UEFA Champions League where they qualified for the Playoffs last season as well. This season they finished in 14th place in the league phase with a pretty good 15 points and a score difference of 16:12. In the first round of Playoffs PSV beat Juventus, one of the biggest teams in Italy, 4-3 on aggregate. They won the 2nd leg 3-1 after extra time at home last week - generating a great 3.63 in xG. Juventus managed 1.56. PSV also recorded many more goal attempts (25-15) as well as shots on goal. They also had one more big scoring chance. Before this PSV were very unlucky not to get all three points against Utrecht, currently in 5th place, at home. PSV recorded a whopping 34 goal attempts and seven big scoring chances. PSV also generated 2.04 more in xG than Utrecht. G.A Eagles were outplayed by Ajax three days ago. The hosts won 2-0, allowing G.A Eagles only 0.24 in xG, just one shot on both and off goal. The visitors generated a lame 0.24 n xG. Before this G.A Eagles beat Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 at home as pretty clear favourites. However, the visitors had one more goal attempt – 15-14. The xG numbers were 1.02-1.00 in this balanced clash.
Good luck!
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
埃因霍温VS鹰队
北京时间周四凌晨,埃因霍温将在飞利浦球场迎来荷兰足球甲级联赛的半决赛。两支球队都参加了荷兰甲级联赛——荷甲联赛。总的来说,这个联赛的水平以欧洲的标准来看是很高的,但它仍然明显比四大联赛差。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看质量非常好的比赛。荷兰队的卫冕冠军埃因霍温本赛季在荷甲踢得很好。目前他们以52分排名积分榜第二,在主场他们在荷甲取得了9胜12负的战绩,零负。他们在23场荷甲联赛中打进了令人震惊的71球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)更少。即便如此,他们在中场和进攻端拥有几名快速而聪明的球员,进攻能力很强。我希望他们能在这里至少进两球,甚至进四球也不是什么大惊喜。他们丢了26个球,但他们的预期失球数(xG)只有22.34个。老鹰队无论如何都不是一支糟糕的球队,但我们会选择埃因霍温1.5个进球的障碍,因为我们有很大的机会获胜。客队以35分排名第七。不过,它们的期望值(xPTS)要小一些。虽然比分差距为40:36,但预期进球数(xG)为37.12,xGA为43.34。他们在比赛的任何方面都无法与埃因霍温匹敌——甚至差得远。事实上,他们已经输掉了最近16场与埃因霍温的正面交锋。两队上一次交锋是在2024年9月的第4轮,埃因霍温主场3-0获胜。-他们有19次出色的进球尝试,并且射门次数也更多——8-2。此外,老鹰队在最近四场对埃因霍温的比赛中一球未进!
让我们记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,埃因霍温是这里更大的球队-以惊人的差距!事实上,他们的球员估计总市值接近3.5亿欧元。在我看来,这或多或少是正确的。老鹰队的价值只有2000万美元左右,这有点太低了。埃因霍温参加了标志性的欧洲冠军联赛,他们上赛季也获得了进入季后赛的资格。本赛季他们以15分的优异成绩和16:12的分差排在联赛第14位。在季后赛第一轮,埃因霍温以总比分4-3击败了意大利最强球队之一的尤文图斯。上周,他们在主场加时赛后以3-1的比分赢得了第二回合的胜利,在xG比赛中取得了3.63的好成绩。尤文图斯取得了1.56分。埃因霍温也有更多的射门次数(25-15次)和射门次数。他们还有一次重要的得分机会。在此之前,埃因霍温很不幸没能在主场对目前排名第五的乌得勒支拿到三分。埃因霍温取得了惊人的34次进球和7次进球机会。PSV在xG的收益也比乌得勒支多2.04。老鹰队三天前输给了阿贾克斯队。东道主以2比0取胜,让G.A Eagles的射门命中率仅为0.24分,双方都只有一次射门和脱球门。访客产生了一个可怜的0.24 n × g。在此之前,老鹰队在主场1-0击败了鹿特丹斯巴达队,这是一个非常明显的夺冠热门。然而,客队还有一次进球的机会——15比14。在这种平衡的冲突中,xG值为1.02-1.00。
好运!
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。
