Very important match for table!
2025-02-24
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion Leeds have a really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
It's huge game for the league table. Both teams battling to get automatic promotion into Premier League. Leeds is a leader of the table, two points above Sheffield, but third Burnley is only 4 points behind.
Leeds have mental advantage before this game as they won 2:0 at home in first match of the season between both teams (3rd consecutive win against Sheffield). In addition to that, Leeds won last two matches in a row at this stadium.
Sheffield won last 4 matches in a row, but I'm not convinced by their form to be honest. 2 results of last 3 matches were better than their performance. Sheffield won 2:1 at home against Portsmouth, but according to the expected goals scored result that was extremely undeserved result: expected goals scored for Sheffield 1.12, for Portsmouth 3.06. In last round they won 1:0 by late goal on away against Luton, but Luton had 1.63 expected goals scored in that game..
Leeds is sharp at both ends of the pitch at the moment, no doubt about that. 6 wins in last 7 league matches (one draw), only one goal conceded (!!!) and 20 scored! They are much better team than Sheffield this season, despite only two points difference in league table. Leeds have 20 goals more in expected goals scored table than Sheffield (64.3 vs 44.2) and they have the lowest value in expected goals conceded table, only 21 (Sheffield have 32.6).
Leeds have all the required tools to avoid loss in this game.
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在我看来,利兹在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。
这对排名榜来说是一场巨大的比赛。两支球队都在为自动晋级英超联赛而战。利兹在积分榜上领先谢菲尔德2分,但第三名伯恩利只落后4分。
利兹联在这场比赛前有心理优势,他们在主场2:0赢了两队本赛季的第一场比赛(对谢菲尔德的三连胜)。除此之外,利兹队在这个体育场连赢了两场比赛。
谢菲尔德队最近4连胜,但说实话,我不相信他们的状态。最近3场比赛中有2场比赛的结果比他们的表现要好。谢菲尔德在主场2:1战胜朴茨茅斯,但根据预期进球数得出的结果却是极不应得的:谢菲尔德的预期进球数为1.12,朴茨茅斯为3.06。上一轮他们客场1:0战胜卢顿,但那场比赛卢顿的预期进球数是1.63。
利兹联目前在攻防两端都很犀利,这是毫无疑问的。最近7场联赛6胜(1平),只丢1球(!!),进20球!尽管他们在积分榜上只差两分,但这个赛季他们比谢菲尔德要好得多。利兹联的预期进球数比谢菲尔德多20个(64.3比44.2),他们的预期失球数是最低的,只有21个(谢菲尔德有32.6)。
利兹队拥有避免在这场比赛中失利的所有必要手段。
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