An unusual but then a typical bet for those who have been following me for years.

I love “end of season” stage and find it the most valuable/profitable thing in trading, period.

There is no other phase in the regular season when pre-trades and live trades possess so much value.

Argentina Primera Division is holding its’ final round on Saturday and the games kicking off simultaneously will determine 2 final teams going into Copa Sudamericana (South American analogue of UEFA Europa League). An important moment to bare in mind, there is no relegation this season in Argentina top flight, so as a result the number of games with unmotivated teams is greater than ever.

Another thing to hold in mind is the aggregate table,which is traditionally used in South American leagues. It is the reference point to take teams motivation before games in these final stages. Rosario Central is currently in pole position to finish inside Copa Sudamericana

What they need here against Huracan is take 3 points and then other games do not matter.

Their opponent Huracan may be within reach of the target zone, but if we take into consideration the number of teams ahead of them and the negative -3 goal difference (tie-breaker in case of level points in Argentina), there is not more than 5% of chance Huracan gets anything in case of a win in this game.

Union Santa Fe is facing unmotivated Colon, Gimnasia (LP) is away vs. unmotivated Patronato and Argentinos Juniors face Sarmiento, who also have nothing left to play for. It would take a miracle for all results to turn Huracan way.

With this in mind, I am rating visiting team motivation close to 0%. Bookmakers, however, do not agree here to full extent, otherwise we would not be getting odds this high for Rosario win.

Apart from the value aspect, I also find Rosaria’s recent home form convincing - they’ve won 3 and drawn once (vs. runaway champions River Plate 2-2). Huracan, in turn, have lost 3 away games in a row going into this final round.

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对于那些追随我多年的人来说，这是一个不同寻常但又很典型的赌注。

我喜欢“季末”阶段，觉得这是交易中最有价值/最赚钱的阶段。

在常规赛中没有任何一个阶段能像交易前和实时交易那样具有如此大的价值。

阿根廷甲级联赛将于本周六举行最后一轮，同时开赛的两场比赛将决定两支球队进入南美杯(南美类似于欧联杯)。这是一个值得铭记的重要时刻，本赛季阿根廷顶级联赛没有降级，因此没有动力的球队的比赛次数比以往任何时候都多。

另一件要记住的事情是总和表，这是南美联赛的传统用法。这是在比赛的最后阶段采取团队激励的参考点。罗萨里奥目前在南美杯的比赛中处于杆位

他们需要的是在对阵Huracan的比赛中拿到3分，然后其他比赛就无关紧要了。

对手而来可能达到的目标区内,但是如果我们考虑团队之前,他们的数量和- 3净胜球(平局决胜的级别分在阿根廷),没有超过5%的机会而来获得任何对于赢得这场比赛。

圣塔菲面对的是无精打采的科隆，金纳西亚(LP)面对的是无精打采的守护神，阿根廷青年队面对的是萨米恩托，而萨米恩托也已经没什么可为之效力了。只有奇迹出现，Huracan才能扭转局面。

考虑到这一点，我认为访问团队的积极性接近于0%。然而，博彩公司并不完全同意这一点，否则我们不会得到罗萨里奥获胜的高赔率。

除了价值方面，我还发现Rosaria最近的主场状态很有说服力——他们赢了3场，平了1场(对跑路冠军河床2-2)。飓风队在进入最后一轮的比赛中连续输掉了三场客场比赛。