Friends, this is a bet that I would not want to make at first, but with a deeper analysis, it makes more sense, and the bottom line is that the odds are very good! The main reasoning for me is that neither of the teams loses matches, and secondly, Bayern Munchen are the better of these two this season, but they would be happy to settle with a draw to secure the title. Both can and will score, so here it is, more of my thoughts below:

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Bundesliga top-6, with actual points and expected points far right:

The gap in class is even bigger than the 8 points if we look at these performance-based statistics, and if there was a need for an away win I might consider it.

Bayern Munich, led by Vincent Kompany, has accumulated 54 points from 21 games with a record of 17-3-1, scoring 65 goals and conceding 19.

Bayern secured their seventh consecutive league win with a 3-0 victory over Werder Bremen at Allianz Arena last Friday. The expected goals (xG) were heavily in Bayern's favor, even if they started producing only on the 2nd half. They won shot count by 21-2, and constantly create huge numbers in xG-data as you can see from these last 7 Bundesliga matches.

Die Roten was also in action during the week in the Champions League, where they took a 2-1 away victory over Celtic in the first leg of their round of 16 tie at Celtic Park on Wednesday.

Michael Olise gave Bayern the lead in the first half, shooting into the top corner from the edge of the box off a David Upamecano assist. Kane doubled the lead in the 49th minute following a Joshua Kimmich corner. Celtic pulled one back in the 79th minute when Daizen Maeda scored from a rebound after Arne Engels' corner. The return leg of the tie will be played at Allianz Arena next Tuesday.

Team news

Bayern's goalkeeper Daniel Peretz and defender Alphonso Davies will miss the key match due to injuries. Midfield maestro João Palhinha's participation is uncertain due to illness, and Kimmich may replace him, partnering Leon Goretzka in midfield.

Possible Bayern lineup (4-2-3-1):Neuer; Stanisic, Upamecano, Kim, Guerreiro; Kimmich, Goretzka; Olise, Musiala, Coman; Kane.

Bayer Leverkusen’s vulnerable defense presents a chance for the attacking Bayern side, who also come into the match on the back of a Champions League win. Meanwhile, Leverkusen, under Xabi Alonso, has already advanced to the round of 16 in the Champions League.

Leverkusen matches tend to be rather even in xG-data, but they do have the skill not to lose. Yet, they have already placed 7 draws in the Bundesliga. One of them being a 1-1 in Munchen back in September, a match where they hardly had a chance to score, but still did!

Good luck mates!

朋友们，这是一个我一开始不想下的赌注，但经过更深入的分析，它更有意义，底线是赔率非常好！对我来说，主要的原因是两支球队都不会输掉比赛，其次，拜仁慕尼黑本赛季是这两支球队中更好的，但他们会很高兴以一场平局来确保冠军。他们都能得分，也会得分，所以我的想法如下：

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德甲前6，实际积分和期望积分极右：

如果我们看看这些基于表现的统计数据，班级差距甚至比8分更大，如果需要客场取胜，我可能会考虑。

在孔帕尼的带领下，拜仁慕尼黑在21场比赛中累积了54分，战绩为17胜1负，进65球失19球。

上周五，拜仁在安联球场以3比0战胜云达不莱梅，取得联赛七连胜。预期进球（xG）对拜仁非常有利，即使他们在下半场才开始制造。他们在射门数上以21比2获胜，并且不断创造出大量的x - g数据，你可以从最近7场德甲比赛中看到这一点。

球队在本周的欧冠比赛中也有表现，周三他们在凯尔特公园球场2-1击败凯尔特人，完成了16强首回合的比赛。

上半场，迈克尔·奥利斯接应大卫·乌帕梅卡诺的助攻，在禁区边缘将球射入顶角，帮助拜仁取得领先。第49分钟，乔舒亚·基米希角球后，凯恩扩大了领先优势。凯尔特人在第79分钟扳回一球，在恩格斯的角球后，前田大仙破门得分。第二回合比赛将于下周二在安联球场进行。

团队的新闻

拜仁门将佩雷茨和后卫戴维斯将因伤缺席这场关键的比赛。中场大师帕尔欣哈因病缺席尚不确定，而基米希可能会取代他，与戈雷茨卡搭档在中场。

可能的拜仁阵容（4-2-3-1）：诺伊尔；Stanisic, Upamecano, Kim, Guerreiro；Kimmich Goretzka;奥利斯，穆西亚拉，科曼；凯恩。

勒沃库森脆弱的防守为进攻的拜仁提供了机会，他们也是在欧冠胜利的背景下参加比赛的。与此同时，勒沃库森在阿隆索的带领下，已经进入了欧冠16强。

勒沃库森的比赛往往在x - g数据上相当均匀，但他们确实有不输球的技巧。然而，他们已经在德甲取得了7场平局。其中之一是9月份在慕尼黑的1-1，那场比赛他们几乎没有机会进球，但他们还是进球了！

祝你们好运！