Ricards头像
外籍分析师
外籍篮彩职业分析师
  • 18

    方案

  • 7

    粉丝

84% WINS CHAMPIONS LEAGUE! 欧冠 布雷斯特VS巴黎圣曼

2025-02-11

比赛分析

解读理由

On Tuesday night, the Champions League playoffs are going to start! The very 1st matchup is going to be between Brest and PSG and I predict PSG's win by at least a 2-goal margin.

During the league phase, Brest had 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. It must be said though that the wins weren't against the best teams: Sturm, PSV, RB Salzburg and Sparta Prague. Yes, the win over Salzburg on the road was impressive but in other games, the opponents were weaker of xG ratings were similar. Losses were against the Spanish top teams Barcelona and Real Madrid (both 0:3) and Shakhtar (0:2). During 8 games, Brest created an xG of 9.6, xGA was at 12.5 with a difference of -3.

PSG also had 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the league phase. PSG couldn't beat PSV at home despite a much better xG (2.57 vs. 0.25), but losses were against Arsenal, Atletico (also a huge advantage in xG) and Bayern. PSG beat Man City 4:2 at home, as well as teams like RB Salzburg (3:0), Stuttgart (4:1) and Girona (1:0). Paris created and xG of 16.2, xGA was at 6.9 with a difference of 9.3.

Brest will be without Bradley Locko and Karamoko Dembele while Jonas Martin is also unlikely to play. As for PSG, the team will be without Warren Zaire-Emery and Ibrahim Mbaye.

This will be the 3rd meeting between teams. PSG won 3:1 at home and 5:2 on the road. I'm expecting another high-scoring game and PSG should be able to dominate. PSG had a huge advantage in both meetings and this trend should continue because the Paris team is playing very well and they have 12 wins and 2 draws in the last 14 games. PSG should win this game by at least a 2-goal margin.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周二晚上,欧冠季后赛就要开始了!第一场比赛将在布雷斯特和巴黎圣日耳曼之间进行,我预测巴黎圣日耳曼将以至少2球的优势获胜。

在联赛阶段,布雷斯特取得了4胜1平3负的成绩。必须要说的是,这些胜利并不是对阵最好的球队:风暴、埃因霍温、萨尔茨堡RB和布拉格斯巴达。是的,客场战胜萨尔茨堡的比赛令人印象深刻,但在其他比赛中,对手的xG评级也很相似。输给了西班牙顶级球队巴塞罗那和皇家马德里(均为0:3)和矿工(0:2)。在8场比赛中,布雷斯特创造的xG为9.6,xGA为12.5,差值为-3。

巴黎圣日耳曼在联赛阶段也取得了4胜1平3负的成绩。尽管xG比PSV好得多(2.57比0.25),但PSG没能在主场击败PSV,但输给了阿森纳、马竞(xG也有巨大优势)和拜仁。巴黎圣日耳曼主场4:2击败曼城,以及萨尔茨堡RB(3:0)、斯图加特(4:1)和赫罗纳(1:0)等球队。巴黎创建和xG为16.2,xGA为6.9,差9.3。

布雷斯特将失去布拉德利·洛克和卡拉莫科·登贝莱,而乔纳斯·马丁也不太可能上场。至于巴黎圣日耳曼,球队将失去沃伦·扎伊尔-埃梅里和易卜拉欣·姆巴耶。

这将是两队之间的第三次会面。巴黎圣日耳曼主场3:1,客场5:2获胜。我期待着另一场高分比赛,巴黎圣日耳曼应该能够统治。巴黎圣日耳曼在两场比赛中都有巨大的优势,这种趋势应该会继续下去,因为巴黎球队踢得很好,他们在过去的14场比赛中取得了12胜2平。巴黎圣日耳曼应该以至少2球的优势赢得这场比赛。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。